The Weather Outlook

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DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
23 June 2026 07:28:48

Interesting that from a few days ago, what looked like a nailed on flip to unsettled weather from Friday onward, does not look the case any more. A cool down, but summer continues. 

Originally Posted by: Matty H 

I think that's a view from the south

War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

Jersey Phil
23 June 2026 07:30:33
I know many on this site disregard Jersey’s validity when looking at weather data.  Regardless, we are 28c at 8.30 am, forecast to be 38c today, then 37, 38 for the next two days.  Many schools closing, lots of the same warnings that the UK have in place.  We missed the storms yesterday and so the temperature will respond very quickly to the continental feed.  Unprecedented.
St Johns, Jersey CI

125m asl

Jiries
23 June 2026 07:33:43

The iPhone app uses the IBM model I believe and also feeds in radar information for real time rain predictions. 

But it is clearly not infallible either as it shows full sun all day here when in reality the sky is very moody. 

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

We don't have access to the IBM but they were correct and not having any of this heatwave.  Yes this morning full sun but mostly cloudy here so also wrong, yesterday was showing cloudy all day but sunny instead until it went overcast at 6pm.  Just a bog standard warm spell now.

Bertwhistle
23 June 2026 07:34:51
Was already 25°C at 7.50 this morning, then a few heavy drops from some spurious cloud, not enough to really wet anything but the petrichor was something.
Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.

Saint Snow
23 June 2026 07:36:57
The 39 forecast for Thursday here (Met) now dropped to 37.

But the temp for each of Fri, Sat, Sun has been increased.

That's a pay-off I can proper get behind 😃

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

+1
Matty H
23 June 2026 07:37:06

We don't have access to the IBM but they were correct and not having any of this heatwave.  Yes this morning full sun but mostly cloudy here so also wrong, yesterday was showing cloudy all day but sunny instead until it went overcast at 6pm.  Just a bog standard warm spell now.

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

They were wrong then weren’t they? As we have a heatwave. 

Yate, Nr Bristol

TBFTEIARBSC

bledur
23 June 2026 07:38:12

I know many on this site disregard Jersey’s validity when looking at weather data.  Regardless, we are 28c at 8.30 am, forecast to be 38c today, then 37, 38 for the next two days.  Many schools closing, lots of the same warnings that the UK have in place.  We missed the storms yesterday and so the temperature will respond very quickly to the continental feed.  Unprecedented.

Originally Posted by: Jersey Phil 

Amazing temps for Jersey.What is it like on Guernsey which I am more familiar with?

Brian Gaze
23 June 2026 07:38:21
Arome shows 36C today on the low res plots. Quite possibly a few 37Cs in the grib, but I don't have the time to check. 

UserPostedImage

Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

bledur
23 June 2026 07:42:16

Yes  lots of cloud here too, and storms still bubbling up

 I'd be surprised if London got to 33c today tbh. Maybe further west will go higher but the June record looks safe today.

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

If you want the heat ,looks like Friday for further East.As far as I am concerned you can have it now.😎

Ally Pally Snowman
23 June 2026 07:46:00

I know many on this site disregard Jersey’s validity when looking at weather data.  Regardless, we are 28c at 8.30 am, forecast to be 38c today, then 37, 38 for the next two days.  Many schools closing, lots of the same warnings that the UK have in place.  We missed the storms yesterday and so the temperature will respond very quickly to the continental feed.  Unprecedented.

Originally Posted by: Jersey Phil 

Just incredible for an island in the Channel. 

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Ally Pally Snowman
23 June 2026 07:51:09
ECM 0z from today

32c, 34c, 34c, 33c, 31c, 27c

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Charmhills
23 June 2026 07:54:18
Met office app for here: 34c, 33, 37c, 37c, then cooling nicely over the weekend and into next week.😎

Post heatwave, EMS look farily cool to average.

Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.

+1
Heavy Weather 2013
23 June 2026 07:58:17

ECM 0z from today

32c, 34c, 34c, 33c, 31c, 27c

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Not even going for the June record. I still think it will go, but what a turnaround.

