Wx summaries indicate a slight improvement in temp for England into week 2; the focus of rainfall moves from England in week 1 to NW Scotland in week 2 (but note - this based on GFS, if based on ECM would be different)
FAX tracks Evert from 992mb Cornwall last night to 996mb Dutch coast midnight tonight after which it becomes part of a complex low 991 mb Sweden which brings a cold front erratically S over the UK that finally clears Mon 2nd.
GFS - after the above cold front passes, the wind swings round to the W between HP near the Azores and LP near Greenland. The W flow brings a trough from the N 1000mb over Scotland Fri 6th with sub 552dam air down to N England. The W-ly flow then resumes until a new LP is embedded which pumps up some warmth from the S from Thu 12th. However at the end of run that LP gets closer and deepens 985mb Malin Sun 15th.
GEFS - in the S, cool until Wed 11th after which (with considerable uncertainty) the limited prospect of rising temps to the 15th. Scotland, a definite dip in temp Sun 1st after which resuming closer to norm than in the S, similar uptick at end. Intermittent rain throughout for all, perhaps a little drier towards end.
ECM - has different depression tracks, cyclogenesis to the SW rather than the NW, with the LP on Fri 6th passing across C England (at that time shallow, though earlier 990mb off SW Ireland) closely followed by another arriving Irish Sea 995mb Sun 8th, this time dragging in the sub 552dam air.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl