The Weather Outlook

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Rob K
13 August 2026 05:59:06
Models seem to have converged on 37C as the max today, the extreme 38-39 figures have gone. Interesting to see whether the June max gets beaten. My feeling is probably not quite. 
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

saxtemp
13 August 2026 06:00:45
UKV and GFS both on 37c. Although given how yesterday UKV had it on 35c and we reached 35.7c, 38 is very much within reach. Just hoping we can squeeze a 39c as we bypassed that completely on the way to 40c.
Oxfordshire, 184m asl
Jiries
13 August 2026 06:25:47

Models seem to have converged on 37C as the max today, the extreme 38-39 figures have gone. Interesting to see whether the June max gets beaten. My feeling is probably not quite. 

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

00z ensembles for London had downgraded to 19C from 21C today while here just pipped at 20C even a slightly above 20C line so that why 37C for London and here 38-39C.  It seem the West is best for the heat. I am glad I don't live in the far east is very boring place to live and their heat is very limited and always last place to get the heat which is very short lived compare to West, Midlands and London areas last longer.   

21.3c this morning but no sweat overnight sleeping as it low humidity at 38%.

Charmhills
13 August 2026 07:46:22
25c already here.

It's gonna be a hot one!!!🔥


Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power.

Duane.

TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
13 August 2026 08:27:22
I’ve got a dew point of 20.7C and 70% humidity down at the vineyard. What happened to that dangerously dry fire weather?
Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Ally Pally Snowman
13 August 2026 08:39:43
29c already at Biggin Hill
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
warrenb
13 August 2026 08:41:48

I’ve got a dew point of 20.7C and 70% humidity down at the vineyard. What happened to that dangerously dry fire weather?

Originally Posted by: TimS 

That doesn't sound right. Over here in the west of the county we have 32c with a DP of 14c with 34% humidity


Retron
  • Retron
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
13 August 2026 08:46:14

I’ve got a dew point of 20.7C and 70% humidity down at the vineyard. What happened to that dangerously dry fire weather?

Originally Posted by: TimS 

Sounds like you're under the same maritime airmass as here - there was a push from the east overnight and it brought a heavy dew here. 20.8/dew 19.8 here as of 19 minutes ago -  my fibre connection is down so not sure what it is currently!

EDIT: And just as I posted it came back online, 21.1/dew 20.1 now with a very light waft from the east. MetO has that waft/humid airmass in place for most of the day (with temperatures rising and humidity falling into the afternoon as the wind veers southerly), but it'll only go so far inland. 


Leysdown, north Kent
warrenb
13 August 2026 08:50:24

Sounds like you're under the same maritime airmass as here - there was a push from the east overnight and it brought a heavy dew here. 20.8/dew 19.8 here as of 19 minutes ago -  my fibre connection is down so not sure what it is currently!

EDIT: And just as I posted it came back online, 21.1/dew 20.1 now with a very light waft from the east. MetO has that waft/humid airmass in place for most of the day (with temperatures rising and humidity falling into the afternoon as the wind veers southerly), but it'll only go so far inland. 

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Well I wish it had pushed this far as humidity is now down to 28% and temp is 32.6c


Jiries
13 August 2026 08:50:50
30C now so will be very hot one today.
Retron
  • Retron
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
13 August 2026 08:57:31

Well I wish it had pushed this far as humidity is now down to 28% and temp is 32.6c

Originally Posted by: warrenb 

It looks like the North Downs is the dividing line, going by wundermap - dry and hot to the SW of them, increasingly cooler and more humid to the NE. That said even here it'll dry out, the MetO raw has 28/dew 13 (39% RH) at 4PM, in an ENE'ly breeze. GFS has 35/dew 11 (23% RH) instead, also with an ENE'ly. I suspect the GFS will be too hot - it had 33 here yesterday but it ended up as 26!


