And the current charts show ...
FAX: procession of depressions and associated fronts across Britain within a general envelope of low pressure stretching from the far W Atlantic to W Scandinavia (Depressions e.g. 988mb W Isles today, 973mb W Ireland Sat 6th, 985mb W Wales Sun 7th, other depressions are available) But there is a Scandi HP 1038mb White Sea Sun 7th.
GFS Op: That HP doesn't last and the procession of LPs resumes but after 985mb NW Ireland Wed 10th start taking a more N-ly track near Iceland (940mb dartboard Fri 12th) while pressure rises from the south 1030mb by Wed 17th, fed by mild SW-lies.
ECM: keeps LPs on amore southerly track for a few days after the 10th (970mb Ireland Fri 12th, 985mb Hebrides Sun 14th) before adopting a track near Iceland. But no sign of a dedicated rise in pressure by Wed 17th, just the usual pressure gradient in a W-ly flow.
AIFS: London maxima around 10C, cooler at first, milder early next week, then a long cloudy spell with virtually no difference in day-night temps to Wed 17th; small amounts of rain at any time. Edinburgh maxima like London but a couple of degrees cooler - and more day-night variation later on. Also rain at any time but heavier in first week.
GEFS: Op is the most optimistic about HP developing later; supported by runs P7, 9, 16 & 20 but not by others. Mean temps near norm at first, milder for most of next week, then mean back to norm but with a wide spread of ens members developing (10C above and below mean by by Fri 19th but op and control on the mild side) . Discrete episodes of rain at regular intervals in the S (esp SW) for a week, less focused an lighter in the N, then perhaps a little drier though still being shown in several runs.
War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce
Chichester 12m asl