Global Warming
06 December 2017 21:29:10

Here is what my latest tracker is showing. After a very mild start tomorrow we then have 11 consecutive below average days. But not massively below average because there will be too much cloud, precipitation and wind to prevent the temperatures getting too low at night. That is the reason the CET does not fall further. We shall see. Many of us did not see very temperatures in Dec 2010 due to cloud cover but it was still an exceptionally cold month. I still think we will see the CET finish below 3C even if not as low as the 1.8C I have predicted.



ARTzeman
07 December 2017 12:21:36

Met  Office  Hadley            6.5c.         Anomaly        1.3c.  Provisional to 6th.


Metcheck                           6.54c.       Anomaly         1.55c.


Netweather                        6.62c.       Anomaly         1.53c.


Peasedown St John          6.7c.         Anomaly         0.3c.  






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
The Professional
07 December 2017 14:28:54

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


Here is what my latest tracker is showing. After a very mild start tomorrow we then have 11 consecutive below average days. But not massively below average because there will be too much cloud, precipitation and wind to prevent the temperatures getting too low at night. That is the reason the CET does not fall further. We shall see. Many of us did not see very temperatures in Dec 2010 due to cloud cover but it was still an exceptionally cold month. I still think we will see the CET finish below 3C even if not as low as the 1.8C I have predicted.





Some simple extrapolation from your figures GW:


If we're at 6.5c after 7 days (as per your chart), that's 45.5 degrees 'in the bag'. To finish at 3.0 for the month (93 degrees total), leaves only 47.5 degrees for the remaining 24 days, or an average CET just under 2.0c per day. To finish at 1.8 (= 56 degrees for the month), we'd have to average slightly over 0.4c degrees per day for the rest of the month. I'd love to see either scenario play out (particularly the latter), but that's not looking likely to me as things stand.


As you say, we shall see.....


Thanks, as ever, for all your efforts with the competition.

ARTzeman
08 December 2017 10:47:25

Met Office Hadley        6.9c.          Anomaly           1.8c.    Provisional to 7th.


Metcheck                     6.23c.        Anomaly           1.23c.


Netweather                  6.84c.        Anomaly           1.75c.


 Peasedown St John   7.0c.          Anomaly          0.6c.       






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
09 December 2017 11:59:39

Met Office Hadley           6.3c.       Anomaly      1.2c.  Provisional to 8th.


Metcheck                        5.54c.     Anomaly      0.55c.


Netweather                     6.28c.     Anomaly      0.55c.


Peasedown St John        6.5c.       Anomaly      0.1c.  


 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
10 December 2017 11:18:06

Met  Office Hadley              5.7c.        Anomaly      0.7c.


Metcheck                            5.04c.      Anomaly      0.04c.


Netweather                         5.67c.      Anomaly      0.06c.


Peasedown St John           6.0c.        Anomaly      -0.4c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
four
  • four
  • Advanced Member
11 December 2017 09:44:59
3.5C here so far (-0.5C)
With another average to cold week ahead (at least) it will be a below normal month.
johncs2016
11 December 2017 09:51:58

Originally Posted by: four 

3.5C here so far (-0.5C)
With another average to cold week ahead (at least) it will be a below normal month.


it's not very often these days that we get a colder than average winter month, so this will be a real change from the norm if this does end up being a below average month.


 


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.
Global Warming
11 December 2017 10:48:31

Latest CET tracker. A sharp fall in the CET until tomorrow then a more gradual fall for the rest of the week. Next week the CET starts rising again quite quickly. If the mild weather was to stick around until the end of the month then we could end up around average.


IMAGE. Members enable at bottom of page


IMAGE. Members enable at bottom of page

ARTzeman
11 December 2017 12:29:47

Met Office Hadley            5.1c.           Anomaly        0.1c.    Provisional to 10th


Metcheck                         4.54c.         Anomaly       -0.46c.


Netweather                     5.21c.          Anomaly         0.12c  


Peasedown St John        5.5c.           Anomaly        -0.9c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
roger63
11 December 2017 16:31:29

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


Latest CET tracker. A sharp fall in the CET until tomorrow then a more gradual fall for the rest of the week. Next week the CET starts rising again quite quickly. If the mild weather was to stick around until the end of the month then we could end up around average.


IMAGE. Members enable at bottom of page


IMAGE. Members enable at bottom of page



Mild weather running to Dec 31st is basically what the latest 30 day forecast is now predicting.

ARTzeman
12 December 2017 13:10:02

Met Office Hadley            4.6c.          Anomaly       -0.3c.  Provisional to 11th.


Metcheck                         4.03c.        Anomaly       -0.96c


Netweather                      4.79c.        Anomaly       -0.32c.


Peasedown St John        5.1c           Anomaly       -1.3c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
13 December 2017 10:58:28

Met Office Hadley            4.2c.       Anomaly      -0.7c. Provisional to 12th.


Metcheck                         3.93c      Anomaly      -1.06c


Netweather                      4.43c      Anomaly      -0.63c


Peasedown St John        4.9c       Anomaly        -1.5c






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
14 December 2017 11:11:18

Met office Hadley

4.0 to the 13th 0.9 below the 61 to 90 average - 1.1 below the 81 to 10 average

Metcheck 3.89c 1.10c below average

Netweather 4.48c 0.63c below average

ARTzeman
14 December 2017 11:15:48

Met Office Hadley         4.0c.     Anomaly    -0.9c  Provisional to 13th


Metcheck                       3.89c    Anomaly    -1.10c


Netweather                    4.18c    Anomaly    -0.63c


Peasedown St John      9.0c      Anomaly     -01.4c  






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
14 December 2017 11:36:57

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


Met Office Hadley         4.0c.     Anomaly    -0.9c  Provisional to 13th


Metcheck                       3.89c    Anomaly    -1.10c


Netweather                    4.18c    Anomaly    -0.63c


Peasedown St John      9.0c      Anomaly     -01.4c  



Met Office Hadley, Metcheck & Netweather already posted...

ARTzeman
15 December 2017 11:15:03

Met Office Hadley        4.0c.      Anomaly    -1.0c.  Provisional to 14th


Metcheck                     3.83c     Anomaly     -1.17c


Netweather                  4.45c     Anomlay     -0.66 


Peasedown St john    4.9c       Anomaly     -1.5c     






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Saint Snow
15 December 2017 11:15:59

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


Met Office Hadley        4.0c.      Anomaly    -1.0c.  Provisional to 14th


Metcheck                     3.83c     Anomaly     -1.17c


Netweather                  4.45c     Anomlay     -0.66 


Peasedown St john    4.9c       Anomaly     -1.5c     



 


Getting in first today, Art?



 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
ARTzeman
15 December 2017 11:21:20

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


 


 


Getting in first today, Art?



 







Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
16 December 2017 08:02:46

I always look for Art’s daily update, regardless of whoever else posts it.  Well done Art!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Users browsing this topic

Ads