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Offline Saint Snow  
#81 Posted : 27 January 2021 15:50:46(UTC)
Saint Snow

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Location: St Helens

Originally Posted by: redmoons Go to Quoted Post

 

That would do nicely for me 3.25c 

 

I'd take a final figure of 3.25c (to limit the damage)

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

Offline Bolty  
#82 Posted : 27 January 2021 16:19:13(UTC)
Bolty

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Location: Blackrod, near Chorley, Lancs - alt: 156m

Originally Posted by: Spring Sun Winter Dread Go to Quoted Post
Looks like finishing as the coldest Jan since 2010 then
Anecdotally I remember 2013 seeming colder as the very cold and snowy weather stuck around longer and was more severe , but I think there were mild spells which cancelled out, which this month has lacked by and large

Yes, January 2013 is one of those months where the CET doesn't say a lot about the month. It was very cold for the middle two-week period, but it was bookended by a very mild first and final week. I remember the mild spells getting widely well into double figures, so it really skewed the CET, despite the wintry spell in the middle.

Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station

Offline Saint Snow  
#83 Posted : 27 January 2021 17:29:42(UTC)
Saint Snow

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Location: St Helens

Originally Posted by: Bolty Go to Quoted Post

 

Yes, January 2013 is one of those months where the CET doesn't say a lot about the month. It was very cold for the middle two-week period, but it was bookended by a very mild first and final week. I remember the mild spells getting widely well into double figures, so it really skewed the CET, despite the wintry spell in the middle.

 

The Jan 13 snowfalls here didn't last long on the ground (nor did the March ones). It was more a case of 3 or 4 days rather than a few weeks, as a milder blip always seemed to move in. I remember thinking at the time how we'd conveniently keep getting snow for the weekend (think we had 3 falls on a Friday night, although one might have been on a Saturday night).

 

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

Offline Surrey John  
#84 Posted : 28 January 2021 06:27:53(UTC)
Surrey John

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Location: West Wiltshire

If I end up only 0.6c out, then more than happy

At the moment I have no idea about February, but will have to make a guess in next 3 days

Bradford on Avon, Wiltshire

35m ASL

Offline ARTzeman  
#85 Posted : 28 January 2021 11:23:04(UTC)
ARTzeman

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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley       3.1c       Anomaly      -0.7c Provisional to 27th.

Metcheck                    2.92c     Anoamly      -1.34c

Netweather                 3.43c     Anomaly     -0.78c

Peasedown St John   4.0c      Anomaly     -0.9.     

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline Spring Sun Winter Dread  
#86 Posted : 28 January 2021 12:14:12(UTC)
Spring Sun Winter Dread

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United Kingdom
Location: Aylesbury, Bucks

I remember mid Jan 2013's extreme cold very clearly as it coincided with me moving out from my always overheated parents home to a cool flat with poor insulation and myself paying for all the heating!

The subsequent chilly February and amazingly cold March made it feel like a long and harsh winter even though statistically the 3 month winter period doesn't stand out in the records compared to 09/10

Offline Caz  
#87 Posted : 28 January 2021 14:57:54(UTC)
Caz

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Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 24,007
Woman
United Kingdom
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow Go to Quoted Post

 The next 3 updates should show a nudge upwards, then slight downwards. Before adjustments, I'd expect 3.2c-3.3c

Do we ever get upwards adjustments? Asking for a friend...

  Tell you friend, not enough adjustment to reach his prediction!

Edited by user 28 January 2021 15:00:43(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition

Offline ARTzeman  
#88 Posted : 29 January 2021 11:13:12(UTC)
ARTzeman

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Posts: 30,442
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley        3.3c      Anomaly      -0.5c provisional to 28th.

Metcheck                     3.12c    Anomaly      -1.03c

Netweather                  3.57c    Anomaly      -0.4c

Peasedown St John   4.2c     Anomaly     -0.7c. 

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline ARTzeman  
#89 Posted : 30 January 2021 10:38:29(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

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Posts: 30,442
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley        3.4c      Anomaly     -0.4c provisional to 29th

Metcheck                     3.22c    Anomaly     -0.94c

Netweather                  3.73c    Anomaly     -0.48c

Peasedown St John    4.4c      Anomaly     -0.5c.

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline ARTzeman  
#90 Posted : 31 January 2021 11:32:37(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 30,442
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley         3.4c       Anomaly        -0.4c. Provisional to 30th.

Metcheck                      3.15c     Anomaly        -1.01c

Netweather                   3.79c     Anomaly        -0.48c

Peasedown St John     4.2c       Anomaly    - 0.7c.

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline Stormchaser  
#91 Posted : 31 January 2021 19:49:25(UTC)
Stormchaser

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Location: West Hants

Given my earlier requirements for feeling like it didn't turn out so bad in the end, it's bound to come in at 3.01°C .

Joking aside, Jan 2021 would be in my top 3 most disappointing winter months on record were it not for the few days of bright, cheerful weather followed by some snow last Sunday.

Aside from that it's been cloudy, variably very chilly to mild, increasingly wet. Poisons the soul. The polar boundary often being just 100 miles or so too far north hasn't helped with the mood - both in terms of local weather and the CET outcome.

Here's hoping February is brighter and less rainy down south - I could really do with it!

