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GFS 06z giving us an autumnal weekend.
Yes, the drought is coming to an end. In the past, when the pattern breaks, it stays broken
I'm not convinced the high will build back again. John Hammond may be correct
Yes, the drought is coming to an end. In the past, when the pattern breaks, it stays brokenI'm not convinced the high will build back again. John Hammond may be correct
I direct you to this thread: https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twocommunity/default.aspx?g=posts&t=19077
A flick through 06z GEFS members for Wednesday next week indicates around 90% have a strong build of high pressure back over, or to the east of, the UK. Given the confidence of the forecasters' predictions of heat building again next week, it's a fair assumption that quite a few other models' ENS members are showing a similar pattern.
That right as the 15-16C uppers line take all day Friday so there enough time for real heat to achieved before the cooler air arrive early on Saturday morning.
See my post in the Summer Chat thread - MetO going for 37c in parts of SE on Friday, 30% chance of all-time UK temperature record being broken, dependant on cloud amounts.
Again, no actual evidence to back up this There is support across the models for a re-build of high pressure yet you think one bog-standard area of low pressure that may only give some showery rain to eastern areas is going to break the pattern
Oh to be a mod again
Some astonishingly hot runs in the 6z update.
http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png
Very hot one and not sure why they put too much precips as it was correct less before but anyway it won;t happen as i seen those freak high precis not coming off. In order to get record high temps next week it need to stay dry so the ground can support higher temperatures.
When you look at the global temperature maps shown on the front of today's tabloids it's no wonder really we're seeing such an extroadinary heatwave this Summer. A sign of things to come methinks.
Another 1c rise from the Met office for Friday the July record would go with that getting oh so close to the all time record as well
http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.pngVery hot one and not sure why they put too much precips as it was correct less before but anyway it won;t happen as i seen those freak high precis not coming off. In order to get record high temps next week it need to stay dry so the ground can support higher temperatures.
I am liking Manchesterrs
http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Manchester_ens.png
It’s times like these that makes living in the south east a real treat.What is so striking about next weeks bout of heat is not only the intensity, but the duration. It seemingly goes on all week with no real end in sight.
You mean a real curse?
When your fridge packs in, I'm sure you will change your tune
P6 having a laugh.
P2 is all out on its own, let's hope that doesn't verify!
P6 having a laugh. P2 is all out on its own, let's hope that doesn't verify!
Ties in very nicely with todays update from the met office who've upped Fridays high to 37c
Except that's for next Friday's... maybe 37C this week and 39C next?
Perhaps even a nice round 40C
We break the July record on Friday, then break the all-time/August record next week. That's sorted then.
would make April June July and August wouldn’t?
We came close in April but no cigar. June was nowhere near - the record is 35.6C in 1976. I think the June record is one of the hardest to break - conditions are rarely good enough to deliver such heat in June. That being said, if the July 2015 record had occurred just a day earlier, it would have been the June record instead.