Turning mild but not wild

[Updated 08:15 04/12/2016]

Frosty weather

December has begun on a cold note with the Central England Temperature (CET) currently running about 1C below the 30 year average. This has been caused by high pressure over the UK blocking the eastwards progression of mild Atlantic air masses. During the coming days things are set to change markedly as the high pressure slips away and winds turn into a southwesterly direction.

This morning it's dry across the country and clear periods overnight have led to quite a widespread frost. Through the rest of the day sunny periods develop, but in the west there is likely to be more cloud this afternoon.

Maximum temperatures range from about 5C (41F) to 8C (46F). See the rainfall radar for the latest view.

Tonight clear spells lead to a frost returning in many places. The exceptions will probably be south west England and Northern Ireland where thicker cloud keeps it less cold.

Tomorrow it remains sunny in the north but elsewhere cloud amounts will be variable. The north hangs on to cold conditions but in the south it will be milder.

Through the rest of the week much milder air pushes northeastwards and there will be an increasing risk of wet weather in the west. Some rain could affect the east too, but there it should remain dry for much of the time. Temperatures in the south may reach a very mild 15C (59F).

Will cold weather return during mid December? Buzz takes a look.

Ensembles at a glance

The 16 day GEFS ensemble shows a changeable pattern during the second week of December with the wettest conditions in the west. After a chilly start it turns much milder but temperatures return closer to the average by mid month.

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