Yes and I'm afraid I think 500ppm is optimistic, I think the atmosphere will get to a point where it is bad for health - and not just our species.. Remember, 'co2 is plant food', 'drill baby drill' and how people from you and I to 'Hansen' and 'Mann' have been attacked.

Not happy thoughts, sometimes I wonder if humans are already starting to behave more oddly under the influence of increasing CO2 - we'll get scorned and ridiculed for that too....

And it continues (the above post was from March)

Stage of Women's Giro d'Italia shortened by 28km as finish threatened by 'unstable ice sheet' in the Alps at Colle de Finestre between Turin and Sestriere. The road had already needed clearing from a previous avalanche

https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/cycling/articles/c20y4920ew7o 

"El Niño, an oceanic heatwave that occurs two to three times each decade, is building in the Pacific around the equator, and is expected to peak in September, the United Nations' World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has warned.

The warm current will affect weather patterns and increase the risk of droughts in Australia, and southern parts of Asia and Africa. It will also increase the likelihood of violent storms and heavy rainfall in parts of the Americas.

US scientists confirmed on Thursday that El Niño conditions were under way in the tropical Pacific after sea-surface temperatures rose sharply in recent months.

While droughts and storms are bad enough, experts say this could be the strongest El Niño on record, with even more severe potential outcomes. These include flooding, landslides, wildfires, famine, conflict and migration.

The expected severity has led to some meteorologists using the term Godzilla El Niño – after the colossal dinosaur-like creature that has featured in dozens of monster films.

How a ‘Godzilla’ El Niño could plunge the world into irreversible chaos

https://uk.yahoo.com/news/godzilla-el-nino-could-plunge-050000708.html 

""There's a lot been on the news quite recently about El Nino and the effects the global impact of this warm water current in the Pacific might have on the world as it has in the past," says Dr Robb Robinson, an honorary research fellow at the University of Hull. 

"That and its complementary current, the Humboldt current, the cold-water current, have been a subject of a lot of examination over the years," he adds.

"And one of the reasons we know quite a lot about it is that the foundations for our understanding of these currents in the Pacific, a lot of them were laid by a research ship called the William Scoresby."

How forgotten voyages helped track El Nino - Hull

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cnv9dlppmr7o 

Already 38.4C at La Rochelle, should be plenty of 40s across France today.

"By the way, on July 4th, it's going to be approximately 107 degrees out, and I'm gonna go and I'm gonna make a really long speech just to show that I can do anything," he [Trump] said.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cevlkzer7vdo 

"By the way, on July 4th, it's going to be approximately 107 degrees out, and I'm gonna go and I'm gonna make a really long speech just to show that I can do anything." 

https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/07/dangerous-and-historic-wildfire-smoke-pollution-event-engulfs-the-u-s-and-canada/ 

The only comparable wildfire smoke event affecting this portion of North America occurred in 2023; a 2025 study blamed that event for 33,000 premature deaths in the United States, 8,300 in Canada, and 23,000 in Europe. According to the EPA, a premature air pollution death is one that occurs on average 14 years before a person would have otherwise died.

I guess this is Global warming 😂 

A significant severe weather outbreak is forecast across the north-central Mediterranean and the Adriatic Sea region on Sunday. Strong instability and highly sheared environments combine for widespread thunderstorm activity with large to giant hail, severe winds, tornadoes, and flash flood potential.

https://www.severe-weather.eu/weather-forecast/severe-weather-forecast-outlook-july-26th-2026-high-risk-europe-italy-adriatic-mk/ 

Reported widely - here's a source with no firewall

https://www.nbcnews.com/world/europe/record-low-danube-river-affects-tourism-drought-heat-central-europe-rcna589968 

It's not clear whether this is a bankside gauge or a mid-river depth, but it's been enough to stop shipping and even strand a cruise boat. Reuters has a photo 

https://www.reutersconnect.com/feed?query=slug%3AEUROPE-WEATHER 

Residents warned to brace for the worst as Canada wildfire rages out of control

Puerto Rico rations water supplies due to intense drought

Hundreds arrested over French wildfires, but who is to blame?

China evacuates one million from homes as massive storm arrives

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world 

https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/strong-el-nino-expected-intensify#:~:text=A%20strong%20El%20Niño%20is,to%20strengthen%20during%20August-October%202026&text=Above%2Dnormal%20temperatures%20are%20expected%20worldwide .

Thank you for that Peter. Hope the forecast for Northern Europe is wrong.

Rainfall Outlook

The August–October 2026 rainfall outlook exhibits patterns of a classic, strong El Niño event. Wetter-than-normal conditions are expected across the Greater Horn of Africa; parts of Central Asia; Southern Europe; Western North America (south of 45°N); and Southeastern South America. In contrast, drier-than-normal conditions are more likely over The Indian subcontinent; Southern and eastern Australia; Southern Central America and parts of the Caribbean; Northwestern South America; and Northern Europe.

Thanks, glad you found it interesting.

Did you notice the ‘cool blob’ south of Greenland?  An indicator that all is not well with the AMOC.

Europe is certainly on track for some Godzilla style changes in the coming weeks. I’ll just leave it at that. 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/c69v42kvv9gnt 

...

and 25 inches of rain forecast for Hawaii

https://yaleclimateconnections.org/topic/eye-on-the-storm/ 

350mm of rain in 19 hours in Chiba City just east of Tokyo with a rate of of over 100mm/hour at the height of the storm

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/14/world/asia/chiba-tokyo-flood-rain-deaths.html 

Edit now 22c and still raining there and very late it never rain after 4pm, always midd day to early afternoon.  GFS Nicosia ensembles had been very good this year as it show low 850s of 17C and high rain spike for today and less tomorrow. 

Flooding in Nicosia street.

Other update from Kita from his FB feed said 60mm of rain had fallen on one of the area I used to live before in 1984 to 1986 was hit the hardest.  Must be a major storm to last long time and to finish at 6pm very late as normally it gone by 4pm.

Thanks Nick. I've been following the El Niño posts on TWO with interest.

I expect everyone here has noticed the BBC is taking an interest this week. In particular:

Stormy autumn, cold winter - how might El Niño affect the UK weather?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/articles/cd0x17r4j0yo 

El Niño set to be 'strongest in living memory', says Met Office

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/articles/c3ekg93vjz9o 

Panama Canal to cut number of ships passing through due to El Niño

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cwyl0jkxxryo 

El Niño BBC pages

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/topics/cg79zvkv0zpt 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/c6y8mjmnpxv0t 

https://diaricatalunya.cat/en/alt-emporda/general/rissaga-alert-in-menorca-coastal-meteorological-phenomenon 

This is a new meteorological term to me -otherwise known as a meteotsunami.

https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/08/27/italy-faces-summers-most-intense-heatwave-with-45c-highs 

Only for the south, though