BBC monthly outlook

Monday 7 August—Sunday 20 August
An unsettled week to come.

We've got some more showery days to come first though, with further thundery downpours possible, just like we saw at the weekend. By Wednesday these showers will become confined to the southeast of England as pressure builds from the west, and although quite windy midweek, the northwest of the UK will see some fine weather. Most places will have a dry day on Thursday as a ridge of high pressure topples in, but it does just that, topple and then move away again, leaving the door open for outbreaks of rain later, lasting into Friday. So far, so familiar, but the weekend holds some hope with something a little drier developing across the southern half of the UK. Temperatures will stay close to average, which means the low 20s Celsius across England and Wales, and the high teens for Scotland and Northern Ireland.

Monday 14 August—Sunday 27 August
A little drier for some of us.

During the middle part of the month it looks as though high pressure will sit to the southwest of the UK and try to exert its influence a little further north, across central and southern parts of the UK. This would bring more settled weather to the southern half of the UK, but with weather fronts moving around the northern side of the high there will be rain and strong winds at times further north; no sign of summer here then sadly. By the end of the week the influence of high pressure is likely to remain in place, with temperatures generally staying close to average, perhaps on the warm side for southern England.

Monday 21 August—Sunday 10 September
What about the end of the summer?

Well, a northwest - southeast split seems the most favoured set up. High pressure is likely to be close by, sat to the south of the UK, giving the best of the dry weather across the south and east. More unsettled and changeable conditions are expected across the north and west. Being unsettled doesn't mean a washout though, quite the opposite, and there will still be dry days for Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England. Temperatures look as though they'll stay near normal for most of us but still with a chance of something a little warmer for southern England.

Next week

As we move closer to September, could summer arrive fashionably late to the party?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Sunday 13 Aug 2017 to Tuesday 22 Aug 2017:

Sunday looks set to be mostly fine for all, but rain is likely to move across most parts by Monday bringing strong winds across the northwest. Meanwhile the far southeast maysee a few showers. By the middle part of next week, the rain will ease to leave many with a short spell of settled weather, before Atlantic weather systems bring further spells of heavy rain, and strengthening winds across all areas by the latter part of next week. From then on, a northwest/southeast split seems to prevail with longer spells of drier weather towards the southeast, meanwhile the northwest will experience rain and strong winds at times. Temperatures will vary around normal or somewhat below for the time of year, but with warm spells possible in the south.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 23 Aug 2017 to Wednesday 6 Sep 2017:

Through the latter part of August and into early September, we are likely to see a northwest-southeast split in the weather. This will bring changeable conditions across the northwest, with spells of rain and strong winds at times, whilst the south and east should be drier and more settled. As a result, temperatures may often be warmer in the south with a low chance of it turning very warm and thundery across some southeastern areas. In contrast, temperatures will remain close to normal across the north.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Tuesday 15 Aug 2017 to Thursday 24 Aug 2017:

The weather is likely to be rather changeable next week with rain clearing eastwards on Tuesday, followed by a brief spell of bright and showery conditions. Towards the latter half of the week, Atlantic weather systems will bring more prolonged spells of heavy rain, and strengthening winds across for some parts of the UK. Overall though, southeastern parts of the UK are more likely to see longer periods of dry and fine weather, meanwhile northwestern parts are likely to see more frequent periods of rain and strong winds. Temperatures will vary around normal or somewhat below for the time of year, but it will feel warm in any sunny periods, especially in parts of the south.

UK Outlook for Friday 25 Aug 2017 to Friday 8 Sep 2017:

Through the latter part of August and into early September, we are most likely to see a northwest/southeast split in the weather, although confidence in this is low. This will bring changeable conditions across the northwest, with spells of rain and strong winds at times, whilst the south and east will be drier and settled more often. As a result, temperatures may often be warmer in the south with a low chance of temporary warm and thundery conditions for some southeastern areas. In contrast, temperatures will remain close to normal or perhaps a little below across the north.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Thursday 17 Aug 2017 to Saturday 26 Aug 2017:

Thursday and Friday will be unsettled. Brief bright spells are likely, although there will also be showers or longer spells of rain. Some of the showers are likely to be thundery. It will also be windy with coastal gales. The remainder of the period is set to see a continuation of the changeable theme, with spells of wet and windy weather interspersed by brighter, showery conditions. Northern and some western areas are likely to see the heaviest rain and strongest winds, perhaps with coastal gales at times, whilst the best of any drier weather is expected towards the south and southeast. Temperatures will begin a little below average, although should recover to nearer normal in the drier, brighter interludes. Possibly becoming warm at times in the south and east.

