Jetstream continues to avoid the UK with a rather fragmentary appearance both to the N and S - occasionally a bit slips in our direction , from the N Tue 20th and from the S Sun 2nd, the latter as part of a cut-off low to the SW.
GFS shows HP ridge to Norway as before, with partial collapse Tue/Wed 20th/21st, resuming wth a more N-S orientation by Fri 23rd before decaying to a W-ly flow Wed 28th. The Atlantic revives at end of run with LP to W of Ireland Sat 1st bringing p troughs from the S by Sun 2nd, all looks well-dictated by the jet.
GEFS temps back to norm by Mon 19th and staying there to end of run Sun 2nd with less variation between runs than yesterday. As you go further N and W, there's a suggestion of a little cooler around Wed 21st and a little milder around Sun 25th. Only a little rain and that sporadically, best chances later on in the W.
ECM rather different after Wed 21st, keeping HP out to the W and showing LP 1000mb Holland Fri 23rd with N-ly gales for the east. This becomes a trough from Iberia to Norway with NE-lies for all Sun 25th before filling.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl