Another filthy day, this pattern is stuck in a rut, and I would be very surprised if we see any decent warmth until mid June (if at all).
Summer pattern well and truly set in.
I know that you have always been well known here for telling us all that we are going to in for a miserably wet summer every single year (especially on the Model Output threads), even though we have actually ended up with some fairly decent summers in quite a number of those years.
However, the law of averages also tells us that if you carry on giving us that same prediction every year, there is bound to come a point in time in the end when that prediction will actually be right.
On that note, I am beginning to wonder whether or not, this will finally be the year when that happens.
Here in Edinburgh, we still have an ongoing rainfall deficit to be made up and if the overall trend is for it to become wetter here over time in the outlook period, that isn't going to bode very well for the coming summer as a result of that now only being a few weeks away.
Furthermore, there have often been a number of teasers during those springs leading up our recent best summers which have suggested that there was a good chance of that happening.
Most notably, the Azores High which we tend to rely on for giving us those decent summers would already be ridging into the UK at times. As a result, Gavin P. would then often describe the Azores High as being very ridgy in his videos where he would then go on to tell us that this would be very good news indeed if that continued into the summer (as it so often did on those occasions).
However, we haven't really seen any of that this year and this tells me that the Azores High is more likely on this occasion to be absent rather than present during the coming summer, no doubt being all too happy then return to our shores a further 6 months down the line and thus spoil yet another winter.
Edited by user
08 May 2023 21:23:27
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Reason: Not specified
The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.