UK Outlook for Sunday 27 Aug 2017 to Sunday 10 Sep 2017:

Through the latter part of August and into early September, we are most likely to see a northwest/southeast split in the weather, although confidence regarding this is very low. This weather set-up will bring changeable conditions across the northwest of the UK, with spells of rain and strong winds at times, whilst the south and east will be drier and settled more often. As a result, temperatures may often be warmer in the south and east, especially across south-eastern counties. In contrast, temperatures will remain close to normal or perhaps a little below across the north and parts of the west.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 14 August—Sunday 20 August
Sunshine and showers, turning cooler later.

After a couple of cool nights through the course of the last weekend, the working week will get off to a similarly clear and chilly start across the extreme east of the UK. Further west though, a low pressures system and its attendant weather fronts will bring outbreaks of often heavy rain, particularly for Northern Ireland, southwest Scotland and later Wales. Many central and eastern areas will stay dry with hazy spells of sunshine through most of Monday though.

Through Monday night into Tuesday, the same area of rain will gradually traverse east, giving a cloudy and wet start to Tuesday in the east, and a brighter start across western areas of the UK. The rain in the east should clear into he North Sea fairly readily though, leaving a theme of sunshine and heavy, thundery showers in place for the rest of the day.

Wednesday will most likely be a dry and bright day for all, following another relatively chilly start. Indeed, despite the sunny spells, temperatures will only just about peak at average across the UK, although conditions should still feel relatively fine in the sunnier intervals.

Overnight into Thursday will bring a further weather system in from the Atlantic, in association with an Atlantic low pressure system. The rain will clear to the east early on Thursday, leaving a legacy of sunshine, heavy thundery showers and a slightly cool feel will follow in its wake. Winds will tend to strengthen across northwestern areas of the UK too.

As we progress through the end of this week, it looks like the low pressure system that arrived close to northwestern regions on Thursday will edge away east, perhaps allowing a more settled start the weekend. At time of writing, most of the forecasting tools at our disposal are indicating that a further Atlantic low will move in to northwestern areas again to bring spells of showery weather, but there are signs that southern and eastern parts of the UK could stay drier and brighter for longer.

Monday 21 August—Sunday 27 August
Events in the western Atlantic affect our forecast

It should be noted that this forecast period is beset with an unusual level of uncertainty. At time of writing, the overwhelming majority of forecast solutions offered by a range of computer models suggest that a relatively deep area of low pressure will be positioned just to the northwest of the UK. Such an eventuality would mean that northwestern regions of the UK would again be under threat of further showers or longer spells of rain, relatively low temperatures for the time of year and strong west to southwesterly winds. Conversely, such a synoptic pattern would mean that southern England will most likely enjoy the best of the weather, with lengthy dry spells and temperatures edging up into the mid-twenties.

As we move through the period, most models suggest a continuation of the theme of low pressure to the north of the UK, with pressure remaining higher to the south, which will translate to weather conditions in the UK being roughly in line with the themes mentioned above.

The source of the uncertainty in forecast details throughout this period lies in the potential for significant tropical storm activity that is anticipated across the warm waters of the Caribbean and western Atlantic. This factor may at first seem rather inconsequential to the weather closer to our shores. It should be noted though that such tropical disturbances can inject a good deal of moisture and energy into the prevailing Atlantic synoptic pattern. The knock on effect is that small perturbations can form in the Atlantic jet stream, which are often missed by the forecasting models. These perturbations can have a large effect on the track of any Atlantic lows that pass close to or over the UK. As a consequence, there is a unusually low level of confidence for the forecast details for this period. Stay in touch with the BBC weather team to find out how the forecast develops over the coming days!

Monday 28 August—Sunday 10 September
Uncertainty continues into climatological autumn

The relatively high level of uncertainty in the forecast details described in the previous section unfortunately continue to be an issue throughout the remainder of August and into the first week of September, which is the start of the climatological autumn. At time of writing, the most likely scenario is that a strong Atlantic jet stream will continue to push weather systems in from the west to bring spells of rain, followed by intervals of sunshine and showers. Models continue to hint that high pressure will on occasion become established across the the southern half the UK, meaning that lengthier dry spells and slightly warmer than average conditions will most likely prevail across southern and eastern England, and perhaps southern areas of Wales at times.

