The Weather Outlook

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Gavin D
18 January 2019 09:04:29

John Hammonds latest monthly forecast

  • Increasingly cold end to January
  • Several snowfalls possible
  • Some milder spells in February

 

Subscribers can read the full forecast here: https://weathertrending.com/2019/01/18/john-hammond-month-ahead-winter-freeze-over/

Gavin D
18 January 2019 11:39:25

Australia swelters through record-breaking heatwave

Australia has just sweltered through at least five of its 10 warmest days on record, authorities estimate. An extreme heatwave has afflicted the nation since Saturday, causing wildlife deaths, bushfires and an increase in hospital admissions.

Australia's Bureau of Meteorology said preliminary readings showed daily national temperature highs of 40C. The town of Noona in New South Wales meanwhile recorded a night-time temperature of 35.9C

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-australia-46886798?ns_campaign=bbc_weather&ns_linkname=news_central&ns_mchannel=social&ns_source=twitter

tallyho_83
18 January 2019 12:14:43

John Hammonds latest monthly forecast

  • Increasingly cold end to January
  • Several snowfalls possible
  • Some milder spells in February

 

Subscribers can read the full forecast here: https://weathertrending.com/2019/01/18/john-hammond-month-ahead-winter-freeze-over/

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

Not a premium member so can't read it!? - Some milder spells in Feb? does this mean cold over all with milder spells or becoming milder as we head into Feb?

Weather for week ahead by Garry Nicholson of Weather Online:

https://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/reports/week-ahead.htm

 

Week ahead - January 18, 2019

 

A wintry week ahead

Snow and bitter winds

Issued: 1000hrs Friday 18th January 2019 
Duty forecaster: Garry Nicholson


Sustained cold temperatures 

Cold and snowy weather is expected to dominate the rest of January with Arctic air masses influencing the British Isles. From Tuesday, very cold air is forecast to extend across the country, with heavy snow showers giving significant accumulations and disruption in some areas. By later next week, a bitter easterly wind is likely, maintaining cold weather for many days ahead. 

 


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)


Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Gavin D
18 January 2019 12:18:10

 

Not a premium member so can't read it!? - Some milder spells in Feb? does this mean cold over all with milder spells or becoming milder as we head into Feb?

 

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

 

Sign up then  it's free to do so

Gavin D
18 January 2019 12:19:29
Mid range met office update

UK Outlook for Wednesday 23 Jan 2019 to Friday 1 Feb 2019:

The latter half of next week looks to stay cold or very cold, with frosts likely most nights. There may be cloud, rain and hill snow perhaps on Wednesday or Thursday, but thereafter turning brighter with showers. These will feed in from eastern coasts, but are likely to bring sleet or snow for some. There is a small chance of a weather system approaching the northwest over the weekend, which could bring significant amounts of snow on meeting the cold air. However, this is still very uncertain and it is best to stay up to date with the latest forecast. It will stay cold until the end of January with spells of rain, sleet and snow at times. However, some drier and brighter interludes are still likely, with overnight frost.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Longer range hasn't updated yet

tallyho_83
18 January 2019 12:19:33

 

 

Sign up then  it's free to do so

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

I thought you had to pay?

 

Quite a snowy Ben Nevis: - I bet many Scottish ski resorts would welcome this after their snow drought! 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/gfh7n5qpt#?date=2019-01-18

 

 


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)


Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Gavin D
18 January 2019 12:22:35

Met office longer range now available

 

UK Outlook for Saturday 2 Feb 2019 to Saturday 16 Feb 2019:

The cold weather will continue as we head through the first half of February. There is a greater risk of seeing snow at lower levels as well as on the hills. Some drier and brighter periods are possible in the northwest, but in the south there is a chance of weather fronts approaching which bring a risk of rain, sleet and perhaps significant snow at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Gavin D
18 January 2019 12:24:51

 

I thought you had to pay?

 

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

 

Nope

 

https://weathertrending.com/membership-account/membership-checkout/?level=1

tallyho_83
18 January 2019 12:29:17

 

 

Sign up then  it's free to do so

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

Signed up - I can see the weekend quickcast video but can't see Feb forecast?


