Summary temps confirm yesterday's trend of a general movement of warm air N-wards into western Europe including SE England; perhaps more of a bulge into Scandinavia in week 2 rather than yesterday's broad front, with the Atlantic and W Russia trailing. Fairly dry across Europe this week (v dry patches in Baltic, Biscay and Tyrrhenian); next week a lot wetter than shown yesterday with quantities of rain in France, Britain and Scandinavia, dry weather retreating to the Med.
Jet - not much action near UK until Mon 9th when a W-ly streak sets up across England, distorting into a loop around UK to the south by Sun 15th, fading by Wed 18th
GFS Op - weak ridge of HP aligned N-S over UK drifting E-wards but replaced by strong development of Azores High (1030mb for almost all UK Sun 8th) pushed aside by LP (980mb Faeroes Wed 11th, 980mb Hebrides Fri 13th, 990mb NI Mon 16th) with winds from W or SW before a rather uncertain pressure rise Wed 18th
FAX - less convinced about HP this week; weaker development and trailing fronts expected
GEFS - mean temps rising to a little above norm for next two weeks (but op & control cooler around Thu 12th, Scotland has a dip Sat 8th) and sporadic rain at first, more continuous from 11th, heavier in NW
ECM (yesterday's 12z) - like GFS until Tue 10th when deep LP 975mb off N Ireland appears, running NE-wards. A contrast from yesterday when ECM was being optimistic about HP hanging on
"Ground covered with snow this morning, having a great deal of snow in the night. This morning was fair but the air very cold" and "Very cold and very damp. Water overflows the ditches all round us ... Land springs about us were scarcely ever known to be so full as at present." Parson Woodforde's Diary, 13th and 17th March 1795, Norfolk
Chichester 12m asl