Blizzards in July. 

The Coldest CET in the last 350 years.  11.5c . We are pretty close atm.

Ecm 12z was an unsettled outlier at the end but a major wobble tonight. Huge doubt on any improvement. 

… all the more shocking after such a run of above av. cet months.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html 

The woke movement have only the old school Greek heatwaves to report in the ‘headlines’ pretending 40c degrees is out of this world there.

Swap June and February - I wish!

Agreed, Matty.

I reckon that going by the current output, this month will do well to finish even close to average, let alone above.

Well if you don't believe in climate change it should be entirely expected to have some cold months even a -4.0c month and regular runs of 6 plus months with below average CET's just to balance the warm months out.  Of course that won't happen as the world is getting alarmingly warmer. 

In addition to that, you would also expect there to be as many cold temperature records as warm/hot temperature records overall if you didn't believe in climate change but that clearly isn't the case as high temperature records are broken on an alarmingly very regular basis with cold temperature records being very rare.

The cold start to this summer shows that quite clearly because although the negative temperature anomaly is quite big at the moment, I haven't heard of any records being broken for that or even being challenged whereas it would no doubt have been a completely different story if this summer had started off on an exceptionally hot note.

There clearly has to be some scientific explanation for that and if that isn't climate change, what is it?

The new and improved MetO raw has 21 today, then 19, 20, 21, 20, 20, 20 for the next six. GFS, for comparison, has 17, 15, 17, 18, 19, 15, 13... but it's barely worth taking note of, it's been atrocious this year and continues to be so.

GFS Op - current LP hangs around and dominates Britain until Tue 19th when it moves off N-wards. A weak ridge of HP follows from the W but SE England more affected by LP 1005mb Belgium Thu 20th et seq. New Atlantic LP approaches Scotland Sun 23rd with a spell of  cool zonal W-lies from Sun 23rd, later NW-lies. As this moves on to Sweden, a N-S ridge of HP sets up for Britain from Thu 27th, with N-lies for the E Coast and SE-lies for the W coast.

ECM - sticks with its predictions of yesterday; like GFS until Thu 20th when it places the HP further S so the SE is not affected by continental LP and Scotland has fresh W-lies.

GEM - slower to clear the current LP out of the way and then straight into the zonal pattern with HP scarcely putting in an appearance.

GEFS - temps getting back to norm in the next few days (in Scotland already so), and the mean stays there as the various ens members diverge - just a hint of something a but warmer after Thu 27th (jam tomorrow!). Quite a few ens members have a cool and wet period around Thu 20th in the S, drier later, but otherwise some rain at many times in most places, wettest in the NW.

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/en/topkarten.php?map=5&model=ecm&var=2&run=0&time=240&lid=OP&h=0&mv=0&tr=24#mapref 

Only a matter of time before that same airmass reaches this side the Atlantic. 

It would IMO take an exceptionally rare weather pattern to be in place for any cold temperature records to be broken in the summer these days. Especially when this has hardly ever happened in the winter in recent times, save for the likes of 2010.

That said, summer 2015 did I think record a below average CET for the season as a whole. This was a surprise to me as it didn't seem like an especially cool summer at the time, especially when one considers that it produced the UK's then hottest July day on record on 1st July.

I don't think that the time of year actually matters in that regard though.

Even on those odd occasions when we get a really cold spell in winter, that is still usually unlikely to break any actual records whereas high temperature records are broken on a regular basis with that tending to be the case regardless of the time of year when that's happening.

That is the point which I was trying to make here and so it is the all year round pattern of these records which I was referring to rather than just the scenario in summer.

I think the days of that happening are long gone. USA airmasses impact UK weather but they don't often move directly across the Atlantic and even if they do, they are greatly modified by the Ocean. 

We have to look south for our heat. 

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/en/show_diagrams.php?geoid=49069&model=ecm&var=2&run=0&lid=ENS&bw=1 

Different in a bad way (at least out to t+276)

The spring just passed turned out to be the warmest on record for CET as was mentioned earlier in the thread. When I first heard that I was surprised as the first couple of months produced hardly any notably warm weather in my locality unlike what has happened in March and April in numerous recent years. I think Helen Willetts of the BBC said the other day that it was the almost complete absence of any frost in all/most of the UK (largely a result of the dominance of cloudy & wet conditions) during the spring that was as much of a factor in the overall warmth of the season as the very warm daytime temperatures seen at times in May. Perhaps March and April were warmer in other areas, but to the best of my recollection neither month was never especially warm here at any point.

it looks like high pressure will be moving in as ne t week progresses? 

....then shunted aside by the next fat Atlantic low from the WNW

That's true. It would have been interesting to have seen what the final CET for the spring would have been had the very warm weather of May been preceded by rather more sunshine and settled weather in March and April, with warmer daytime temperatures but cooler nights with them.