Be interesting to see if the strat forecast from GFS is correct and whether it has an impact for the end of the month/early March. If it does become a SSW and it propogates I think it can bring a few days of unsettled weather as the westerlies get pushed down to the surface, even if blocking follows. (Lot's of if etc. there and if it all comes off there's still a decent chance it'll create a block in the wrong place for cold and we go very mild or get stuck under a trough).
Uneductated strat musings aside, one interesting thing in the models is the HP being more influential - nearly a complete turnaround from an unsettled 1st week or so of the month that looked the form horse a while ago.
Originally Posted by: Hippydave