Met office update

UK Outlook for Sunday 25 Jun 2017 to Tuesday 4 Jul 2017:

Rather changeable conditions are expected for Sunday and Monday, but confidence in details is low. Northern areas are likely to have sunshine and showers on Sunday with the south probably drier. However, rain may move east of north-eastwards across the UK at times. Cool for most, but warmer in the south. Looking ahead, changeable conditions look likely to prevail, with a mixture of sunshine and showers, or longer spells of rain possible. The showers could be heavy with thunder, especially in the east or southeast, where it is also likely to be driest. It will be rather windy at times with a risk of gales, mainly in the north. Temperatures will be near normal overall with a low chance of very warm conditions returning, into the east or southeast.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 5 Jul 2017 to Wednesday 19 Jul 2017:

A continuation of the rather cool, changeable or unsettled weather looks most likely at first. Warm and largely dry spells of weather can be expected at times, interspersed with more unsettled conditions bringing spells of rain, although drier conditions are most likely in the east. There will be the ongoing risk of thundery outbreaks too, especially in the south or southeast. Temperatures are likely to gradually recover to be near normal for the time of year, perhaps with some very warm spells, especially in the south or southeast. There are weak signals for more settled conditions towards the end of the period, but confidence for this is currently very low.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

For the love of god I hate these Met Office updates, I think they write every possible scenario to cover every base..."rather cool, changeable or unsettled with warmer dry spells expected at times"... brilliant!! 

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Tuesday 27 Jun 2017 to Thursday 6 Jul 2017:

Changeable weather is likely to continue at the start of this period with rain on Tuesday clearing to sunshine and showers on Wednesday. These are likely to be heaviest in the north and northeast, where it may be windy at times, with the best of any drier spells likely in the south and southwest. The rest of this period will remain unsettled with further bouts of showery rain, perhaps heavy and thundery at times, interspersed with brief drier and brighter spells, these most likely in the east. It will often be windy, especially in the north and west where there is a risk of local gales at times. Temperatures will be near normal or rather cool, especially compared to recently, although it may be warmer at times in the southeast.

UK Outlook for Friday 7 Jul 2017 to Friday 21 Jul 2017:

The changeable weather is likely to continue at first, bringing further showers or longer spells of rain with only brief bright or sunny spells in between. However, drier and warmer spells are likely to become more prevalent during the second week of July and these may perhaps become more widespread as we head into the second half of the month. This will bring more in the way of sunshine and higher temperatures, with perhaps some very warm spells possible. However, an increase in temperatures also poses the threat of some thundery showers.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Weather for the Week Ahead last night suggesting some dramatic thunderstorms in the SE Monday into Tuesday with entrainment of some humid air in the depression moving across the UK from the west.

But no sign of it this morning on the MetO site, and the BBC weather graphic has the heavy rain over N France and Belgium.

Knife edge stuff?

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Thursday 29 Jun 2017 to Saturday 8 Jul 2017:

Changeable weather is likely to continue with cloud and rain affecting most parts on Thursday, though it will be fairly warm in the north and east. Some drier and brighter periods are likely on Friday, probably in the south and west. The rest of this period will remain unsettled with showers or longer spells of rain. The showers could be heavy and thundery at times, interspersed with brief drier and brighter spells, most likely in the south and east. It will often be windy, especially in the north and west where there will be a risk of local gales at times. Temperatures are expected to drop to near normal or rather cool, especially compared to recently, although it may be warmer at times in the southeast.

UK Outlook for Sunday 9 Jul 2017 to Sunday 23 Jul 2017:

The changeable weather is likely to continue in the north at first, bringing further showers or longer spells of rain with only brief bright or sunny spells in between. However, drier and warmer spells are likely to become more prevalent in the south and these may spread further north as we head into the second half of the month. These will bring more in the way of sunshine and higher temperatures, and there could be some very warm spells. However, an increase in temperatures would pose the threat of some thundery showers.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Weather for the Week Ahead last night suggesting some dramatic thunderstorms in the SE Monday into Tuesday with entrainment of some humid air in the depression moving across the UK from the west.

But no sign of it this morning on the MetO site, and the BBC weather graphic has the heavy rain over N France and Belgium.

Knife edge stuff?

