Egg on face for the professional hurricane watchers who predicted an above-average season this year. The actual situation is:
With the season half over, we have seen 5 named storms, 2 hurricanes, and 0 intense hurricanes – the first time since 2014 that no intense hurricanes have been observed by the season’s halfway point. The 30-year average for this point in the season is 8.1 named storms, 3.4 hurricanes, and 1.5 major hurricanes.
and no disturbances at all today, normally the peak of the season
https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2022/09/little-damage-in-california-from-kay-the-atlantic-goes-quiet/
The problem seems to be the persistent high pressure which on its northern edge gave us SW-lies and a prolonged heat wave, was also on its southern edge sweeping dry air out of the Sahara to the region where tropical waves need moisture to develop.
That's the 'immediate cause'. But as to why this area of high pressure has been so persistent this year ...?
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl