It's updated....

UK Outlook for Monday 25 Jan 2016 to Monday 8 Feb 2016:
The United Kingdom is most likely to lie within a predominantly westerly flow of air between low pressure to the north and high pressure to the south. So the weather looks set to be rather changeable with rain and hill snow at times, interspersed with some dry and brighter interludes. The rain and showers are likely to be heaviest and most frequent in the northwest, with the southeast seeing the best of the dry and brighter conditions. Overall, temperatures are expected to range from near to above average.

 

 

 

 

 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Saturday 16 Jan 2016 to Monday 25 Jan 2016:

The weekend will continue cold with widespread overnight frosts. Winds should be predominantly from the north or northwest, which could feed wintry showers across northern and western coasts. It should remain mostly dry inland, although there is the risk of occasional rain, sleet or snow showers. The start of next week should continue much the same, although more unsettled conditions are likely to spread in from the west from the mid week onwards, with temperatures returning to near normal. There is the potential for a period of snow before the onset of the milder conditions. The rest of the period should be changeable with showers or longer spells of rain, interspersed with some drier and brighter conditions. The wettest conditions occurring in the north and west.

Longer range forecast has not updated at the time of posting

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

 

It's updated....

UK Outlook for Monday 25 Jan 2016 to Monday 8 Feb 2016:
The United Kingdom is most likely to lie within a predominantly westerly flow of air between low pressure to the north and high pressure to the south. So the weather looks set to be rather changeable with rain and hill snow at times, interspersed with some dry and brighter interludes. The rain and showers are likely to be heaviest and most frequent in the northwest, with the southeast seeing the best of the dry and brighter conditions. Overall, temperatures are expected to range from near to above average.

 

It hasn't thats yesterdays update today's would be the 26th to 9th

 

 

It hasn't thats yesterdays update today's would be the 26th to 9th

 

yesterdays update mentioned chance of colder spells in between, and that has been removed today. It appears they have just forgotten to change date at top.

 

 

yesterdays update mentioned chance of colder spells in between, and that has been removed today. It appears they have just forgotten to change date at top.

Yes my apologies its the date which they have forgot to update

If you ask me, it shows you how much effort they put into it.

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Very interesting article:

Europeans shine in weather forecasting

http://scitation.aip.org/content/aip/magazine/physicstoday/article/69/1/10.1063/PT.3.3046

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Very interesting article:

Europeans shine in weather forecasting

http://scitation.aip.org/content/aip/magazine/physicstoday/article/69/1/10.1063/PT.3.3046

 

Yes just read this, and it basically says that the European models are fundamentally better. In computing power and data input.

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Who care about the MetO 30 day outlook when the 5 day outlook says:

"Cold through this period with overnight frosts. Occasional showers throughout, which will turn to snow over high ground, and perhaps to lower levels on Thursday."

(National)

"Cold through this period with overnight frosts. Occasional showers are expected, which will fall as snow on high ground, and also to lower levels on Thursday and Friday."

(W MIdlands)

That'll do for me Tommy!

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Who care about the MetO 30 day outlook when the 5 day outlook says:

"Cold through this period with overnight frosts. Occasional showers throughout, which will turn to snow over high ground, and perhaps to lower levels on Thursday."

(National)

"Cold through this period with overnight frosts. Occasional showers are expected, which will fall as snow on high ground, and also to lower levels on Thursday and Friday."

(W MIdlands)

That'll do for me Tommy!

Except Evesham.😜

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3393591/Hailstones-size-marbles-hit-Britain-Arctic-blast-brings-10C-chill-snow-amid-warnings-new-flood-misery-North-East-South-West-Midlands.html

 

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The -5 that was shown for Tuesday night IMBY on the CF forecast has gone down to 0c lol

 

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The -5 that was shown for Tuesday night IMBY on the CF forecast has gone down to 0c lol

 

risen? Gone up you mean??

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Very inaccurate Monthly forecast from weather online: - Especially from the middle of the month.

