GEM has been holding the torch for this from the start. Lets all pray it has nailed this. ECM has been all over the place!
I think many of the models, even the most trusted ones, have been all over the place at one time or another for a considerable while now, even going back to the late part of November.
The general pattern of this winter seems to have been very difficult for the models to get a proper grip of when it comes to what happens at more than a few days ahead.
Lenzie, Glasgow
"Let us not take ourselves too seriously. None of us has a monopoly on wisdom, and we must always be ready to listen and respect other points of view."- Queen Elizabeth II 1926-2022