It's a fairly dry outlier Ally, and with ECM looking a bit more unsettled, I think its anyone's guess after the heatwave dies out early next week.
Pretty sure we will see continued warmth for another month in patches, but a lot more rain too.
The ensembles are your friend Moomin. The 35 dayers have been consistently showing settled weather long term, and the main models all show pressure rising to between 1015 and 1020hPa from a week’s time to the end of the runs. That says settled weather in late August.
And now the ensembles all show consistently warmer than average uppers too.
Contrast this with early August 2018: all the long term ensembles were going unsettled, as were the Met Office mid rangers, despite the ongoing warm weather. And hey presto, the Augustcweather turned crap.
One more heatwave to come this summer I fancy.
Edited by user
12 August 2022 19:34:57
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Reason: Not specified
Brockley, South East London 30m asl