I think a combination of the split vortex and low solar HP forcing will be the engines to deliver the rest of winter?
The models will try and figure it all but they will not model the loss of PV ( failure to downwell and machinations as it tries to reform prior to final warming takes place) and the propensity for N.Atlantic blocking.
In all probability we will sit through the rest of winter unscathed as both E.Seaboard U.S. and Central/Southern Europe take reloading Arctic Plunge after reloading Arctic Plunge.
We either see transient NW driven cold/wet snow or the S.E./E tap into continental cold as long as the feed lasts but I think we have seen our 'pattern' and know no reason why it will not continue in this rut?
If I'm proved right then summer will be a blast......an oven blast......
Koyaanisqatsi
ko.yaa.nis.katsi (from the Hopi language), n. 1. crazy life. 2. life in turmoil. 3. life disintegrating. 4. life out of balance. 5. a state of life that calls for another way of living.
VIRESCIT VULNERE VIRTUS