Next week

With summer slowly coming to an end, and at this stage no real sign of any extended periods of hot weather, can we perhaps look into September and hope that early autumn will bring us a warmer spell? Stay across the latest developments in the longer term forecast here at BBC Weather!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Saturday 19 Aug 2017 to Monday 28 Aug 2017:

Showers and perhaps more persistent spells of rain and strong winds clearing northeast on Saturday, with drier and sunnier conditions following for Sunday. However, we may see further cloud and rain arriving into the far southwest later on Saturday, spreading northeastwards across the United Kingdom during Sunday. Into next week we are likely to see a continuation of the changeable conditions, with further spells of wet and windy weather spreading across the United Kingdom at times, mainly affecting the northwest, with some brighter and showery interludes. We may start to see the weather settling down around the middle of next week, especially in the south. Temperatures look set to remain around or a little below the average, although it may begin to become warmer generally next week.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 29 Aug 2017 to Tuesday 12 Sep 2017:

For the end of August and into the first part of September, we are most likely to see changeable weather conditions dominating across the UK. However, there is a chance of some more prolonged dry and fine weather at first. As a result, on balance there are likely to be spells of rain and strong winds at times, especially across the north and west, whilst the south and east can expect to see the best of any drier and brighter spells. Temperatures may become warm at times across the south and southeast. However, they will generally remain close to normal or perhaps a little below across the north and some western areas.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

WEATHER WARNING: Tropical storm to RAVAGE Britain as warmer weather sends rain and gales

http://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/841179/weather-august-uk-storm-gert-tropical-bank-holiday-summer-holidays-birmingham-newcastle 

WEATHER WARNING: Tropical storm to RAVAGE Britain as warmer weather sends rain and gales

http://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/841179/weather-august-uk-storm-gert-tropical-bank-holiday-summer-holidays-birmingham-newcastle

For some reason, something made me look into that link anyway, and noticed that article was written by a new "weather" boy, called Thomas Hunt.

That's a very unfortunate rhyming slang just waiting to take off.

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Monday 21 Aug 2017 to Wednesday 30 Aug 2017:

Rain should sink southeast on Monday, followed by showers in the north and west. Largely settled conditions are likely to develop across the majority of the UK by the middle of next week as showers and rain ease away. A few days of generally settled weather is then expected, barring a few showers. Through the rest of the period, it will probably turn more changeable on the whole with spells of rain, showers and strong winds at times, the heaviest of which are expected in the northwest. However, prolonged drier and brighter periods are likely between these spells of unsettled weather. Temperatures look set to remain around or a little below the average at first, although it may become generally warmer from the middle of next week.

UK Outlook for Thursday 31 Aug 2017 to Thursday 14 Sep 2017:

For the end of August and into the first part of September, we are most likely to see changeable weather conditions dominating across the UK. However, there is a chance of some more prolonged dry and fine weather at times too. As a result, on balance there are likely to be spells of rain and strong winds at times, especially across the north and west, which will then be interspersed with several days of drier and warmer weather. Temperatures may become warm or very warm at times, especially in the south. However, they will probably remain generally close to normal for the time of year elsewhere.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Tuesday 22 Aug 2017 to Thursday 31 Aug 2017:

An unsettled start with showers or longer spells of rain are likely to affect the north on Tuesday with strong winds. Sunshine and showers are expected elsewhere. Drier and brighter conditions will probably spread to other areas on Wednesday and winds will ease. Through the rest of next week, it is likely to be rather changeable in the north with spells of rain. Places further south will see more prolonged drier, brighter and warmer conditions. For the rest of the period, it is most likely that many areas will see spells of cloud and rain at times, interspersed with a few days of brighter, showery conditions. Temperatures look set to be around average for the time of year, although it could turn warm in the south at times.

