I don't post in these threads normally but as this afternoons Beeb weekly forecast was interesting I thought maybe no one else saw it so maybe say something. Cutting it very short, they basically said by the end of the week it will be a battle between cold from the east and mild from the west, where it meets could well be be snow, but as usual they don't know where it'll meet.

Yep - I mentioned that forecast earlier and how it appeared to contradict the Beeb's text monthly outlook.

Poor BBC monthly no sign of the forecast SSW having any effect by early January.  

Given it's already most likely gone to pot by this Thursday by the BBC's own admission (Shaff's "The current thinking has changed in the last 24 hours"), I wouldn't worry too much! 

His comment was referring to the coming battle between the mild air to the west and cold air to the east; the thinking has shifted today towards the cold air winning out in the initial clashes but he said the milder weather would push in later in the weekend.

UK Outlook for Saturday 15 Dec 2018 to Monday 24 Dec 2018:

A spell of wet and windy weather looks likely to move east across the country on Saturday. There could be some snow where the colder air meets the wet weather, most likely over the hills in the north, but it may fall to lower levels in places too. Thereafter, the weather is likely to be changeable and often windy and cloudy, with showers or longer spells of rain at times. Any snow is most likely on high ground in the north. During the following week,there may be some drier spells for a time with more sunshine, but clearer colder nights would lead to some night frost. Overall, temperatures are likely to be around normal for the time of year.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 25 Dec 2018 to Tuesday 8 Jan 2019:

The early part of this period, including Christmas, is looking fairly changeable with showers or longer spells of rain, possibly wintry over higher ground. Temperatures look likely to be around normal for the time of year. However, later in the month and into the New Year, there is the chance of high pressure becoming established close to the UK. This would bring drier and colder weather, and a greater chance of night frosts and fog.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc-outlooks/glob-seas-prob 

Very keen to know what they go for as last month's update trended average - which could mean colder ...so this month's update? 🙂

"A heavy snowstorm has swept through US south-eastern states, killing at least two people and leaving hundreds of thousands without power.

A state of emergency has been declared in North Carolina, with some areas reporting as much as 0.5m (18.5ins) of snow over the weekend.

One man died after a tree fell on his car. A search is under way for a driver whose vehicle was found in a river.

Thousands of flights were also cancelled across the region."

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-46504527 

https://twitter.com/Hudsonweather/status/1072174076431601665 

Yes it was referring to the mild/cold battleground being won by the colder air mid-week - that was my point in relation to the BBC text forecasts that had the milder air winning out by Thursday/Friday.

Low pressure dominates

Wet and windy at times

Fairly mild

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/46515390