 

 Yes seen that in the last two, week ahead forecasts but no mention on Met Office forecasts. I find the week ahead forecasts pretty poor now as there seems very little input from the forecaster as they just say "model says this or that". When you think of the experience and analysis that went into pre computer generated week ahead forecasts they are pretty poor fare.

 

 Yes seen that in the last two, week ahead forecasts but no mention on Met Office forecasts. I find the week ahead forecasts pretty poor now as there seems very little input from the forecaster as they just say "model says this or that". When you think of the experience and analysis that went into pre computer generated week ahead forecasts they are pretty poor fare.

 

Thats true, but i always thought the weather for weekahead being updated on a daily basis was more a reflection of models... in a similar flavour to this thread. Picking up on ensembles gestures.

 

 

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Friday 30 Jun 2017 to Sunday 9 Jul 2017:

Friday is likely to become breezy and showery across the country. Saturday could well be drier for a time before further rain moves in during the evening or overnight. Sunday and the following week will stay changeable with showers or longer spells of rain. There will also be some drier and brighter spells, which will be most likely in the south and east. In the northwest, showers are likely to be heavier, perhaps bringing a risk of thunder at times. It will sometimes be windy, especially in the north and west where there will be a risk of local gales at times. Temperatures are expected to stay near the seasonal average throughout, or be rather cool.

UK Outlook for Monday 10 Jul 2017 to Monday 24 Jul 2017:

The changeable weather is likely to continue in the north at first, bringing further showers or longer spells of rain with only brief bright or sunny spells in between. However, drier and warmer spells are likely to become more prevalent in the south and these may spread further north as we head into the second half of the month. These would bring more in the way of sunshine and higher temperatures, and there could be some very warm spells. However, an increase in temperatures would pose the threat of some thundery showers.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 26 June—Sunday 2 July
More of summer on the cards?

This week actually looks poised to remind us more of autumn than summer! The weather is looking very unsettled with frequent spells of rain and a few potential thunderstorms thrown in there too for good measure. The first rain bearing low pressure system will arrive slowly on Monday into Northern Ireland and spread slowly east on Tuesday. Through the remainder of the week this area of low pressure will struggle to clear the UK and will continue to draw in further areas of rain and perhaps even some thunderstorms on Wednesday. Welcome news I'm sure for gardeners and growers but perhaps not so much for those on a summer holiday!

Monday 3 July—Sunday 9 July
Will the weather settle down again?

As we look further ahead in the forecast things look like they should settle down slightly, especially in the south of the UK. It is likely that the changeable weather will continue further north with areas of low pressure continuing to bring strong winds, cloud and rain. At times these low pressure systems will swing areas of rain into southern parts too, however, this will be increasingly interspersed with drier and brighter conditions. Temperatures during this time are expected to continue to be cooler than the recent record breakers but at times it could warm up again, especially in the southeast.

Monday 10 July—Sunday 23 July
Finally something a little more like summer!

Looking in to mid-July the changeable weather is likely to continue in the north bringing more spells of rain and some showers too, but equally some sunnier spells in-between. The theme of seeing the driest and brightest weather in the south is also likely to continue during this period and at times these conditions may spread to all, especially later on. This would mean more sunshine and consequently higher temperatures but with an increase in temperatures the risk of some thundery outbreaks also increases.

Next week

Are there any more signs of the record-breaking warmth returning?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Saturday 1 Jul 2017 to Monday 10 Jul 2017:

We will see changeable weather over the weekend, with cloud and outbreaks of rain, along with heavy showers in the north. There will be some sunshine too, but it will be rather breezy. The following week will stay changeable with showers or longer spells of rain. There will also be some drier and brighter spells, which will be most likely in the south and east. In the northwest, showers are likely to be heavier, perhaps bringing a risk of thunder at times. It will sometimes be windy, especially in the north and west where there will be a risk of local gales at times. Temperatures are expected to stay near the seasonal average throughout, occasionally warm in the east, but locally rather cool in the west.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 11 Jul 2017 to Tuesday 25 Jul 2017:

The changeable weather is likely to continue in the north at first, bringing further showers or longer spells of rain with only brief bright or sunny spells in between. However, drier and warmer spells are likely to become more prevalent in the south and these may spread further north as we head into the second half of the month. These would bring more in the way of sunshine and higher temperatures, and there could be some very warm spells. However, an increase in temperatures would pose the threat of some thundery showers.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Sunday 2 Jul 2017 to Tuesday 11 Jul 2017:

