The Weather Outlook

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P+ve Giant
20 August 2018 13:08:40

6.4mm on the 15/16th to add, plus 1.2mm on 18th/19th from Ernesto's remains have aided the lawns' recovery but still just 25.2mm so far this month. Maybe the Bank Holiday weather jinx could apply to give the garden borders a proper drink! Still bone dry just an inch or two below ground level.


John.
ARTzeman
21 August 2018 13:34:41

26.4 mm To Date. 




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

johncs2016
21 August 2018 13:44:49
So far as at 2pm this afternoon, a total of 0.6 mm of rain has fallen during today at Edinburgh Gogarbank, along with 0.4 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

For Edinburgh Gogarbank, that takes this month's total so far to 41.6 mm, the total for this summer so far to 139.6 mm and the total for this year so far to 407.0 mm as at 2pm this afternoon.

For the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, that takes this month's total so far to 55.2 mm, the total for this summer so far to 139.4 mm and the total for this year so far to 410.6 mm as at 2pm this afternoon.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

johncs2016
22 August 2018 12:16:20

In the end, a total of 0.6 mm of rain fell during yesterday at Edinburgh Gogarbank, along with 0.4 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

In addition to that, a total of 5.8 mm of rain has fallen during this morning so far as at 12 noon, along with 5.4 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

For Edinburgh Gogarbank, that takes this month's total so far to 47.4 mm, the total for this summer so far to 145.4 mm and the total for this year so far to 412.8 mm as at 12 noon.

For the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, that takes this month's total so far to 60.6 mm, the total for this summer so far to 144.8 mm and the total for this year so far to 416.0 mm as at 12 noon.

Since more rain has now fallen at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh during this month so far than the 1981-2010 August average for that location, this month will now go down as being a wetter than average month at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh in terms of the amount of rainfall, as well as the number of official rain days. That will be the case regardless of what happens between now and the end of this month.

For Edinburgh Gogarbank, it is a completely story as at least another 20.5 mm of rain still needs to fall there between now and the of the month in order for this month to then end up being wetter than average in terms of the actual rainfall amounts. That is still possible and the general immediate outlook is still fairly unsettled. However, both the GFS and ECMWF models point to the next 7 to 10 days being drier than average overall which would therefore, render that is being unlikely.

However, only another three official rain days are needed between now and the end of this month in order to make this month wetter than average there in terms of the number of official rain days at Edinburgh Gogarbank, and that is something which is far more feasible.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

P+ve Giant
22 August 2018 23:06:15

1mm in the 48hr period of 20th/21st and the 22nd saw 2.5mm from the latest weak weather system. Total now at 28.7mm which is roughly half of the local average at this stage of the month. 


John.
Andy J
23 August 2018 16:01:14

14mm from last night brings our total to 45mm, and not far short of our August average now (59mm).


Gainsborough, Lincolnshire.
POD
  • POD
  • Advanced Member
23 August 2018 16:36:26

5.2mm this morning, 67.2mm to date.


Pat, Crawley Down, West Sussex, 121m asl.
johncs2016
23 August 2018 17:45:29

In the end, a total of 5.8 mm of rain fell during yesterday at Edinburgh Gogarbank, along with 5.4 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

In addition to that, a total of 1.4 mm of rain has fallen during today so far as at 6pm this evening, along with 1.2 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

For Edinburgh Gogarbank, that takes this month's total so far to 48.8 mm, the total for this summer so far to 146.8 mm and the total for this year so far to 414.2 mm as at 6pm this evening.

For the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, that takes this month's total so far to 60.6 mm, the total for this summer so far to 144.8 mm and the total for this year so far to 416.0 mm as at 6pm this evening.

Just at least two more rain official rain days need to occur at Edinburgh Gogarbank between now and the end of this month, for this month to go down as being wetter than average at that station in terms of the number of official rain days.

However, at least another 19.1 mm of rain needs to fall at Edinburgh Gogarbank between now and the end of this month in order for this month to go down as being wetter than average at that station, in terms of the actual rainfall amounts.

According to the latest model output, that remains possible but unlikely, despite the fact that the botanic gardens in Edinburgh is already going down as being officially wetter than average during this month both in terms of the actual rainfall amount, and of the number of official rain days.
.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

ARTzeman
24 August 2018 15:36:50

26.7 mm  To Date. 




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

ARTzeman
24 August 2018 20:50:40

36.0 mm.  To  Date.




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

johncs2016
24 August 2018 21:49:01

In the end, a total of 1.6 mm of rain fell during yesterday at Edinburgh Gogarbank, along with 1.2 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

In addition to that, a total of 1.8 mm of rain has fallen during today so far as at 10pm tonight, along with 3.8 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

For Edinburgh Gogarbank, that takes this month's total so far to 50.8 mm, the total for this summer so far to 148.8 mm and the total for this year so far to 418.2 mm as at 10pm tonight.

