Band of rain pushing south

[Updated 07:10 29/09/2016]

Umbrella

Thursday begins with a band of rain affecting south western and central England. To the south and immediate north of this it is mostly dry, but windy and showery conditions are affecting Scotland.

This morning patchy spells of rain push into the south before clearing away during the early afternoon. Heavy showers continue affecting north western regions and Scotland throughout the day but gale force winds gradually ease. Elsewhere it should be mostly dry and bright.

Cooler air will be filtering southwards so maximum temperatures won't be as high as yesterday's ranging from about 10C (50F) in northern Scotland to 19C (66F) in southern England. See the rainfall radar for the latest view.

Tonight clear periods develop and it becomes chilly with temperatures dropping into single figures. In the west showers are likely but elsewhere it should be mostly dry. 

Tomorrow bring a mix of sunshine and showers which could again be heavy at times in the west. It will feel chilly especially in the showers.

The weekend prospects are mixed. On Saturday the showers are expected to be focused on the southern half of the UK where they may be prolonged and heavy. Sunday is looking drier and brighter

Next week the UK is expected to become sandwiched under a mild southerly flow as high pressure builds over the continent. The north and west probably remain changeable but the south and east should be mostly dry.

Buzz looks at whether an Indian Summer is on the way.

Ensembles at a glance

This morning's 16 day GEFS ensemble analysis suggests drier and warmer conditions next week, especially in the south. More unsettled weather may gradually return southwards during the second week of October.

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