Rob K
01 June 2020 08:57:18

Originally Posted by: bledur 


 


 Even if June turns out to be a washout it will only be redressing the balance of a very dry Spring . One third off Summer gone but you had a Summer in May as good as it gets the whole Summer some years.



Indeed, April and May have been better than many high summer months here, so I feel like I've had my sunshine quota for the year and anything in "real" summer is a bonus. I have a week booked off work from June 15 though so hoping the unsettled spell blows itself out by then. The long-term models are fluctuating so much that it's still too early to call.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Matty H
01 June 2020 09:01:13

Originally Posted by: moomin75 


I am entitled to my opinion and based on gut feeling and experience I think we can write it off. Time will tell, and happy to be wrong on this! 



As you always are


Ally Pally Snowman
01 June 2020 09:46:39

It wouldn't be a summer on TWO without Moomin writing off an entire month at some point. 


Is there a TWO Summer forecast coming as it's normally one of the better ones? Perhaps it's being frantically rewritten.


 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Quantum
01 June 2020 10:10:23


Potentially record breaking low temperatures on Saturday in Scotland.


5.1C is the all time June minimax to beat.


 


Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Sevendust
01 June 2020 10:14:28

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


It wouldn't be a summer on TWO without Moomin writing off an entire month at some point. 


Is there a TWO Summer forecast coming as it's normally one of the better ones? Perhaps it's being frantically rewritten.



To be fair, he does have Arks to sell 

Quantum
01 June 2020 10:14:35

The true holy grail scenario is for the cold front on the 6th to develop a closed circulation. Secondary low + marginally cold air = Snow. Snow = record low daytime temperatures!


Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Brian Gaze
01 June 2020 10:23:01

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


Is there a TWO Summer forecast coming as it's normally one of the better ones? Perhaps it's being frantically rewritten.


 



It was issued earlier this morning.


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
briggsy6
01 June 2020 10:33:20

Minimax. I have a new word to add to my databank. A cinema for midgets or a low budget car for people trying to reduce their sugar consumption?


Location: Uxbridge
Rob K
01 June 2020 11:20:36

The 6Z GFS restores a bit of cheer in the latter stages with temps back to the mid 20s in time for my week off work (15 June) and the chance of some storms for the south...


 


PS looks like a decent summer overall in the TWO forecast. August being possibly the warmest month - now that really would be a turn-up!


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Ally Pally Snowman
01 June 2020 11:30:20

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


 


It was issued earlier this morning.



 


.


 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Ally Pally Snowman
01 June 2020 11:34:29

Originally Posted by: Rob K 


The 6Z GFS restores a bit of cheer in the latter stages with temps back to the mid 20s in time for my week off work (15 June) and the chance of some storms for the south...


 


PS looks like a decent summer overall in the TWO forecast. August being possibly the warmest month - now that really would be a turn-up!



 


Lots of easterlies on the 6z goes with my thinking for a good chunk of summer perhaps hot but also quite wet with lots of continental thundery weather.


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Ally Pally Snowman
01 June 2020 11:43:38

Are the GEFS picking up the first blowtorch of the summer? From the east?


 


 



 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
SJV
  • SJV
  • Advanced Member
01 June 2020 11:47:30

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


 


 


Lots of easterlies on the 6z goes with my thinking for a good chunk of summer perhaps hot but also quite wet with lots of continental thundery weather.



Temperatures above average, occasional hot spells with thundery weather drifting in off the continent? Sign. Me. Up 


Pleased to see the 06z GEFS entertaining the prospect of hotter weather towards mid-month 


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Hungry Tiger
01 June 2020 13:02:02

Originally Posted by: Quantum 



Potentially record breaking low temperatures on Saturday in Scotland.


5.1C is the all time June minimax to beat.


 




As low as that - Amazing.


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


David M Porter
01 June 2020 13:12:34

Originally Posted by: Matty H 


 


As you always are




Lenzie, Glasgow

"Let us not take ourselves too seriously. None of us has a monopoly on wisdom, and we must always be ready to listen and respect other points of view."- Queen Elizabeth II 1926-2022
forestedge
01 June 2020 13:36:15

Originally Posted by: bledur 


  It is the 1st of June . How you can write that i have no idea. We have had the driest spring in living memory and the sunniest so even the most blinkered person could see there might be some unsettled weather to come. This might be a short term change or a complete pattern change . We will have to wait and see . No forecast i have ever seen to this date over 40 years has ever correctly predicted a complete pattern change in advance.




Roger
Ashurst Bridge (New Forest)
9m ASL
https://www.newforestweather.co.uk 
moomin75
01 June 2020 13:46:57

Originally Posted by: David M Porter 


 



Not ALWAYS. Just most of the time in fairness to me.


Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
Quantum
01 June 2020 14:03:07

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 


 



As low as that - Amazing.



Tbf it is contingent on near constant preciptation, if the sun comes out it will probably be a few degs warmer (though even then unlikely to be double digits).


The ultimate scenario is a secondary low coming into the NW coast near dawn. Evap cooling + precip will turn it to snow. And snow will hold the temps even lower. Its unlikely but such a scenario was responsible for the latest ever ice day on record (mid April snow event if I'm not mistaken).


 


Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
David M Porter
01 June 2020 15:04:34

Originally Posted by: moomin75 


Not ALWAYS. Just most of the time in fairness to me.



I know that, Kieren. To be fair to Matty, I think he was just trying to wind you up a little.


Lenzie, Glasgow

"Let us not take ourselves too seriously. None of us has a monopoly on wisdom, and we must always be ready to listen and respect other points of view."- Queen Elizabeth II 1926-2022
moomin75
01 June 2020 16:08:24

A max of 1c and heavy snow in June in parts of Scotland must be absolutely exceptional. Unbelievable charts.


Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
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