howham
19 January 2021 12:18:13

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

As expected they have removed the coastal strip of Aberdeen from the SWW on Thursday although there is a suggestion in the wording of up to 30mm of rain to look forward to instead. Christoph still looks like bringing hazardous wintry conditions further inland with altitude up here.


Suspect rain here, it has been that sort of winter here...

idj20
19 January 2021 12:37:14
Amazingly and much to my surprise/joy, the sun has come out here at Folkestone thus making it feel quite spring-like for it, but sadly Wednesday night looks disgusting with more rain and up to 65 mph gusts in from the south (the Channel). Once again, the curse of the night time southerly gales, but at least I am avoiding most of the current big rain for now (even with last night's 9.4 mm).

Folkestone Harbour. 
Crepuscular Ray
19 January 2021 12:42:09
I thought the Amber warning was a 'risk to life' where the worst flooding would occur downstream maybe?
Jerry
Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill
westv
19 January 2021 13:02:42

I'll google it. 


At least it will be mild!
Joe Bloggs
19 January 2021 13:24:40

It has been drier here than forecast so far, the band is further north I think, barely any rain for most of the morning. 



Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL

Saint Snow
19 January 2021 13:50:12

Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs 


It has been drier here than forecast so far, the band is further north I think, barely any rain for most of the morning. 



 


It was very wet last night, but you're right that up to now today the main thrust of PPN is to our north. 


Keep an eye on that arm of PPN currently over North Wales, though. I'm hoping we benefit from a bit of a rain shadow effect here, but it could reform as orographic forcing kicks in as it reaches the south Pennines and Peak. 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Zubzero
19 January 2021 14:08:11

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

Looks like a bit of a fail for the met office virtually everywhere under the amber warning are dry


?? The waning is valid till midday Thursday.

Bolty
19 January 2021 15:11:56
A washout so far. Nothing more, nothing less.
Scott
Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.
My weather station 
RobN
  • RobN
  • Advanced Member
19 January 2021 15:12:16

Originally Posted by: Zubzero 


 


?? The waning is valid till midday Thursday.



I also thought it was a tad premature to call the warning a "fail" only 6 hours into the 18 hour warning period


Rob
In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.
Tim A
19 January 2021 15:54:23
12mm here so far, nothing spectacular and main precipitation further north but as pointed out there is still a long way to go (44hours) of the warning and Wednesday is the real day when the system pivots further south .
Tim
NW Leeds
187m asl


Jiries
19 January 2021 16:18:02

This storm have no interest to me and just standard boring UK LP compare to Japan same set-up but brought severe snow storms and expected up to 40cm.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-55708417


Now that what you call it a proper winter storm.  Not sure why the drivers there are reckless and caused a 130 car pile up?  Perhaps they are not used to drive in snow storms before.  Any storms here never give 130 car piles up but much less in foggy conditions.

Weathermac
19 January 2021 16:31:30

Originally Posted by: Jiries 


This storm have no interest to me and just standard boring UK LP compare to Japan same set-up but brought severe snow storms and expected up to 40cm.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-55708417


Now that what you call it a proper winter storm.  Not sure why the drivers there are reckless and caused a 130 car pile up?  Perhaps they are not used to drive in snow storms before.  Any storms here never give 130 car piles up but much less in foggy conditions.



Yes Jiries we can but dream of 40cm of Snow here in Warwickshire 

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
20 January 2021 07:27:21

Snow and Ice warnings have been moved south from Aberdeen area to the Scottish borders this morning. 


Looking at rainfall forecasts, I'm surprised that Wales and thus the Severn valley later haven't been included in the amber weather warnings. FWIW Capel Curig in Snowdonia was the Meto's wettest place in the UK yesterday at 76mm before today's prolonged rainfall.


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Joe Bloggs
20 January 2021 07:32:54

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


 


 


It was very wet last night, but you're right that up to now today the main thrust of PPN is to our north. 


Keep an eye on that arm of PPN currently over North Wales, though. I'm hoping we benefit from a bit of a rain shadow effect here, but it could reform as orographic forcing kicks in as it reaches the south Pennines and Peak. 



It did reach here in the end but I think today is going to be the worst day. Absolutely pouring down this morning. 



Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL

Tim A
20 January 2021 07:44:19
15mm here from the system so nothing spectacular again this morning but more rain is setting in.
Main thing is the mildness, just hit 10.3c warmest temp since 19th December.
Tim
NW Leeds
187m asl


Rob K
20 January 2021 07:54:38

Originally Posted by: DEW 


Snow and Ice warnings have been moved south from Aberdeen area to the Scottish borders this morning. 


Looking at rainfall forecasts, I'm surprised that Wales and thus the Severn valley later haven't been included in the amber weather warnings. FWIW Capel Curig in Snowdonia was the Meto's wettest place in the UK yesterday at 76mm before today's prolonged rainfall.



I imagine the logic is that the Welsh mountains can cope with much greater rainfall than the flatter and more populated parts of the country. Days of 75-100mm of rain are not too unusual there. 


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
doctormog
20 January 2021 07:56:44

Originally Posted by: DEW 


Snow and Ice warnings have been moved south from Aberdeen area to the Scottish borders this morning. 


Looking at rainfall forecasts, I'm surprised that Wales and thus the Severn valley later haven't been included in the amber weather warnings. FWIW Capel Curig in Snowdonia was the Meto's wettest place in the UK yesterday at 76mm before today's prolonged rainfall.



That is actually a completely different warning. The original one for up here was changed (yesterday mowning) so that it now starts on Thursday (still rain here of course). The one across south Scotland was a new warning after snow has been more prevalent in that area than initially thought.


DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
20 January 2021 08:04:39

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


That is actually a completely different warning. The original one for up here was changed (yesterday mowning) so that it now starts on Thursday (still rain here of course). The one across south Scotland was a new warning after snow has been more prevalent in that area than initially thought.



Sorry, not looking far enough ahead so my remarks apply to today's chart of warnings. But revisiting that I notice that the Norther Isles have picked up a snow warming for today as well -not immediately visible when myinitial map is set to centre on the S Coast


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
20 January 2021 08:08:13

Originally Posted by: Rob K 


 


I imagine the logic is that the Welsh mountains can cope with much greater rainfall than the flatter and more populated parts of the country. Days of 75-100mm of rain are not too unusual there. 



I agree that Capel is no stranger to 3" of rain - but that fell with another full day of rain to come, and of course what falls on saturated hills has no course other than to fill up the valleys soon after


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
doctormog
20 January 2021 08:09:59

Originally Posted by: DEW 


 


Sorry, not looking far enough ahead so my remarks apply to today's chart of warnings. But revisiting that I notice that the Norther Isles have picked up a snow warming for today as well -not immediately visible when myinitial map is set to centre on the S Coast



Yes, I hadn’t spotted that either (although I think it is an ice warning?)


It certainly is a lively spell of weather, albeit unpleasant for many.


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