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picturesareme
06 January 2020 20:07:20

In 1916 it was by some margin. Both November and March surrounding that winter were exceptionally cold. Must have been a very strange winter and nature must have got very confused

Originally Posted by: Spring Sun Winter Dread 


Yes at 7.5C 

ARTzeman
07 January 2020 10:56:04

Met Office Hadley      6th January 2019 CET was  3.9c.


Met Office Hadley            7.0c.        Anomaly        3.4c. Provisional to 6th.


Metcheck                         6.71c       Anomaly        2.55c


Netweather                      6.31c       Anomaly        3.12c


Peasedown St John     7.5c      Anomaly      2.22c.          






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Hungry Tiger
07 January 2020 11:27:06


Met Office Hadley      6th January 2019 CET was  3.9c.


Met Office Hadley            7.0c.        Anomaly        3.4c. Provisional to 6th.


Metcheck                         6.71c       Anomaly        2.55c


Netweather                      6.31c       Anomaly        3.12c


Peasedown St John     7.5c      Anomaly      2.22c.          


Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


Phew - I went for 6.0C thinking that was quite high. At this rate I've gone too low.


 


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


ARTzeman
08 January 2020 11:49:31

Met Office Hadley         7.1c        Anomaly     3.6c Provisional to 7th


Metcheck                      7.30c      Anomaly     3.15c


Netweather                   7.62c      Anomaly     3.43c


Peasedown St John      7.8c       Anomaly      2.52c       






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Hungry Tiger
08 January 2020 14:07:39
When you think we're on 7.1C atm. No cold spells in sight We're in the top 5 mildest January's territory now.  


5. 7.0 2007
4. 7.1 1834
3. 7.3 1796


2. 7.3 1921
1. 7.5 1916

Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Whether Idle
09 January 2020 08:11:22


When you think we're on 7.1C atm. No cold spells in sight We're in the top 5 mildest January's territory now.  


5. 7.0 2007
4. 7.1 1834
3. 7.3 1796


2. 7.3 1921
1. 7.5 1916

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 


Average temperatures from now to the end of the month will result in a drop to between 5 and 6, slightly above average will result in a drop to around 6c. 


Maintaining or even exceeding 7c will take some doing, its not impossible but not that likely either.


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
ARTzeman
09 January 2020 10:54:51

Met Office Hadley         7.4c.        Anomaly       3.9c. Provisional to 8th.


Metcheck                     7.50c        Anomaly       3.34c


Netweather                  7.89c        Anomaly       3.7c


Peasedown St John      8.2c         Anomaly       2.92c.  






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Hungry Tiger
09 January 2020 13:59:57


Met Office Hadley         7.4c.        Anomaly       3.9c. Provisional to 8th.


Metcheck                     7.50c        Anomaly       3.34c


Netweather                  7.89c        Anomaly       3.7c


Peasedown St John      8.2c         Anomaly       2.92c.  


Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


 



Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Global Warming
09 January 2020 22:07:01

Still looking quite mild for the foreseeable future. Not quite as warm as in the earlier update but the CET sticks above 7C for the foreseeable future, albeit somewhat below the CET record figure.


UserPostedImage


TABLE1


UserPostedImage


TABLE2

Hungry Tiger
10 January 2020 10:02:40


Still looking quite mild for the foreseeable future. Not quite as warm as in the earlier update but the CET sticks above 7C for the foreseeable future, albeit somewhat below the CET record figure.


UserPostedImage


TABLE1


UserPostedImage


TABLE2


Originally Posted by: Global Warming 



Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


ARTzeman
10 January 2020 11:05:36

Met Office Hadley        7.5c      Anomaly      3.6c. Provisional to 9th


Metcheck                     7.30c    Anomaly      3.15c


Netweather                  7.62c    Anomaly      3.43c


Peasedown St John      8.2c     Anomaly      2.92c    






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gusty
10 January 2020 11:07:29


Met Office Hadley        7.5c      Anomaly      3.6c. Provisional to 9th


Metcheck                     7.30c    Anomaly      3.15c


Netweather                  7.62c    Anomaly      3.43c


Peasedown St John      8.2c     Anomaly      2.92c    


Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


...before Gavin gets in first. 



Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
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ARTzeman
10 January 2020 11:17:34


 


...before Gavin gets in first. 



Originally Posted by: Gusty 

👍👌😈😵😭💪






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin P
10 January 2020 12:08:02


When you think we're on 7.1C atm. No cold spells in sight We're in the top 5 mildest January's territory now.  


5. 7.0 2007
4. 7.1 1834
3. 7.3 1796


2. 7.3 1921
1. 7.5 1916

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 


Must have been remarkable to get the first and second warmest January's on CET record within five years of each other! 


Rural West Northants 120m asl
Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://www.youtube.com/user/GavsWeatherVids
Hungry Tiger
10 January 2020 13:42:41


Met Office Hadley        7.5c      Anomaly      3.6c. Provisional to 9th


Metcheck                     7.30c    Anomaly      3.15c


Netweather                  7.62c    Anomaly      3.43c


Peasedown St John      8.2c     Anomaly      2.92c    


Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


Phew - we're now equalling the record.


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Spring Sun Winter Dread
10 January 2020 19:38:24
1796 is even more remarkable because it came just one year after the coldest Jan on record in 1795. A more than 10c year on year jump!
Bertwhistle
10 January 2020 20:05:32


 


Must have been remarkable to get the first and second warmest January's on CET record within five years of each other! 


Originally Posted by: Gavin P 


Is now, for sure; not sure the populus contemporarius felt the rush!


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
10 January 2020 20:28:06


 


Phew - we're now equalling the record.


Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 

Do we know what the CET stood at on 9th January in those record breaking years?


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Gusty
10 January 2020 20:41:45


Do we know what the CET stood at on 9th January in those record breaking years?


Originally Posted by: Caz 


The CET was around 8.5c at this stage of the month back in 1916 Caz. 


Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



Stormchaser
10 January 2020 20:51:39


Here's a possible spanner in the works for a record-mild January.


It will depend on how much amplitude the MJO carries into phases 6 and 7, as these promote high pressure across the UK in positions that tend to become chilly at the surface - though only with much probability for phase 7, which is currently looking questionable.


If it only holds through phase 6, then high pressure may dominate but from too far south to bring low temperatures to the CET region.


 


Incidentally, propagation to phase 7 could also set up some interesting stratospheric events... provided enough of the MJO action is in the N. Hemisphere. I'm still haunted by last year's S. Hemisphere-skewed MJO in Jan-Feb and the resulting huge shortfall on cold UK weather (albeit not entirely fruitless).


If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

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2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
10 January 2020 21:06:58


Still looking quite mild for the foreseeable future. Not quite as warm as in the earlier update but the CET sticks above 7C for the foreseeable future, albeit somewhat below the CET record figure.


UserPostedImage


TABLE1


UserPostedImage


TABLE2


Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


Not one day below average!


Now this got me thinking, how many months have had the daily CET below or above average for the entire month? Only the most extreme ones I would imagine. For winter months (summer can wait for warmer times) Jan/Feb 1963 spring to mind and also possibly Feb 1986. And moving in the other direction, Dec 2015.


Col
Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg
Bolty
11 January 2020 00:24:55
If this evening's GFS is anything to go by, the mildest January on record is now a serious consideration.
Scott
Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.
My weather station 
ARTzeman
11 January 2020 11:07:01

Met Office Hadley        7.3c     Anomaly    3.7c. Provisional to 10th.


Metcheck                    7.28c    Anomaly    3.13c


Netweather                 7.75c    Anomaly    3.65c


Peasedown St john     8.0c   Anomaly    2.72c.     






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
11 January 2020 11:59:12


 


The CET was around 8.5c at this stage of the month back in 1916 Caz. 


Originally Posted by: Gusty 

  So 1916 had a milder start and we’re a bit below that at this stage.  While I’m thinking this month will end above average, I think we’d have to go some to break the record.  I’m also thinking Hadley usually overcooks temps and downgrades at month end, so we may actually be a little lower than the daily updates would have us believe!   


I must be TWO’s greatest lover of record breaking weather but I can’t get excited this month because sadly, I don’t think it’s a contender!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
11 January 2020 12:01:53

If this evening's GFS is anything to go by, the mildest January on record is now a serious consideration.

Originally Posted by: Bolty 

I don’t want to knock anyone’s duck off, but I just can’t see it happening!   


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.

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