If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email twomoderationteam@gmail.com :)

Homeland: Rural Mid-West Hants nearly 10 miles S of Salisbury (near Fordingbridge). More insights: https://twitter.com/peacockreports

2021's Homeland Extremes:

T-Max: 30.4°C 21st Jul | T-Min: -6.8°C New Years Day! | Wettest Day: 34.1mm 2nd Oct | Ice Days: 2 (27th Jan & 8th Feb)

Keep Calm and Forecast On

Offline Hungry Tiger  
#92 Posted : 01 February 2021 11:05:07(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 25,898
Location: South Cambridgeshire

Originally Posted by: Stormchaser Go to Quoted Post

Given my earlier requirements for feeling like it didn't turn out so bad in the end, it's bound to come in at 3.01°C .

Joking aside, Jan 2021 would be in my top 3 most disappointing winter months on record were it not for the few days of bright, cheerful weather followed by some snow last Sunday.

Aside from that it's been cloudy, variably very chilly to mild, increasingly wet. Poisons the soul. The polar boundary often being just 100 miles or so too far north hasn't helped with the mood - both in terms of local weather and the CET outcome.

Here's hoping February is brighter and less rainy down south - I could really do with it!

I'll second that James. Been a miserable month here. Cold and wet and not cold enough to have anything impressive or nice to loook at.

 

Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.

Offline The Professional  
#93 Posted : 01 February 2021 11:38:33(UTC)
The Professional

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Joined: 31/12/2010(UTC)
Posts: 188
Man
United Kingdom
Location: Kings Worthy

January finishes at 3.14c here: https://www.metoffice.go...obs/hadcet/cet_mean_2021

I'm always happy to be too high with my guess in a winter month, but January has certainly had its climatic frustrations down here!

Offline Gusty  
#94 Posted : 01 February 2021 12:49:23(UTC)
Gusty

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Location: Folkestone

Originally Posted by: The Professional Go to Quoted Post
January finishes at 3.14c here: https://www.metoffice.go...obs/hadcet/cet_mean_2021

I'm always happy to be too high with my guess in a winter month, but January has certainly had its climatic frustrations down here!

I'm always happy to get an error margin of less than 0.5. Especially in a winter month. I'm pleased therefore with my 0.34 error this month. 

Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

https://www.wunderground...m/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11

Join Kent Weather on Facebook.

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Offline redmoons  
#95 Posted : 01 February 2021 13:06:55(UTC)
redmoons

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United Kingdom
Location: Watford

Originally Posted by: The Professional Go to Quoted Post
January finishes at 3.14c here: https://www.metoffice.go...obs/hadcet/cet_mean_2021

I'm always happy to be too high with my guess in a winter month, but January has certainly had its climatic frustrations down here!

Excellent, only 0.11c out 

Congrats to Frank H who is the closest.

Edited by user 01 February 2021 13:09:11(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Andrew,

Watford

ASL 35m

Blog - http://www.andrewlalchan.com | Live weather - http://weather.andrewlalchan.co.uk

Offline Saint Snow  
#96 Posted : 01 February 2021 13:38:47(UTC)
Saint Snow

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Location: St Helens

Originally Posted by: redmoons Go to Quoted Post

 

Excellent, only 0.11c out 

Congrats to Frank H who is the closest.

 

I've surged into a familiar position of mid-table mediocrity 

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

Offline KevBrads1  
#97 Posted : 01 February 2021 14:58:41(UTC)
KevBrads1

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 17/03/2012(UTC)
Posts: 29,942
Location: Irlam

Here's one peculiar quirk, the last notably above average January for an odd number year was in 2007 with 7.0C

2009: 3.0C

2011: 3.7C

2013: 3.2C

2015: 4.4C

2017: 4.0C

2019: 4.0C

2021: 3.1C

The even year Januarys  since 2010

2012: 5.4C

2014: 5.7C

2016: 5.4C

2018: 5.3C

2020: 6.4C

MANCHESTER SUMMER INDEX for 2021: 238

Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site

http://www.youtube.com/c...z2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists

Offline jhall  
#98 Posted : 01 February 2021 17:05:21(UTC)
jhall

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 824

So it's been the coldest January since 2009, which I suppose says more about the lack of really cold Januaries in recent years than anything else. It would be nice if this January could be followed by a notable cold spell in February like 2009's was.

Cranleigh, Surrey
Offline Chiltern Blizzard  
#99 Posted : 01 February 2021 18:15:40(UTC)
Chiltern Blizzard

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 06/01/2013(UTC)
Posts: 1,106
Location: Rendlesham, Suffolk

Originally Posted by: jhall Go to Quoted Post

So it's been the coldest January since 2009, which I suppose says more about the lack of really cold Januaries in recent years than anything else. It would be nice if this January could be followed by a notable cold spell in February like 2009's was.

Actually, it’s the coldest since 2010... which had a CET of 1.4c i remember correctly.  2010 just didn’t fit the odd-cold and even-mild split.

Rendlesham, Suffolk 20m asl
Offline jhall  
#100 Posted : 01 February 2021 21:01:48(UTC)
jhall

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 824

Originally Posted by: Chiltern Blizzard Go to Quoted Post

 

Actually, it’s the coldest since 2010... which had a CET of 1.4c i remember correctly.  2010 just didn’t fit the odd-cold and even-mild split.

Ah yes, of course. I'd actually noticed that and then somehow managed to forget it again by the time I made my comment.

Cranleigh, Surrey
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