UK Outlook for Friday 1 Sep 2017 to Friday 15 Sep 2017:

As we head into September, we are most likely to see changeable weather conditions dominating across the UK. However, there is a chance of some more prolonged dry and fine weather at times too. As a result, on balance there are likely to be spells of rain and strong winds at times, especially across the north and west, probably interspersed with several days of brighter and showery weather. Temperatures may become warm or very warm at times, especially in the south. However, they will probably remain generally close to normal for the time of year elsewhere.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

I was wondering what anyone thought about this article on ex-Hurricane Gert which is expected to affect our weather during next week (and in some other parts of the country, as early as tomorrow).

That article was taken from the Edinburgh Evening News which is a local newspaper here in Edinburgh, which is also a sister paper of the Scotsman (these days, both papers are part of a company called the Johnson Press Group).

My question here is whether you believe that this article is just more of the usual over-hyped stuff which you would normally see in the mainstream media (especially in the politically-biased press), or whether you believe that this is actually a good, worthwhile article.

 

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BBC monthly outlook

Monday 21 August—Sunday 27 August
Some warmth in the south, but wetter in the north

This week begins with a low pressure system centred just to the northwest of the UK. Across the southwestern half of the UK, outbreaks of patchy rain will be accompanied by extensive low cloud and a muggy feel, whereas northeastern regions will begin on a fresher and brighter note. The rest of Monday will see the humid, cloudy and damp conditions move northeastwards towards southern Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England, where rain could turn quite heavy later in the day.

By Tuesday, the rain will be confined to Scotland and Northern Ireland, where it could again turn heavy at times. Further south, skies will often be cloudy, but any brighter spells in the south could permit highs into the mid-twenties. Through Wednesday, a cold front will sweep from west to east across the UK, bringing further spells of rain, to be followed by much brighter conditions later, though still with showers, particularly in the north. A noticeable drop in humidity will accompany the clearer conditions, making for a pleasant feel. Given that the cold front will likely take much of the day to reach the far southeast of England, temperatures here could peak in the high twenties.

For the remainder of the week, and into weekend, at time of writing, the majority of computer models suggest that pressure will remain low towards the north and northwest of the UK. As a result, our best estimate at this stage is that many northern and central parts of the UK will remain breezy with the risk of showers and a cooler feel, though still with the chance of some pleasant sunny intervals. The best chance of drier, brighter and warmer weather will across southern, and particularly southwestern parts of the UK. However, as noted above, there is a considerable amount of uncertainty in the detail for this period, which largely relates to how the jet stream is influenced by tropical developments in the Atlantic. So stay up to date with the latest forecasts throughout the week to make the most of the Bank Holiday weekend.

Monday 28 August—Sunday 3 September
A mixed bag for the start of autumn!

As we move into September, the relatively high level of uncertainty in forecast detail continues to be a feature of the weather forecast. At the moment though, indications from forecast model data do tend to suggest that the Atlantic jet stream will be positioned such that pressure will remain low to the north and northwest of the UK much of the time. This scenario will permit a continuation of the cool and showery theme to the northwest, with the greatest chance of lengthier drier and warmer spells occurring across southeastern parts of the UK. That said, a significant minority of forecasting models do allow pressure to build over a greater proportion of the UK. Should this scenario unfold, much of the UK could enjoy finer weather, with showery conditions limited to the far north. All will depend on how a significant bend in the jet stream way to the south of the UK develops, and at present there is no model consensus on how this feature evolves through the period. As always, we will keep abreast of the latest developments and keep you updated!

Monday 4 September—Sunday 17 September
Still no real agreement!

At time of writing, forecasts from the different computer models for the middle part of September were decidedly divergent! That said, on weight of evidence, it is thought the most likely scenario is for wet and windy conditions to affect most parts of the UK at times, with the possibility of occasional gales, and a generally cooler feel. Conditions will certainly not be continuously poor though, with some drier and brighter spells expected, particularly further south. We await further forecast model data with interest!

Next week

Will next week bring any greater degree of confidence in the longer term forecast!? Will any sign of some early autumnal warmth appear!? Find out the answers to both these questions in next week's issue...

