BBC monthly outlook
Monday 24 July—Sunday 30 July
July set to end on a Low
As we go into the last week of July, there are some typical British summer weather conditions on the way with drier, warmer days but rain never too far away. After the very showery conditions of this past weekend, the early part of the week does look to be drier and brighter with fewer showers and a lot of dry weather. Still some showers over eastern England on Monday otherwise many places will be dry with sunny spells and warm in the sunshine too. These conditions continuing on Tuesday with temperatures not too far from normal for late July and with light winds, it will feel very pleasant in the sunshine. All change for Wednesday, a trough of low pressure will bring a band of rain eastwards across the country during the day.
The rain will be persistent and heavy for a time but moving through relatively quickly. Thursday will see a return to drier and brighter weather, some sunshine and fresh westerly winds. Friday will also see a lot of dry weather with sunny spells but all change again in the west later. As we head towards next weekend, it does look as though another area of low pressure will make its way across the Atlantic towards the British Isles, bringing another spell of wet weather. It will also be windy at times with gales in the north.
Monday 31 July—Sunday 6 August
New month, same old weather
Further areas of low pressure will keep the unsettled theme going into the first week of August. There will be further bands of rain crossing the country with drier and brighter interludes in between. The most prolonged and heaviest rainfall will be across northwestern areas where it will be windy at times too. It will be driest and brightest for longest across more southeastern areas. No heatwave during this period, the air coming in from the Atlantic will keep temperatures close to or even a little below what we would normally expect in early August.
Monday 7 August—Sunday 20 August
High pressure fights back
As we move into the second week of August, there are indications of high pressure beginning to build close to the British Isles. This would suggest longer spells of drier weather with large gaps between the areas of low pressure. Also the areas of low pressure are expected to pass close to northwest Scotland bringing further rain at times here and some rain extending further south at times too. The driest, brightest weather is expected to be over southeast England where temperatures will be on the warm side.
So the weather pattern as we go through August is one we would normally expect to see at this time of year.
Next week
As we head towards the end of the meteorological summer, any hot summer weather on the horizon?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook