Crepuscular Ray
18 January 2021 13:44:42
Chris Fawkes just mentioned a 'nasty' snow event in southern Scotland on Wed night & Thurs morning
Jerry
Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill
tallyho_83
18 January 2021 13:48:22

Originally Posted by: Crepuscular Ray 

Chris Fawkes just mentioned a 'nasty' snow event in southern Scotland on Wed night & Thurs morning


Rain for N. Edinburgh then?


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Jiries
18 January 2021 14:10:21

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 


 


Rain for N. Edinburgh then?



Not a nice way to call the snow nasty the rain are nasty and the snow are wonderful event.

Saint Snow
18 January 2021 14:19:46

Originally Posted by: Quantum 



Potential for another major snow event for N england or S scotland. Rain will turn to snow on its northern edge through wednesday afternoon into Thursday.


 



 


The Manchester Snow Shield has extended itself westwards.




Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Joe Bloggs
18 January 2021 14:40:58

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


 


 


The Manchester Snow Shield has extended itself westwards.




LOL. Sorry mate! ;-) 


My eyebrows are raised for some snow shower potential for this weekend. Possibly into Friday. 


Your area as well as mine. Watch this space, may come to nothing but a cold westerly is always worth keeping an eye on. 



Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL

Russwirral
18 January 2021 14:59:05

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


 


 


The Manchester Snow Shield has extended itself westwards.




 


Frustration Hi-5


 


Ive never known a winter like it...


Saint Snow
18 January 2021 15:09:02

Originally Posted by: Russwirral 


 


 


Frustration Hi-5


 


Ive never known a winter like it...



 


They're just representations of NWP, but this winter, you just know the law of Sod is working overtime.


I did at least get snow the first fall on the 28th. It was like in a football game where early on you have a speculative shot and the keeper lets it right through his hands and you score. So you assume he's going to be like that all game and you get blase - but from then on the bugger pulls off amazing saves to deny you again and again.



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
18 January 2021 15:15:44

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 


 


Rain for N. Edinburgh then?



Yes, he made a point of saying that N.Edinburgh would have rain with heavy snow in south, west and east Edinburgh :)


Col
Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg
roadrunnerajn
18 January 2021 15:17:49

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


 


 


They're just representations of NWP, but this winter, you just know the law of Sod is working overtime.


I did at least get snow the first fall on the 28th. It was like in a football game where early on you have a speculative shot and the keeper lets it right through his hands and you score. So you assume he's going to be like that all game and you get blase - but from then on the bugger pulls off amazing saves to deny you again and again.



I like that analogy...


To use that analogy down here that’s like the goal keeper turning up 10 minutes early and he’s 15ft wide and 7ft tall.


Germoe, part of the breakaway Celtic Republic.
doctormog
18 January 2021 15:28:26

Originally Posted by: Col 


 


Yes, he made a point of saying that N.Edinburgh would have rain with heavy snow in south, west and east Edinburgh :)



 


Surely you mean "Yes, he made a point of saying that N. Edinburgh would have no weather with heavy snow in south, west and east Edinburgh"?



Saint Snow
18 January 2021 16:28:12

Originally Posted by: Hippydave 


Probably all change by the time we get there but Thursday looks interesting for some folks too:-


Chart image



 


LOL at you linking to the chart, and the chart changing with each run.


It's now showing the 12z and it looks much better for this region than the 6z 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Rob K
18 January 2021 16:31:33

GFSP looks more interesting for the south than of late.... Sunday night


 



Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Saint Snow
18 January 2021 16:34:00

In fact, the 12z keeps a snow band organised as it moves SE'wards over the whole country on Friday night/Saturday morning:


 



 



 



 



 


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Jiries
18 January 2021 16:46:12

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


In fact, the 12z keeps a snow band organised as it moves SE'wards over the whole country on Friday night/Saturday morning:


 



 



 



 



 


 



Midlands seeing several hours of snow but I will see it from the window first.

Hippydave
18 January 2021 17:57:13

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


 


 


LOL at you linking to the chart, and the chart changing with each run.


It's now showing the 12z and it looks much better for this region than the 6z 




Yeah, forgot about that, not very helpful!


It's certainly looking interesting for some folks, although I guess as with other recent 'events' frustrating/disappointing for others too.


 


Home: Tunbridge Wells
Work: Tonbridge
Joe Bloggs
18 January 2021 18:35:57

I’m currently watching Thursday night into Friday morning. 






Frontal potential aside, the models often underplay convective snow and I would not be at all surprised to see some Irish Sea showers into Friday morning, with the snow line gradually lowering towards sea level as the colder air moves SE. 



Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL

snow 2004
18 January 2021 19:27:50

Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs 


I’m currently watching Thursday night into Friday morning. 






Frontal potential aside, the models often underplay convective snow and I would not be at all surprised to see some Irish Sea showers into Friday morning, with the snow line gradually lowering towards sea level as the colder air moves SE. 



 


I’ve also had my eye on this one too. It’s a shame the Irish Sea is such a fickle set up. If the winds are too strong we risk driving in milder low level air off the Irish Sea. Lack of clear spells at night may stop temps lowering enough for decent accumulations at low levels. 


Then there’s the usual wait to see if the Irish Sea even generates decent enough convection. The slow moving WNW flow with -7 uppers is the holy grail for here. I’ve seen that give us 4 inches in a hour before. Potential for a lot of snow above 250-300 metres. Below this I think small accumulations if showers are prolonged and fall at the right time. 


 


Glossop Derbyshire, 200m asl
Joe Bloggs
18 January 2021 20:15:02

Originally Posted by: snow 2004 


 


 


I’ve also had my eye on this one too. It’s a shame the Irish Sea is such a fickle set up. If the winds are too strong we risk driving in milder low level air off the Irish Sea. Lack of clear spells at night may stop temps lowering enough for decent accumulations at low levels. 


Then there’s the usual wait to see if the Irish Sea even generates decent enough convection. The slow moving WNW flow with -7 uppers is the holy grail for here. I’ve seen that give us 4 inches in a hour before. Potential for a lot of snow above 250-300 metres. Below this I think small accumulations if showers are prolonged and fall at the right time. 


 



Completely agree!


Zero chance close to the coast I’d imagine, but better chances further east in the region with the snow line lowering as the hours go on into the weekend.


I bet you’ll see a flurry or two. 



Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL

dagspot
18 January 2021 21:45:46
Glasgow automated bbc gone from heavy snow symbols all night wed/thur now to sleet?
Neilston 600ft ASL
dagspot
18 January 2021 21:46:19
Moscow looks cold on BBC news...
Neilston 600ft ASL
Users browsing this topic

Ads