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Saturday 26 Aug 2017 to Monday 4 Sep 2017:

Saturday is likely to be dry for most of us and warm in the east. One or two showers remain possible. Sunday and Bank Holiday Monday will probably become changeable again, with heavy showers or longer spells of rain, particularly in the north and west. However, parts of the southeast may stay mainly dry with some sunny spells. It will be windy at times, especially in the north, with a risk of gales here. Into the following week, there remains a lot of uncertainty, although we may continue to see spells of wet and windy weather, particularly in the northwest, with drier spells, mainly in the south. Temperatures will probably be near normal, though perhaps rather warm at times in the south.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 5 Sep 2017 to Tuesday 19 Sep 2017:

During this period, we are most likely to see changeable weather conditions featuring across the United Kingdom. However, there will be some dry and fine weather at times too. On balance spells of rain and strong winds are likely to dominate in the north and west, with drier and brighter weather more common in the south and east. Temperatures will probably remain close to normal for the time of year in most parts, though they may become warm or very warm at times in the south.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Sunday 27 Aug 2017 to Tuesday 5 Sep 2017:

Sunday will probably become changeable again, with heavy showers or longer spells of rain arriving, particularly in the north and west. However, parts of the southeast are likely to stay mainly dry with some sunny spells. It will be windy at times, especially in the north. On Monday a band of cloud and rain may sink southwards across the country, with brighter conditions following on behind. Into the following week, there remains a lot of uncertainty, although we could continue to see spells of wet and windy weather, particularly in the northwest. It will be drier in general across the southeast, although there is a risk of some thundery showers here at times. Temperatures will probably be near normal, though perhaps rather warm at times in the south.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 6 Sep 2017 to Wednesday 20 Sep 2017:

During this period, we are most likely to see changeable weather conditions featuring across the United Kingdom. However, there will be some dry and fine weather at times too. On balance spells of rain and strong winds are likely to dominate in the north and west, with drier and brighter weather more common in the south and east. Temperatures will probably remain close to normal for the time of year in most parts, though they may become warm or very warm at times in the south which may generate some thunderstorms.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Wednesday 30 Aug 2017 to Friday 8 Sep 2017:

By the middle of next week, there will be a rather unsettled spell of weather across the UK, with some spells of wet and windy weather, particularly in the northwest. Some showers are likely elsewhere too, but it will be drier, brighter and a little warmer in general across the southeast. Into the start of September, there are signs of a more settled spell emerging, particularly across southern parts. However, in the north it still looks to be rather changeable with sunshine and showers, and perhaps a few longer spells of rain. Temperatures are likely to be where we would expect for this time of year or a little cooler in the north. Further south it will feel warm in sunny periods.

UK Outlook for Saturday 9 Sep 2017 to Saturday 23 Sep 2017:

During this period, we are most likely to see changeable weather conditions featuring across the United Kingdom. However, there will be some dry and fine weather at times too. On balance spells of rain and strong winds are likely to dominate in the north and west, with drier and brighter weather more common in the south and east. Temperatures will probably remain close to normal for the time of year in most parts, though they may become warm or very warm and humid at times in the south which may generate some thunderstorms.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Thursday 31 Aug 2017 to Saturday 9 Sep 2017:

By the end of this week it's looking likely to turn changeable with spells of rain interspersed with some drier and brighter interludes. A settled and brighter picture is likely to develop towards central and southern parts, with a chance of seeing heavier persistent rain and strong winds at first in the southeast. It will feel cooler than recent days for many with some chilly nights. By next weekend and into the start of September, the weather is set to turn fairly settled once again, particularly in the south, whilst the north sees spells of rain and stronger winds. Temperatures are likely to be around average for this time of year, with some places becoming very warm in the south but always a little cooler into the north.

UK Outlook for Sunday 10 Sep 2017 to Sunday 24 Sep 2017:

During this period, we are most likely to see changeable weather conditions featuring across the United Kingdom. However, there will be some dry and fine weather at times too. On balance spells of rain and strong winds are likely to dominate in the north and west, with drier and brighter weather more common in the south and east. Temperatures will probably remain close to normal for the time of year in most parts, though they may become warm or very warm and humid at times in the south which may generate some thunderstorms.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 28 August—Sunday 3 September
A hot bank holiday....

This week starts with the late August bank holiday, and it's shaping up to be a hot one for parts of England and Wales. The record was set in 1990 with 28.3C; and with favourable conditions of clear skies and light winds a new record may be on the cards. It's a different picture further north as an active weather front brings rain and strong winds to Scotland and Northern Ireland, sinking south into northern England later. This front will eventually spread cooler weather across much of the UK through Tuesday. The far south-east may hang on to some more humid conditions leading to the odd thundery shower. Midweek looks rather changeable with rain and showers in most areas and temperatures around normal; however high pressure looks set to take charge as we head toward the weekend, bringing more generally settled and dry weather for much of the UK.

