Dear all, I wish I had more time to post in this forum as I find it so interesting, but, I couldn’t resist the following observation.
After the various models took a bit of stick in recent weeks, take a look at comments made by several posters in pages 2 and 3 of this thread (23rd Jan - the Met Office Fire) and review comments made about what the models were showing (ECM at 10 days) and some of the GFS suite at 10 days plus. Now take a look at the 1-5 day output and draw your own conclusions on model capability to estimate (roughly) the synoptic set up between 1 and 2 weeks away when we focus on trends in sequential runs, and the GFS suite, not single GFS Op runs.
Jeff
On the East/West Sussex Border
70m ASL