Have you seen the ensembles?

One of the runs, IMBY, has gusts well into the 90s mph - 94mph, to be exact. Not sure there'd be a BY left if that run came off!

Incidentally, Folkestone is even worse:

https://weather.us/forecast/2649258-folkestone/ensemble/euro/wind-gusts

163kmh = 101mph!

(EDIT: It's ex-Florence, IIRC. The forecasts in the States up to yesterday showed it being punted into the Atlantic and it shows up well as an elongated low off Canada tomorrow. http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/avnpanel1.gif )

Originally Posted by: Retron 

I know the 90mph winds are unlikely to come off, but wouldn't it be ironic if Florence inflicted stronger winds on the UK than it did on the US?

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=126&mode=0

I am getting a bit worried by this and conference is starting in Liverpool

Florence will undergo a sex change though and be called Ali - stupid name. Who comes up with this rubbish. Why not just call it Abdul or something

Edit - I see Ali is now Wednesdays system, so I don't know what Florence will become

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

Nothing comical about Ali if ICON 6z is right.

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

"Florence" most likely be called Bronagh should the outputs for Sunday bear fruit. I mean, who actually bears that name these days?

Is it too soon for me to say I'm already bored of Autumn now?  

Originally Posted by: idj20 

The consistency shown by GFS for a major storm across the country on Sunday is unerring with once again rapid cyclogenesis of the remnants of Florence between Sat pm and Sun pm, by which time 80+ mph winds sweep across the south and midlands.

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

The consistency shown by GFS for a major storm across the country on Sunday is unerring with once again rapid cyclogenesis of the remnants of Florence between Sat pm and Sun pm, by which time 80+ mph winds sweep across the south and midlands.

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

It annoys me to even get involved in a conversation about naming low pressure systems such is the contempt I hold for this ridiculous convention, but according to the ‘rules’ any low worthy of the assignation of a name, either under Met Eirann rules or UKMO rules, that has remnants of tropical systems still entrained in its circulation, will retain the name of the said tropical system.

I can therefore announce that should the weekend storm be a named one it will keep it’s name (Florence) and not be given a new name (Bronagh) despite it qualifying for a new one and it being an ex former one. In Holland it’ll still be ex Florence and not another name again as they use different names. And so the pantomime continues.

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

Would certainly blow the cobwebs away wouldn't it? 

Originally Posted by: Gavin P 

I honestly cant remember seeing those colours being used before

100mm of rain, upwards of 140mm of rain in the space of 18 hrs.  This is quickly turning into something exceptional

Originally Posted by: Russwirral 

I honestly think the winds wont be the story - it will be the flooding.  All the rain coming down off those hills.  I would be very concerned if i live on one of those valleys off the hills ie Glossop etc...

Originally Posted by: Russwirral 

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU12_264_1.png

Hopefully a repeating chart for winter

Originally Posted by: ballamar 

In GFS-Op-Land it might be, but UKMO and ICON not really having it in terms of development, tracking and intensity:

Interesting to see how this gets resolved.

Originally Posted by: Arcus 

GFS really has gone off on one this afternoon - I hope!

From the excellent XCWeather, for my back yard (north Kent):

EDIT: GFS has mean 70mph windspeeds just off the east coast of England on Sunday... that's just a couple of mph short of hurricane force. Scary and I hope it's wrong!

Originally Posted by: Retron