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)


Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Gavin D
18 January 2019 12:32:55

 

Signed up - I can see the weekend quickcast video but can't see Feb forecast?

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

 

Top menu bar thing you'll (hopefully) see various titles starting with Hello > Premium Content Subscribers to the right of that click 'weather' they're all in that section

 

tallyho_83
18 January 2019 12:33:16

Right signed up and taken a look:

This "ongoing and enhanced likelihood of snowfall" sounds interesting and positive for many parts esp the south.


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)


Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Whiteout
18 January 2019 12:41:36

Wow, another day and another upgrade in the forecast 


Home/Work - Dartmoor

240m/785 ft asl

Ally Pally Snowman
18 January 2019 12:49:03

Met office longer range now available

 

UK Outlook for Saturday 2 Feb 2019 to Saturday 16 Feb 2019:

The cold weather will continue as we head through the first half of February. There is a greater risk of seeing snow at lower levels as well as on the hills. Some drier and brighter periods are possible in the northwest, but in the south there is a chance of weather fronts approaching which bring a risk of rain, sleet and perhaps significant snow at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

 

Big upgrade

 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Solar Cycles
18 January 2019 18:02:24

Interesting times ahead for sure, someone somewhere could hit the jackpot.

Gavin D
18 January 2019 20:35:01

Later next week

Cold
Frosty nights
Risk of snow and ice
Sunny spells

It is no beast from the east

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46925661

PFCSCOTTY
18 January 2019 21:25:07

Later next week

Cold
Frosty nights
Risk of snow and ice
Sunny spells

It is no beast from the east

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46925661

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

yes he really emphasised NO beast from the East! 

nsrobins
18 January 2019 23:29:49

 

yes he really emphasised NO beast from the East! 

Originally Posted by: PFCSCOTTY 

Brett is a notorious mild ramper. I hope we get -13 uppers and deep snow to prove a point 😉


Neil

Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)

Stormchaser, Member TORRO

tallyho_83
19 January 2019 00:53:39

 

yes he really emphasised NO beast from the East! 

Originally Posted by: PFCSCOTTY 

I heard that ha! 

Darren Bett, PETER Gibbs and Jay Wyne are mild rampers i think! btw imagine if there was an easterly? which looks highly likely? then what?


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)


Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Gandalf The White
19 January 2019 01:01:31

 

Brett is a notorious mild ramper. I hope we get -13 uppers and deep snow to prove a point 😉

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

To be fair it was a forecast for next week and neither the UKMO nor ECM charts have anything exceptional next week.  On that basis his dismissal of the prospect of a ‘Beast’ looks reasonable, doesn’t it?


Location: South Cambridgeshire

130 metres ASL

52.0N 0.1E



PFCSCOTTY
19 January 2019 09:05:57
After looking at this mornings model run and seeing the posts of those with far more knowledge than me, is the only sure trend I have noticed in all of the years of viewing this forum, is whenever the long range forecast gets updated in a positive way for cold and snow, exactly the opposite appears to evolve....
tallyho_83
19 January 2019 11:57:17

After looking at this mornings model run and seeing the posts of those with far more knowledge than me, is the only sure trend I have noticed in all of the years of viewing this forum, is whenever the long range forecast gets updated in a positive way for cold and snow, exactly the opposite appears to evolve....

Originally Posted by: PFCSCOTTY 

Exactly - which then begs the question - are the longer range model output worth taking any notice if the shorter range models like the GFS keep flip flopping even at 4/5 days out?

Meanwhile back on topic the Online Weather for week ahead has been updated:

https://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/reports/week-ahead.htm

 


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)


Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Bertwhistle
19 January 2019 11:59:53

 

Exactly - which then begs the question - are the longer range model output worth taking any notice if the shorter range models like the GFS keep flip flopping even at 4/5 days out?

Meanwhile back on topic the Online Weather for week ahead has been updated:

https://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/reports/week-ahead.htm

 

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

And that was issued at 1000- still going for Ely/ anticyclonic with very low temperatures.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.

tallyho_83
19 January 2019 12:10:12

 

And that was issued at 1000- still going for Ely/ anticyclonic with very low temperatures.

Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 

I wonder how the Met Office update will go later today following yesterday's update and the fact they have said quite clearly that it will stay cold until the end of January for a while now.

Outlook for the UK over the next 6-30 days

UK Outlook for Wednesday 23 Jan 2019 to Friday 1 Feb 2019:

The latter half of next week looks to stay cold or very cold, with frosts likely most nights. There may be cloud, rain and hill snow perhaps on Wednesday or Thursday, but thereafter turning brighter with showers. These will feed in from eastern coasts, but are likely to bring sleet or snow for some. There is a small chance of a weather system approaching the northwest over the weekend, which could bring significant amounts of snow on meeting the cold air. However, this is still very uncertain and it is best to stay up to date with the latest forecast. It will stay cold until the end of January with spells of rain, sleet and snow at times. However, some drier and brighter interludes are still likely, with overnight frost.

UK Outlook for Saturday 2 Feb 2019 to Saturday 16 Feb 2019:

The cold weather will continue as we head through the first half of February. There is a greater risk of seeing snow at lower levels as well as on the hills. Some drier and brighter periods are possible in the northwest, but in the south there is a chance of weather fronts approaching which bring a risk of rain, sleet and perhaps significant snow at times.

Updated: 00:45 on Sat 19 Jan 2019 GMT


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)


Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Arcus
19 January 2019 12:32:35

Outlook for the UK over the next 6-30 days

UK Outlook for Thursday 24 Jan 2019 to Saturday 2 Feb 2019:

Thursday and Friday will see a very cold north to north-easterly airstream bringing sunshine and showers, the showers giving rain or snow and most frequent in the north and northeast. It looks breezy on Thursday perhaps with coastal gales in the south and east, although winds should ease on Friday. Widespread locally severe night frosts are also likely. Later on Friday, rain preceded by snow may arrive in the far west and northwest, accompanied by strengthening winds. During the weekend and following week a lot of fine weather is expected with the chance of some wintry showers. Staying cold or very cold, with widespread frost. However, some wet and windy weather is likely in the northwest, which may briefly spread further southeast giving some snow on encountering the colder air.

UK Outlook for Sunday 3 Feb 2019 to Sunday 17 Feb 2019:

The northwest of the British Isles may see changeable conditions at first, with spells of rain, strong winds and some snow at times. However, it should become drier, brighter but colder here as the period unfolds. Meanwhile further southeast some bright, quiet periods are expected but with some wintry showers too, the detail of which is very uncertain. It is likely to be cold or very cold, and as a result widespread, locally severe frosts are on the cards. The conditions described above could still be interspersed by some milder, wetter interludes, most likely across southern parts of the British Isles, and this would bring an associated risk of significant snow and ice at times.


Ben,

Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire

30m asl

Gavin D
19 January 2019 12:33:01
Met office

UK Outlook for Thursday 24 Jan 2019 to Saturday 2 Feb 2019:

Thursday and Friday will see a very cold north to north-easterly airstream bringing sunshine and showers, the showers giving rain or snow and most frequent in the north and northeast. It looks breezy on Thursday perhaps with coastal gales in the south and east, although winds should ease on Friday. Widespread locally severe night frosts are also likely. Later on Friday, rain preceded by snow may arrive in the far west and northwest, accompanied by strengthening winds. During the weekend and following week a lot of fine weather is expected with the chance of some wintry showers. Staying cold or very cold, with widespread frost. However, some wet and windy weather is likely in the northwest, which may briefly spread further southeast giving some snow on encountering the colder air.

UK Outlook for Sunday 3 Feb 2019 to Sunday 17 Feb 2019:

The northwest of the British Isles may see changeable conditions at first, with spells of rain, strong winds and some snow at times. However, it should become drier, brighter but colder here as the period unfolds. Meanwhile further southeast some bright, quiet periods are expected but with some wintry showers too, the detail of which is very uncertain. It is likely to be cold or very cold, and as a result widespread, locally severe frosts are on the cards. The conditions described above could still be interspersed by some milder, wetter interludes, most likely across southern parts of the British Isles, and this would bring an associated risk of significant snow and ice at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

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