Mark

Beckton, E London

Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.

saxtemp
23 June 2026 08:07:28
Does anyone know the highest temperature in Norfolk? Great Yarmouth and Cromer have 37/38 in Aperge/UKV which seems pretty astounding.
Charmhills
23 June 2026 08:08:52
The Met/o Deep Dive from Alex Deacon should be interesting watch later.
Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.

Ally Pally Snowman
23 June 2026 08:10:38

Not even going for the June record. I still think it will go, but what a turnaround.

Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 

Yes , I think we'll just about break the  record tmrw and Thursday.  But only just 36c something.  

Bbc still talking about 40c being reached,  you can imagine the GW denial muppets will have a field day.

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Chidog
23 June 2026 08:12:13
Thunder in the vicinity now here, and more rain coming soon on the radar. Epic bust of a forecast this one for today
Heavy Weather 2013
23 June 2026 08:15:40

Yes , I think we'll just about break the  record tmrw and Thursday.  But only just 36c something.  

Bbc still talking about 40c being reached,  you can imagine the GW denial muppets will have a field day.

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Its like in winter when there has been heavy snow and they say 'there is worst to come' when in fact we know that is already not the case.

Mark

Beckton, E London

Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.

+2
Rob K
23 June 2026 08:16:18

Just incredible for an island in the Channel. 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

I forget which year it was but I was in Guernsey when it hit 33C a few years ago, the hottest on record I believe.

I've just looked it up and it was July 2016, 32.6C was the official high.

Back to this week and the Met Office forecast has dropped from 38/40/40 a couple of days ago to 35/36/38. And it's still wrong as it has full sun symbols when in fact it is 7/8 overcast across most of the south.

I remember previous record-breaking days were already pushing 30C by 9am but it's just 24C here at the moment and the highest 9am reading anywhere in the country is 27C in Cornwall (excluding Jersey). Having an amber warning for heat just seems like a bad joke at the moment!

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

+1
saxtemp
23 June 2026 08:18:21

Yes , I think we'll just about break the  record tmrw and Thursday.  But only just 36c something.  

Bbc still talking about 40c being reached,  you can imagine the GW denial muppets will have a field day.

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

40c was on the UKV 15z yesterday so I wouldn't rule it out. Norfolk looking like well into the high 30s still. But overall yes, a day late and a dollar short as always.

warrenb
23 June 2026 08:21:16
23c here at the moment with Thunder rumbling around.
Tonbridge 45m 
Ally Pally Snowman
23 June 2026 08:25:05

40c was on the UKV 15z yesterday so I wouldn't rule it out. Norfolk looking like well into the high 30s still. But overall yes, a day late and a dollar short as always.

Originally Posted by: saxtemp 

I know we are all weather enthusiasts here but it does annoy me that professional Meteorologist like Matt Taylor can't adjust an obviously very wrong forecast more quickly.  BBC just look foolish.

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
BYF1
  • BYF1
  • Advanced Member
23 June 2026 08:27:41

Arome shows 36C today on the low res plots. Quite possibly a few 37Cs in the grib, but I don't have the time to check. 

UserPostedImage

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

There's a 37 and 36s not far from Yeovil area, a few other spots up to 36 up to almost the Humber on 03z Arome HD.

North downs, near Folkestone, 177m asl.
AJ*
  • AJ*
  • Advanced Member
23 June 2026 08:43:19
I was awake at around 5am when we had a thunderstorm with heavy rain here, and we've just had another small one that started appearing on the radar from nothing about an hour ago.
Angus; one of the Kent crew on TWO.

Tonbridge, 40m (131ft) asl

+1
Jiries
23 June 2026 09:03:28
Still lot of clouds here and there no heatwave anywhere and only 22C outside now as not rising due to little sun, just a bog standard warm spell today for most.

A definition of a heatwave mean no rain, no clouds and full sun from sunrise to sunset.  Now already 10am and lost 5 hours for temps to rise.  Just a bog standard warm to hot cloudy spell for most.  I hope the easterly winds to occur to clear this skies up.

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