I agree with the above.

I am normally going through this forum anyway to give my usual updates on other threads at certain times of the day so that when it comes it to around the time for the day's CET figures to be updated, I always look here first which I am dealing with those other threads.

That in turn saves me from going directly to the Hadley website to get the day's values if Arty's update is already here on this thread.

Occasionally, Arty might be late with that and so, on the odd occasion, I will find that Hadley will have updated before Arty's update appears there, but I always know that this update will be coming here and so rather than post what I find here as the latest values, I always just let Arty give those updates himself.

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Late today... Crimble shopping..

Met Office Hadley           3.9c.       Anomaly  -1.0c   provisional to 15th.

Metcheck                        3.71c      Anomaly   -1.29c

Netweather                     4.39c      Anomaly   -0.29c

Peasedown St John       4.8c        Anomaly   -1.6c

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Latest output suggests December will finish as an average month with a CET of around 5C. A cold first half and a warm second half.

My current CET estimate to the 15th is 3.60C which is 0.33C lower than Hadley's 3.93C.

Latest output suggests December will finish as an average month with a CET of around 5C. A cold first half and a warm second half.

My current CET estimate to the 15th is 3.60C which is 0.33C lower than Hadley's 3.93C.

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Thanks Simon. Amazing those graphs are - They're almost a reverse of each other.

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Thanks GW!    

Talk on the MOD That it’s a pity December could end up average despite the recent cold but I think they’re forgetting that monthly averages give no indication of peaks and troughs.  I’d be happy if it ends a little below average though!  

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Met Office Hadley      3.9c.        Anomaly       -1.0c.  Provisional to 16th

Metcheck                   3.57c.      Anomaly       -1.42c.

Netweather                4.22c.      Anomaly       -0.89c.

Others compared to  December 2016 

Cheadle Hulme Weather     3.9c.    Difference    -3.4c.

Clevedon Weather              6.2c.    Difference    -1.1c.

Mount Sorrel Weather         3.7c.    Difference    -2.5c.

Peasedown St John             4.6c.    Difference    -2.2c.              

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2.8C (-1.4C) here, going to edge up for the next few mildish days.

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Met Office Hadley          3.9c.    Anomaly    -1.0c. Provisional to 17th

Metcheck                       3.65c.   Anomaly    -1.35c.

Netweather                    4.24c.   Anomaly    -0.87c

Peasedown St John      4.7c.    Anomaly      -1.7c 

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Another hard frost last night here is central England. SoI really don't think we can end up with an above average CET for December, whatever next week does.

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Another hard frost last night here is central England. SoI really don't think we can end up with an above average CET for December, whatever next week does.

I disagree. The latest output is looking milder than it did a few days ago. Some very mild nights to come in next week or so. Today the CET will be slightly below average again but after that every day for the rest of the month is likely to be between 2C and 6C above average. We may find it does not end up quite as warm as this but I still think there is a good chance the CET will finish at 5C or above. Current estimate is 5.24C.

Met Office Hadley         4.0c.       Anomaly     -0.9c  Provisional to 18th.

Metcheck                      3.58c.     Anomaly      -1.41c.

Netweather                   4.19c.     Anomaly      -0.92c.

Peasedown St John     4.7         Anomaly       -1.7c.

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With adjustment maybe a figure of 4.6c.....Possible... as the end of month figure..

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Met Office Hadley           4.0c.        Anomaly        -0.8c. Provisional to 19th

Metcheck                        3.74c       Anomaly         -1.25c

Netweather                     4.21c       Anomaly         -0.9c

Peasedown St John       4.7c        Anomaly        -1.7c

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Met Office Hadley         4.1c.       Anomaly        -0.7c. Provisional to 20th

Metcheck                      4.06c      Anomaly        -0.93c

Netweather                   4.48c      Anomaly        -0.63c

Peasedown St John     4.2c       Anomaly          -2.0c  

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My calculations have the CET at 3.67C to the 20th.

I am still expecting the CET to finish above 5C although the numbers have dropped a little over the past couple of days. 5.09C is the latest estimate. It could end up below 5C if the post Christmas period is a little colder than currently expected. But equally this is being partly compensated by an increasingly warm signal as we head towards the new year.

It looks like Lanky is odds on favourite for this year's overall winner then. It'd take quite a big upset to change that now.

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Disappointing.

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Met  Office Hadley           4.4c.          Anomaly          -0.4c     Provisional to 21st

Metcheck                         4.29c         Anomaly          -0.70c

Netweather                      4.75c         Anomaly          -2.36c

Peasedown St  John       5.2c          Anomaly          -1.2c.

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I always look for Art’s daily update, regardless of whoever else posts it.  Well done Art!  

First visit for days to the CET watch. I do just the same, Caz. Plus you get bonus features (Peasedown St John). 

Did I imagine it Art of did you used to post Cheadle Hulme too?

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First visit for days to the CET watch. I do just the same, Caz. Plus you get bonus features (Peasedown St John). 

Did I imagine it Art of did you used to post Cheadle Hulme too?

Could post it daily along with some others... Just out of interest. 

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