Leysdown, north Kent
Matty H
13 August 2026 09:53:41
Amber weathers warning now extends west and covers my area
Yate, Nr Bristol

TBFTEIARBSC

fairweather
13 August 2026 10:00:43

Some absolutely amazing footage on socials of the parched landscape of places like Hyde Park and around the Clifton Suspension Bridge. Just incredible and captivating. 

When this summer weather finally ends (long way to go yet) it’ll be almost a relief to not log in to TWO for 5 months until the reload next spring ahead of another virtually guaranteed hotter than average year

Even autumn and winter this year look mild and wet at this stage. What’s not to like? The Band Aid mob get their rain to save the Pretend famine, and the likes of myself get the mild. 

Originally Posted by: Matty H 

Noted. 🙄🤐


S.Essex, 42m ASL
fairweather
13 August 2026 10:03:45
31.6 max yesterday. 30C by 11.00am today.
S.Essex, 42m ASL
NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
13 August 2026 10:14:24

Noted. 🙄🤐

Originally Posted by: fairweather 

The UK government does not maintain a centralized, strategic public food reserve anymore. When I began work, there were centralised warehouses for this purpose. One site wasn't far from Bristol but no more. 

It's now left mainly to the supermarkets to plan for. There are no State Reserves that I know about. Some European nations maintain or are rebuilding public emergency food stocks. I would suggest it's a good time to start the process again, especially after this summer.


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

Bertwhistle
13 August 2026 10:22:09
Impressive. 

Actually I just noted Merignac (Bordeaux) was 37°C at 11am. Same heatwave, different place.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.

Jiries
13 August 2026 10:38:04

Amber weathers warning now extends west and covers my area

Originally Posted by: Matty H 

Brilliant news!! now you are in the game for the extreme heat zone.

31.9C here now.

Edit : Now 32.2C.

Chidog
13 August 2026 10:53:36
Charlwood probably still overreading with 35.2C already.

Plenty of places with readings hotter than UKV at 11am though

TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
13 August 2026 10:56:14

It looks like the North Downs is the dividing line, going by wundermap - dry and hot to the SW of them, increasingly cooler and more humid to the NE. That said even here it'll dry out, the MetO raw has 28/dew 13 (39% RH) at 4PM, in an ENE'ly breeze. GFS has 35/dew 11 (23% RH) instead, also with an ENE'ly. I suspect the GFS will be too hot - it had 33 here yesterday but it ended up as 26!

Originally Posted by: Retron 

I love these little mesoclimatic quirks. My DP has now dropped to 14C so the maritime air must have departed. Temp is showing at 34.6C which is clearly over/reading and I think that’s because there’s no wind and the station isn’t aspirated. 


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
warrenb
13 August 2026 11:00:05
34.6c with a DP of 8.9c, humidity is 22%
Bolty
13 August 2026 11:02:01
Blimey, I recorded a low of just 22.0°C this morning, and already at midday it's 30.3°C on my PWS. Pretty remarkable for rural Lancashire.
Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

Hungry Tiger
13 August 2026 11:04:50
Anyone on 34C or 35C yet. I'm on 33C. 🙂🙂🙂
Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



westv
13 August 2026 11:13:38

Anyone on 34C or 35C yet. I'm on 33C. 🙂🙂🙂

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 

My phone app says 33c here in Hull too


Big heat in May

Summer will be spray.

tierradelfuego
13 August 2026 11:17:44
35.4c just after 12pm here, still at 5c above yesterday's where we topped at 35.7c. It's going to have to slow down soon.
Bucklebury

West Berkshire Downs AONB

135m ASL

VP2 with daytime FARS

Rainfall collector separated at ground level

Anemometer separated above roof level

WeatherLink Live (Byles Green Crew )

Retron
  • Retron
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
13 August 2026 11:19:06

34.6c with a DP of 8.9c, humidity is 22%

Originally Posted by: warrenb 

27.0, dew 19.0 here near the coast - 63% RH. The breeze seems to have died, annoyingly; half a mile away it's only 24 as they still have a breeze from the sea.


Leysdown, north Kent

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