The GFS Op, Control, and mean are all bringing the cold spell to a close in 7 days, via a damp squib - roll-over-and-die ending, via a mini high pressure that limply succeeds to the normal west to east flow, with a polar maritime end. This is at total odds to the other models. I am pinning my faith in the UKMO, but I fear the GFS is too often the storm-crow and latches on to pattern changes earlier than the others, but may be this time will be different. The next 7 days will be interesting, and I am sure the collective output is far from resolved.
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Edited by user
07 December 2022 07:06:24
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Reason: Not specified
Brecklands, South Norfolk 28m ASL