A fire at Met Office HQ within the area of the £97million supercomputer is disrupting services UKMO is currently unavailable and still has yesterday's 12z as the last run
It is very sad news indeed.
What the GFS is playing with is just smart High Pressure that is kick baiting out any cold air that tries to even get close to the UK.
The ECMWF turns it colder by the night of Monday the 29th, and carries on with quite a good set of charts that if proved correct would mean cold and possibly wintry and frosty weather indeed.
But the frosts in the South are not going to be that easy to get though!, next week by Thursday they could be.
Some wet and windy cold weather next week with chance of some sleet and snow showers in the North and NW parts in particular.
It could be cold and chilly this Thursday and Friday, dry and mild this weekend and on Monday next week with light westerly winds.
The ECMWF is out on it's own but the GEM is getting it's idea by Tuesday next week.
The general consensus for Tuesday next week is a cold NW flow taking over, but after that we wait and see. The ECMWF and the GFS Ensembles for London look interesting, particularly cold is the ECMWF for London.
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Climate is warming up, Scotland and N Ireland and North England still often gets some Winter frost, ice and snow, November to March, but the SE and South UK including S Central England and Wales, together with the West and North through the year, they sometimes get more rain than London and S SE England, where some longer dry fine spells without much heavy rain is seen every year.
The North Atlantic Sea often gets some much Colder Wintry conditions from November to March Months, and Mild SW and South winds tend to be more frequent over the East and SE of North Atlantic Sea, as the Azores High tends to stay in charge.
With this warmth and heat, the Central and South UK has become mostly free of snow and frost.