Valid from 01/12 to 28/12 2015 Turning cooler

Issued: Thursday 31st December 2015 Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling Turning cooler through January After a stormy start to 2016, and wet one too, the overall trend from mis-month is towards cooler weather. Details are sketchy right now, but thoughts are that there could be a tendency to near or below average temperatures, with wintry weather in the north and east, perhaps frostier and drier west. *1/1/16 - 8/1/16* Unsettled conditions are going to be persisting through this week. Heavy rain and strong winds at times, with the risk of gales in the west. Tending to turn cooler. *9/1/16 - 15/1/16* Little change at first with hints of very unsettled weather continuing. This brings heavy periods of rain once again. However, late in the week conditions may settled and it could become colder too. Frosts becoming more widespread? *16/1/16 - 22/1/16* Hints of colder weather through this week with winds becoming more northwesterly. This could bring snow showers into Scotland and the hills of northern England and Wales, a few even making it to lower levels over more southern parts too. *23/1/16 - 29/1/16* An unsettled spell of weather, especially in eastern parts of the UK. It is likely to be colder here too with snow showers. Drier to the west, remaining chilly. **ends** .

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Cold weather starting to bite by the weekend, for my location top temps of 2-3 on Sat/Sun and Mon 

 

Oh, and on Monday a NE wind 

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Wx online use raw GFS
It's no wonder they chop and change so much!

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http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

UK Outlook for Sunday 17 Jan 2016 to Tuesday 26 Jan 2016:

The weekend will continue cold and bright for most with widespread overnight frosts. There will be a few sleet or snow showers, mainly in the north and east. The start of next week should continue much the same, although more unsettled conditions are likely to spread slowly in from the west early to mid week onwards, with temperatures returning to near normal. There is the potential for a period of snow before the onset of the milder conditions. The rest of the period should be changeable with showers or longer spells of rain, interspersed with some drier and brighter conditions. The wettest conditions occurring in the north and west, where it could turn windy at times.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 27 Jan 2016 to Wednesday 10 Feb 2016:

The weather looks set to be rather changeable throughout the outlook period with rain and hill snow at times, interspersed with some dry and brighter interludes. The rain and showers are likely to be heaviest and most frequent in the northwest. Further south higher than normal pressure is likely therefore drier than normal conditions are expected overall. Overall, temperatures are expected to be around normal for the time of year although day to day variations are likely depending on the weather systems passing through.

North East Forecast has daytime high's of 5 and 6c throughout the 'cold spell' and overnight lows of 0...doesn't appear as if the 'cold spell' is coming to the north east at all by that, at best i would call it seasonal and nothing more.

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http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

UK Outlook for Sunday 17 Jan 2016 to Tuesday 26 Jan 2016:

The weekend will continue cold and bright for most with widespread overnight frosts. There will be a few sleet or snow showers, mainly in the north and east. The start of next week should continue much the same, although more unsettled conditions are likely to spread slowly in from the west early to mid week onwards, with temperatures returning to near normal. There is the potential for a period of snow before the onset of the milder conditions. The rest of the period should be changeable with showers or longer spells of rain, interspersed with some drier and brighter conditions. The wettest conditions occurring in the north and west, where it could turn windy at times.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 27 Jan 2016 to Wednesday 10 Feb 2016:

The weather looks set to be rather changeable throughout the outlook period with rain and hill snow at times, interspersed with some dry and brighter interludes. The rain and showers are likely to be heaviest and most frequent in the northwest. Further south higher than normal pressure is likely therefore drier than normal conditions are expected overall. Overall, temperatures are expected to be around normal for the time of year although day to day variations are likely depending on the weather systems passing through.

So cold "will" last up to middle of next week with unsettled conditions "likely" from midweek on.   The GFS had us in the mild air by Sunday evening earlier this week, but is slowly changing its tune. Locally, not globally, it has been an abysmal performance from this model, on this occasion.

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What that update suggests to me is that while the MetO anticipate milder and more unsettled weather returning during next week, they don't anticpate a return to the sort of set-up that produced the exceptionally mild and wet December.

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North East Forecast has daytime high's of 5 and 6c throughout the 'cold spell' and overnight lows of 0...doesn't appear as if the 'cold spell' is coming to the north east at all by that, at best i would call it seasonal and nothing more.

Yep temps by day are fairly typical for the time of year its just after having those spring like conditions for so long its a 'shock' to the system the best chance of seeing some snow this week looks to be tomorrow night and into Thursday before the high moves in later in the week