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Sussex snow magnet
31 January 2016 19:10:22
6.1 for me please.
Devonian
31 January 2016 19:16:04

5.5C please GW.

Hungry Tiger
31 January 2016 19:50:35


Here's a list of some of the mildest mean uk winter cet's on record:


1868/69--20.3


1988/89--19.5


1974/75--19.3


1989/90--18.7


1934/35--18.4


1997/98--18.3


2013/14--18.2


2015/16 currently 15.4


Originally Posted by: ScientificOregon 


Well done for putting those figures on. Despite the amazing December we need a good mild February to break the record.


February 1869 had a CET of 7.5C.


That's quite a hard nut to crack.


 


 


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Whether Idle
31 January 2016 20:37:04

5.8 please GW


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
Stormchaser
31 January 2016 20:42:10

A not particularly interesting 5.2*C please. Or is it? Think about the winter CET wink


Hopefully also hiding some reasonable inter-month variation.


If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
scillydave
31 January 2016 20:52:13
Bang on 5.0c for me please. Just enough to break the mild winter record but cool enough to allow a brief cold snap so that I finally get some snow!
Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.
markwells
31 January 2016 21:05:43
Hi please can I go for 6.2 C many thanks
Bertwhistle
31 January 2016 21:09:47

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/mly_cet_mean_sort.txt


 Slightly relevant to this thread as winter ranked CETs are in question.


There's a quirk in the HAD CET which results in years from March to Nov having a zero at rank 1; meaning the coldest of each of these months is ranked at no. 2; as is the current coldest overall year (1740).


Now I've no doubt there's a reason for this but the way it's presented is very misleading.


The winter months have their zero value plugged in at the appropriate ranking position for a zero \C month. Again, I see the systematic approach to whatever led to this misleading data; but remember HAD CET is available fully in the public domain.


mean CET ranked coldest to warmest from 1659 to 2016
   sorted on 31/1/2016             units: Degrees C


rank    jan        feb        mar        apr        may        jun        jul        aug        sep        oct        nov        dec        year    rank
  1  -3.1 1795  -1.9 1947   0.0    0   0.0    0   0.0    0   0.0    0   0.0    0   0.0    0   0.0    0   0.0    0   0.0    0  -0.8 1890   0.00    0   1
  2  -3.0 1684  -1.8 1895   1.0 1674   4.7 1701   8.5 1698  11.5 1675  13.4 1816  12.9 1912  10.5 1674   5.3 1740   2.3 1782  -0.7 2010   6.86 1740   2
  3  -2.9 1814  -1.7 1855   1.2 1785   4.7 1837   8.6 1740  11.8 1909  13.5 1695  13.0 1694  10.5 1675   6.4 1817   2.8 1915  -0.5 1676   7.29 1695   3


 


 


 


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
The Professional
31 January 2016 21:22:44
Don't really want to go this high as I'd love to see some proper winter weather down here before March rolls around, but 4.99 for me please, with an expectation that even that will be materially too low.
rickm
31 January 2016 22:23:08

5.15 for me this month please.

bruced
31 January 2016 22:37:31

Can I have 5.3, please?


 


Thank you


David, Northallerton


David
John S2
31 January 2016 22:42:54
My guess = +4.2c
Easterly Beasterly
31 January 2016 23:15:21

5.3C please

Saint Snow
31 January 2016 23:19:33

5.3c



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
stormbymills
31 January 2016 23:22:35

I'd like 3.9 please

Duncan McAlister
31 January 2016 23:41:52
4.1 for me please.
Snowshoe
31 January 2016 23:43:09
Almost forgot again.

I'll go for 5.4 please.
Darren S
31 January 2016 23:57:02
5.4C please
Darren
Crowthorne, Berks (87m asl)
South Berks Winter Snow Depth Totals:
2023/24 0 cm; 2022/23 7 cm; 2021/22 1 cm; 2020/21 13 cm; 2019/20 0 cm; 2018/19 14 cm; 2017/18 23 cm; 2016/17 0 cm; 2015/16 0.5 cm; 2014/15 3.5 cm; 2013/14 0 cm; 2012/13 22 cm; 2011/12 7 cm; 2010/11 6 cm; 2009/10 51 cm
Surrey John
01 February 2016 19:10:51
Sorry I am late,

can I go for 5.63c please
Bradford on Avon, Wiltshire
35m ASL
Twister
01 February 2016 19:39:07

4.5c please


 


Location: Egerton, Kent - 33m ASL
Thunder 2016: 12 (Apr 3,13; May 21; Jun 8,11,17,22,23,25, Jul 2,12, Aug 26)
Winter 2015/6: Snowfalls: 10 | Snowcover: 2 (Jan 17 (0.5cm)) | Air frosts: 39
Winter 2016/7: Snowfalls: 4 (Jan 12-3, Feb 10-11) | Snowcover: 2 (Jan 13, 2cm, Feb 11, 3-5mm) | Air frosts: 57 (2 in Oct, 10 in Nov, 13 in Dec, 19 in Jan, 6 in Feb, 3 in Mar, 4 in Apr)
"The heavens tell of the glory of God. The skies display his marvellous craftsmanship." (Psalm 19:1)
ARTzeman
02 February 2016 11:58:22

Here We Go For Another Month......


  


Met Office Hadley                9.1c.         Anomaly        4.9c.    Provisional  to  the 1st.


Metcheck                            9.89c.       Anomaly        5.69c.


Netweather                       11.33c.       Anomaly        7.14c.


Cheadle Hulme Weather     11.2c          Anomaly        6.7c.


Clevedon Weather              10.6c.        Anomaly        5.3c.


Mount  Sorrel                     10.6c.        Anomaly        6.4c.


Peasedown St John             10.6c.        Anomaly        6.9c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
BB54
02 February 2016 12:10:38
Damn, I forgot all about this. If I'm still allowed can I say 5.7c please.
marting
02 February 2016 13:12:51

Hi


Sorry very late 6.2c please


Martin


Martin
Greasby, Wirral.
Stormchaser
02 February 2016 15:56:27

The Dec-Jan temp. stats here Iin *C) are mind-boggling (anomalies in brackets as usual):


Mean Max 10.96 (+3.61)


Mean Min 6.35 (+4.75)


Mean 24h 8.66 (+4.19)


 


...albeit not as much as the Dec stats alone (anomalies of +5.29, +7.73 and 6.51 for the max, min and 24h respectively!).


Funnily enough it was the min temps that were the least above the LTA in Jan and this has muted the extremity of Dec's value somewhat. Still the 3rd highest Jan mean min going back to 2000 though, while the max was the second highest, indeed only the second Jan to exceed 9*C (and the sixth of any winter month).


It feels like the changing global climate has decided to focus its efforts on one UK winter after years of faffing about. El Nino doesn't explain much of the anomaly so far this winter at all. An unusually cold stratospheric vortex is probably a significant player, this actually being a consequence of increased greenhouse gas concentrations in the lower levels. 


Climate change doesn't explain it all though, with the unusual North Atlantic SST profile (huge area of colder than normal SSTs in the central to northern regions) a significant factor as well.


If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
Global Warming
02 February 2016 21:42:22

Still just about time to make a prediction for February. Deadline is 23:59 today.


Even if you did not make a prediction in January you can still take part in the annual competition as you are allowed to miss up to two predictions during the year.

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