For the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, that takes this month's total so far to 65.6 mm, the total for this summer so far to 149.8 mm and the total for this year so far to 421.0 mm as at 10pm tonight.

Just at least one more rain official rain day needs to occur at Edinburgh Gogarbank between now and the end of this month, for this month to go down as being wetter than average at that station in terms of the number of official rain days. WIth this coming Sunday expected to be a wet day, that should now happen without any problems.

However, at least another 17.1 mm of rain needs to fall at Edinburgh Gogarbank between now and the end of this month in order for this month to go down as being wetter than average at that station, in terms of the actual rainfall amounts. There is still an outside chance of this happening but whether it does or not, may well depend on how much rain we get from Sunday's weather system.

If we get a big total from that, this could be what results in this month being wetter than average at Edinburgh Gogarbank in terms of the actual rainfall amounts.

If the total amount of rain from that weather system is small though, this could equally result in that being the final nail in the coffin which kills off altogether, the chances of this month being wetter than average at Edinburgh Gogarbank in terms of the actual rainfall amount.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

ARTzeman
25 August 2018 08:54:24

36.3 mm.   To  Date.




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

P+ve Giant
25 August 2018 11:26:09

Total now at 41.7mm which is 66% of the local average at this stage of the month. 


John.
bradders
25 August 2018 15:15:24

45.9mm to date.


Eric. Cheadle Hulme, Stockport.

ARTzeman
26 August 2018 07:24:19

36.6 mm. Just started raining.




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Gusty
26 August 2018 07:26:27

52.2 mm. Today's rainfall will put us in the above average monthly category for the first time since April. 


Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 

Join Kent Weather on Facebook.

https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



speckledjim
26 August 2018 07:46:00
31mm
Thorner, West Yorkshire



Journalism is organised gossip

ARTzeman
26 August 2018 11:44:47

42.5 mm To Date. 




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

picturesareme
26 August 2018 14:02:47
over an inch of rain has fallen so far and it continues to hammer it down..

August is certainly going down as a wet one now in the south with close to 100mm (possibly more in places).

ARTzeman
26 August 2018 14:11:38

10.2 mm Today.

47.7 mm This Month.




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

johncs2016
26 August 2018 17:13:10
In the end, yesterday was a completely dry day at Edinburgh Gogarbank, although 0.2 mm of rain was recorded during yesterday at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh probably due to condensation.

However, a total of 4.2 mm of rain has fallen during today at Edinburgh Gogarbank so far as at 5pm this afternoon, along with 3.2 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

For Edinburgh Gogarbank, that takes this month's total so far to 55.0 mm, the total for this summer so far to 153.0 mm and the total for this year so far to 420.4 mm as at 5pm this afternoon.

For the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, that takes this month's total so far to 69.0 mm, the total for this summer so far to 153.2 mm and the total for this year so far to 424.4 mm as at 5pm this afternoon.

Since the number of official rain days during this month so far at both Edinburgh Gogarbank and the botanic gardens in Edinburgh is now more than the 1981-2010 August average for each respective station, this month will now go down as a wetter than average month at both of those stations in terms of the number of official rain days.

Since more rain has fallen at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh during this month so far than the 1981-2010 August average for that station, this will also go down as a wetter than average month at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh in terms of the actual rainfall amounts.

However, the latest rainfall total for this month so far at Edinburgh Gogarbank is still 12.8 mm short of the 1981-2010 August average for that station. The outlook for the rest of this month is changeable, but that period is likely to be drier than average overall.

This doesn't mean that there won't be any more rain days between now and the end of this month. However, further frontal systems are likely to be much weaker than today's weather system and bring only a band of showery rain. Any other rain which falls during the rest of this month is likely to just be in the form of showers and so the overall amount of rain from that isn't expected to amount to much.

This means that in order for this month to still have a chance of being wetter than average at Edinburgh Gogarbank, there needed to be quite a big total out of today's weather system as a result of that being the most active system which we are likely to see between now and the end of the month.

However, it would appear as though today's total falls well short of what was required for that to happen and because of that, we can probably now safely that this month will now gown as being slightly drier than average at Edinburgh Gogarbank in terms of the actual rainfall amount, albeit still wetter than average in terms of the number of official rain days.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

sunny coast
26 August 2018 17:45:40

just over 80mm for the month still raining today with appraoching an inch now today , so a wet month now

idj20
26 August 2018 19:41:28

Just gone past the 10 mm mark for today, pretty much as per the models forecast for 7 to 15 mm across Kent.


Home location: Folkestone Harbour.
picturesareme
27 August 2018 02:21:11
Just over 30mm yesterday
Gusty
27 August 2018 03:35:43

14.4mm yesterday brings the monthly total now to 66.6mm.


Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 

Join Kent Weather on Facebook.

https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



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