As I started to read your post it started to rain quite heavily.

Showing +5 on my app.

Forget to add and its showing well on Brians radar

Yes it coming from the north that hit here now moved to your area so same applies to heavy snow showers coming dowm from the north with support of LP next to us over N Sea.  It was unforecasted rain showers and the latest ensembles show dry today and a spike tonight so there no spike for this morning rain here so it got it wrong at 0hrs.

Actually it was forecast patchy light rain from the cold front that moved south overnight.

The ECM probabilities from the 06z ensemble show an upper maximum extent of precipitation running in a line SE from north of Liverpool to the Essex coast, whilst the minimum extent just shows patchy precipitation across the western half of Wales.

That’s astonishing at 24 hours out.

https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwfens_cartes.php?ech=24&mode=2&map=&code=53 

https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/icon-eu.php?ech=42&mode=46&map=510 

Significant accumulations for the mountainous parts of northern Scotland!

Sounds about right - whatever the MetO site uses has slowly gone from a 50% chance to a 20% one IMBY. The sweet spot now looks like being the Reading area... I'll check the wolf webcam tomorrow!

TBH, I was very hopeful for my location, but it increasingly looks like even here is too far east.

Sounds good to me, I'm only 10 miles from the centre of Reading. I'll try to wake up early in the hope of seeing a few flakes! Not a sausage on the 15Z UKV though.

I dont know what model the Windows app uses but it has now sadly switched from snow to rain🤢

Here in Watford, 2.8 °C and -0.7 °C DP they are marginal and would need evaporating cooling in the heavier parts to turn to snow.

It seems there are two main areas. The one further east looks to be snow while the main one which is further west as forecast is mostly rain. I’m on the edge of the western one and as far as I can see there has only been light rain so far. 

Looking at the radar there is a heavier clump which seems more snowy currently approaching the Oxford area that may be heading my way if it stays together. 

https://www.sat24.com/en-gb/country/gb 

The amber warning comes into force at midday but I’m not sure what feature(s) it is associated with. This occluded front is giving quite a bit of snow just now: https://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax0.gif?02-6 

As long as it stays cold enough it may deliver quite a lot of snow to the affected areas.

According to the radar we were quite close to the "snow sweet spot" here. That said, I think the covering in November was deeper than this morning's.

That "fax" chart explains the warming and rain here - the warm sector was much further east than forecast yesterday, so we ended up having a lovely little warm sector interlude. Odd that the fronts haven't occluded at all on their way south, normally they "zip up" for want of a better way of describing it.

I was just going to bed at that time! At least I got to lampost watch again. Something havent done for years

🤞