Changeable on Sunday, with cloud and outbreaks of rain, along with heavy showers in the north. Breezy too, but there will be also some sunshine. More settled on Monday, with any showers confined to the far north. Changeable conditions will return thereafter, with showers or longer spells of rain, though there will be some drier and brighter spells too, most likely in the south and east. However, even here there is a risk of thunder at times. Showers are likely to be heavier in the northwest, perhaps turning thundery at times. Sometimes windy, especially in the north and west with the risk of local gales here. Temperatures are expected to stay near the seasonal average, occasionally warm in the east, but locally rather cool in the west.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 12 Jul 2017 to Wednesday 26 Jul 2017:

The changeable weather is likely to continue in the north at first, bringing further showers or longer spells of rain, especially in the north, with only brief bright or sunny spells in between, with these most likely in the south. However, drier and warmer spells are likely to become more prevalent in the south and these may spread further north as we head into the second half of July.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Monday 3 Jul 2017 to Wednesday 12 Jul 2017:

Next week should get off to a dry start for much of the UK, though some rain may spread in from the southwest and there is a low risk of thundery outbreaks towards the southeast by mid-week. Thereafter there is some uncertainty but at the moment it looks set to turn more changeable, especially across northwestern parts where some wet and windy weather is likely. Towards the south and east it should be drier and brighter though there is still the risk of thundery rain at times here. Temperatures will remain generally around average for the time of year, but there is an increasing chance of a very warm spell, most likely towards the southeast.

UK Outlook for Thursday 13 Jul 2017 to Thursday 27 Jul 2017:

Further changeable weather is likely at first, especially in the north with some rain. In the south the drier and warmer spells are likely to become more prevalent, and these could well spread across the rest of the UK through much of July.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Tuesday 4 Jul 2017 to Thursday 13 Jul 2017:

Many southern and eastern areas should start dry with sunny spells. However, a transition to more generally changeable conditions seems quite likely, with outbreaks of rain developing, this perhaps thundery across the south and southeast, where it could also become very warm for a time. Towards the following weekend and indeed the start of the week beyond this, there is much uncertainty in the forecast, but it looks as though southern and eastern areas of the UK will see the best of the drier, brighter weather. Further northwest, a more unsettled theme seems likely, where it could also be windy at times. Temperatures will probably pan out around average, with warmer spells in the southeast, but becoming cool at times in the northwest.

UK Outlook for Friday 14 Jul 2017 to Friday 28 Jul 2017:

Further changeable weather is likely at first, with some rain at times, but also drier, brighter interludes, these most likely across the south and east. However, dry and warm weather may soon become more prevalent in the south, with a more settled picture then developing quite widely across the UK, increasing the chances of seeing some higher temperatures once again. By the end of the month, we may see a return to more changeable conditions, though still with temperatures above average.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Thursday 6 Jul 2017 to Saturday 15 Jul 2017:

Thursday looks like being dry and warm for most of us with plenty of sunshine. A few showers are possible, most likely in the south. It will become rather humid in the far south and there is a small risk of some heavier thundery showers here. The weather is quite uncertain into next weekend, though it looks as though it will be brighter in the south and west, and wetter, windier and cooler in the northeast. The following week is likely to stay changeable with a mixture of cloudy days with spells of rain, and days with sunshine and showers. The driest and brightest weather is likely in the southeast with a risk of windy weather in the north.

Updated at: 1321 on Sat 1 Jul 2017

UK Outlook for Sunday 16 Jul 2017 to Sunday 30 Jul 2017:

There is a signal for mainly dry, settled and warm weather from the middle of July, though this is far from certain at this stage. The driest and brightest days are likely to be across the south. The highest temperatures are most likely here too with the potential for some very warm days. However, by the end of the month, it will probably become more changeable for many places, though still with temperatures above average.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Met office update

UK Outlook for Wednesday 5 Jul 2017 to Friday 14 Jul 2017:

Many southern and eastern parts of the UK should stay dry, sunny and warm at first, but the north and west is likely to be on the changeable side with outbreaks of rain. A few thunderstorms are possible later in the week across southeastern England too. By the weekend, not much changes in the weather pattern, with the north and west of the UK holding onto some wet and breezy weather, along with some dry days. The driest and warmest weather should remain across the south and east. Towards the middle of July the northwest / southeast theme looks persistent, although there is a chance that the drier, more settled weather could extend further north.

UK Outlook for Saturday 15 Jul 2017 to Saturday 29 Jul 2017:

Most of the UK could be under the influence of some largely dry, settled and warm weather from the middle of July, with the driest and brightest days across the south and east of the UK. The highest temperatures are most likely here too. However, by the end of the month, we may see a return to more changeable conditions for many places, though still with temperatures above average.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

That's the same update as yesterday Gavin, unless my eyes are deceiving me.

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That's the same update as yesterday Gavin, unless my eyes are deceiving me.

So it was should be right now

Met office update

UK Outlook for Friday 7 Jul 2017 to Sunday 16 Jul 2017:

It will become rather humid in the south on Friday and there is a small risk of some heavier thundery showers here. The weather is quite uncertain into next weekend, though it looks as though it will be brighter in the south and west, and wetter, windier and cooler in the northeast. The following week is likely to stay changeable with a mixture of cloudy days with spells of rain, and days with sunshine and showers. The driest and brightest weather is likely in the southeast with a risk of windy weather in the north. By the end of the week things look most likely to turn settled, with a lot of dry weather and warm spells, though this is far from certain at this stage.

UK Outlook for Monday 17 Jul 2017 to Monday 31 Jul 2017:

The most likely scenario for the middle of July is for mainly dry, settled and warm weather, though this is far from certain at this stage. The driest and brightest days are likely to be across the south, with the highest temperatures most likely here too, and the potential for some very warm days. However, by the end of the month, it will probably become more changeable for many places, though still remaining on the warm side.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 3 July—Sunday 9 July
Signs of summer resurgence?

We look to start this week with a fairly cloudy picture, but it should quickly improve on Monday morning with some bright spells emerging (good news for the first day of the Wimbledon Championships!). By Tuesday all eyes will be to the west watching a rain band approach central parts but elsewhere, it's another mostly dry day with sunny spells. From mid-week we start to see a fair amount of uncertainty creeping into the forecast with the potential for showery outbreaks of rain to arrive from the south and these could be heavy and thundery. It's looking most likely that southern parts through Thursday and Friday will see some lively showers at times but also temperatures warmer than average. In contrast, northern areas are likely to keep temperatures around the seasonal norm with the potential for both showers and longer spells of rain.

Monday 10 July—Sunday 16 July
A northwest - southeast split continues.

As we look further ahead it looks likely that we will keep a fairly unsettled picture with bands of rain crossing the UK, interspersed by drier and brighter conditions. The best of the sunshine is likely to be in the southeast, however even here the summer threat of thundery showers moving in from the near continent is always present. The northwest is likely to see the lion's share of the wet and windy weather, although there should be some sunnier weather too at times, especially later in the week.

Monday 17 July—Sunday 30 July
Settling down for a time mid-month.

From mid-month, although there is a large amount of uncertainty, there are signals for a more settled period. Then as we head towards the end of the month, the weather looks like it will once again become more changeable, with the best of the warm weather becoming increasingly confined to the south.

Next week

We look ahead to the final month of Summer!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Saturday 8 Jul 2017 to Monday 17 Jul 2017:

The weather is quite uncertain into next weekend, though it looks as though it'll be brighter in the south. A spell of wet weather is probable for the northwest though, with rain and strong winds here. Warm conditions are likely in the south, but it will be cooler in the north. The following week is likely to stay changeable, with a mixture of cloudy days with spells of rain, and days with sunshine and showers. The driest, brightest and warmest weather is likely in the south and east, with a risk of windy weather in the north. By the end of the period things look more likely to turn settled, with more in the way of dry weather and warm spells, though this is far from certain at this stage.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 18 Jul 2017 to Tuesday 1 Aug 2017:

The most likely scenario for the middle of July is for mainly dry, settled and warm weather, though this is far from certain at this stage. The driest and brightest days are likely to be across the south, with the highest temperatures most likely here too, and the potential for some very warm days. As we head into the end of July however, it may become more changeable for many places, although it is still likely to remain on the warm side.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Just a note but at this time of year when the met are referring to very warm temps in the south they are talking high 20's..

"A dry and very warm day with plenty of sunshine and generally light winds.... Maximum temperature 29 °C"