I've seen reports suggesting next week as a whole could be the warmest ever recorded in the UK. Of course it will depend on how it is measured, e.g. single point, CET or UK.
Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze
Looking at e.g. the Heathrow gridpoint on the GFS you can see where that idea might come from!
Mind you, even here it's bonkers. Considering there would be an onshore breeze from the sea (currently 17C, goodness knows how high by next Friday!), I can't see how we'd get anywhere near 37... but the computer clearly thinks it's doable.
https://ukwct.org.uk/weather/fri.jpg

Note the frankly brutal amount of time at or above 35C too - it's the "area under the curve" effect (much beloved of A-level maths students studying integration) and it's why adding a degree or two makes things much, much worse - as it pulls that curve upwards such that you endure much more heat for much longer.
A protip for those who want record-breaking heat for whatever reason, keep an eye out for low dewpoints, i.e. below 10C and preferably below zero. That's what we saw in 2022 and it was part of the reason temperatures climbed as high as they did: dry air heats up more rapidly. There's an extra 35 minutes or so of daylight in southern England compared to the 19th July too, which will aid heating all the more.
(Can't believe I'm writing all this, considering I absolutely detest and loathe heat, but even I recognise a potentially historic event when I see one!)