GFS continuing zonal, with boost from LPs coming further south than of late and dragging in some polar maritime - e.g. Mon 24th/ Tue 25th 970mb Scotland, Sat 29th 970 mb N England, Wed 4th 980mb E Anglia; but at end of run Sun 8th the deep Atlantic low noted yesterday is standing off and pumping up warmth from the south. ECM similar to start with, but has the LP on Sat 29th over E Anglia at 975mb with northerlies behind it interrupting the zonal westerlies at least for a while.
After a few bursts of mildness in the next few days (and that mainly in the S) GEFS has a long period where the mean is a degree or two colder than the seasonal norm with the usual variability;pptn throughout and as yesterday snow row figures on a gradient from Inverness in the 20s to Plymouth in 1s and 2s.
Not unlikely that we will get cold outbursts in March as per ECM, but no sign of anything sustained ATM http://www.wxmaps.org/pix/temp4 - and the rain keeps coming, heaviest in the NW week 1 and in the S week 2 http://www.wxmaps.org/pix/prec4. Flood map now has most of the flooding in central areas as the rivers struggle to get rid of the upstream rainfall.https://www.floodalerts.com/
The jetstream hasn't given up directing disturbances across the UK though it is forecast to be somewhat further south in week 2 in line with the above
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl