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The GFS, ICON, and GEM look good I think. But the UKMO is throwing the Mocker ball at their forecasts for UK weather.
Seeing what they are showing, and when they expect us to get this cold and snowy weather maybe we can get some of this!.
Not getting hung up on this at all. If it is cold and snowy away from where I am, I am still happy.
Tuesday and Wednesday and Wednesday night look very cold with chance of wintry showers and cold NW winds.
What happens on Friday to Wednesday January 25th to January 30th is up for grabs.
-5 to -8 at 850 hPa level, and Deep Low Pressure tracking from the NW to East SE in the UK- is good.
As we get closer to said events- it is the model outputs that matter heyy....
Taking my time every day, looks great fun to forecast UK weather. I need 7 days more wishful hopecasting...
They looking good, but the UKMO 12z is not on BOARD. If today's ECMWF supports the GEM, GFS, ICON and ARPEGE then I am with them.
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Climate is warming up, Scotland and N Ireland and North England still often gets some Winter frost, ice and snow, November to March, but the SE and South UK including S Central England and Wales, together with the West and North through the year, they sometimes get more rain than London and S SE England, where some longer dry fine spells without much heavy rain is seen every year.
The North Atlantic Sea often gets some much Colder Wintry conditions from November to March Months, and Mild SW and South winds tend to be more frequent over the East and SE of North Atlantic Sea, as the Azores High tends to stay in charge.
With this warmth and heat, the Central and South UK has become mostly free of snow and frost.