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Things look a bit more uncertain tonight. Extreme heat (35C or higher) looks likely on Thursday and Friday and we may get another go during the first week of August. Onwards...
Looking much cooler after Friday thank god. Hopefully that’s it for summer!
Seems a strange thing to say when the ensembles suggest that the most prolonged heat is yet to come, after a brief cool-down next week.
Very much so keep your deicer handy
Somthing Ironic that much cooler is around 25C!
Looks probable that August could be a record breaker.
I hope not... 10 months of drizzle is not a nice thought...🙄
Takes all sorts!
Edit: met office up until 22.08. “Temperatures are expected to remain widely above average for most, with further spells of very warm or hot conditions probable, and a likelihood of very hot conditions at times, especially in the south.”
That comment is as daft as some of your winter is over posts beast lol
xioni2 posted in last thread: https://weather.us/forecast/2643743-london/ensemble/euroSurprised they don't go higher than that if there are really >25C 850s.
xioni2 posted in last thread: https://weather.us/forecast/2643743-london/ensemble/euro
Surprised they don't go higher than that if there are really >25C 850s.
You can see the 850s by going to temperature > 850 on those weather.us links.
(The highest on any of the 52 members on the 12z run yesterday was 23C for London, not 25C).
GEM is very overrated sometimes.
4th in accuracy after ECM, UKMO and GFS.
Funny how we all look at GFS because it provides so much more free data and runs 4 times a day.
4th in accuracy after ECM, UKMO and GFS.Funny how we all look at GFS because it provides so much more free data and runs 4 times a day.
It seems very prone to big swings and showing more extreme conditions.
GEFS are the hottest I've seen this summer the Control run gives a week of 35c + .
ECM is stunning again to start August although the high doesn't quite get in the right position to draw up the highest uppers. Still 30c in the south by day 9 though.
Yes the ECM doesn’t quite draw up the 15C+ air but it still looks very warm and settled. The first week to 10 days of August at least look odds-on to be very summery, even away from the SE.
Even the GEM grudgingly gives us some warmth in the end.