Monday 4 September—Sunday 10 September
A fair start to Autumn...

Much of the UK will be dry, fine and settled in the first week of climatological Autumn with temperatures on the higher side of average. However north-western areas are likely to start to see a change to more windy and damp conditions, while the south will still be prone to thunderstorms in any warmer plumes of air. The more changeable, windy and at times wet conditions are likely to spread south into England and Wales; however the south east may still hold on to some residual warmth and trigger some thundery downpours.

Monday 11 September—Sunday 17 September
A change back to more settled weather?

Mid-September has been rather settled over the last couple of years with high pressure dominating the UK. We could see a repeat performance this year with some computer models in favour of this scenario, however the signals are shrouded with uncertainty at this point...

Next week

Will next week bring any signals for a more Autumnal feel in the long range outlook?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Sunday 3 Sep 2017 to Tuesday 12 Sep 2017:

After a chilly and perhaps misty start for some, Sunday witll be mostly settled and warm, with some sunshine, though rain may reach the west later. Monday may bring some rain or showers, mainly in the north and west, but elsewhere it will likely remain dry. Turning increasingly changeable from Tuesday onwards, with spells of rain interspersed with some drier and brighter interludes. Southeastern parts will see a good deal of dry and bright weather, however some showers are possible at times. Northwestern parts will likely see spells of rain and stronger winds, with a chance of gales. Temperatures are likely to be around average for this time of year, with some places becoming very warm in the southeast, but it will always be a little cooler in the north.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 13 Sep 2017 to Wednesday 27 Sep 2017:

Through this period, we are most likely to see changeable weather conditions across the United Kingdom. There will be some rain around, however there will also be some dry and fine weather too. On balance the spells of rain and strong winds are likely to dominate in the north and west, with drier and brighter weather more common in the south and east. Temperatures will probably remain close to normal for the time of year, though we may see short-lived warmer spells at times.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Tuesday 5 Sep 2017 to Thursday 14 Sep 2017:

Tuesday will probably bring a good deal of dry weather across the UK, especially in the east, although it will be mostly cloudy with the odd outbreak of rain or drizzle possible. Some is likely in the north and west. From Wednesday onwards it will turn increasingly changeable with spells of wet and windy weather interspersed with some drier and brighter interludes. The heaviest rain and the strongest winds will be in the west and northwest, with a risk of gales at times. South-eastern parts will probably see a good deal of dry and fine weather, however some locally heavy showers are possible. Temperatures are likely to be around average for this time of year, with some places becoming warm at times in the southeast.

UK Outlook for Friday 15 Sep 2017 to Friday 29 Sep 2017:

Through this period, we are most likely to see changeable weather conditions across the United Kingdom with spells of wet and windy weather interspersed with drier and brighter interludes. On balance the spells of rain and strong winds are most likely in the north and west, with drier, brighter weather more common in the south and east. Temperatures will probably remain close to normal for the time of year, though we may see short-lived warmer spells at times, especially in the southeast. There is a chance of a period of more settled conditions developing towards the end of the period.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Wednesday 6 Sep 2017 to Friday 15 Sep 2017:

Wednesday looks like being rather a breezy day. It is likely to stay mainly dry with just a few showers. However, from then onwards the weather will turn increasingly changeable with spells of wet and windy weather interspersed with a few drier and brighter interludes. The heaviest rain and strongest winds will be in the west and northwest, with a risk of gales here at times. South-eastern parts will probably see more dry and fine weather, but some heavy showers are possible here too, particularly at the start of the period. Temperatures are likely to be around average for this time of year, though the south-east may become quite warm at times, especially in sunny spells.

UK Outlook for Saturday 16 Sep 2017 to Saturday 30 Sep 2017:

Through this period, we are most likely to see changeable weather conditions across the United Kingdom with spells of wet and windy weather interspersed with drier and brighter interludes. On balance the spells of rain and strong winds are most likely in the north and west, with drier, brighter weather more common in the south and east. Temperatures will probably remain close to normal for the time of year, though we may see short-lived warmer spells at times, especially in the southeast. There is a chance of a period of more settled conditions developing towards the end of the period.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast