The most important model outlook for me is the Glosea4 - the most up to date advanced model from the Met office-
THe picture its painting is below normal- quite considerably...............
S
Steve, you'll have to provide a link. The one I was looking at, which i thought was the Glosea4, suggested a more average to milder scenario for Dec-Feb!?
Probability of ABOVE normal 2m temp in 40-60% tercile!??? Maybe I'm reading it wrong!
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/images/prob_ensemble/20130901/3up_20130901_temp2m_months46_europe_prob_public.png
Joe