That would do nicely for me 3.25c 

 

I'd take a final figure of 3.25c (to limit the damage)

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Looks like finishing as the coldest Jan since 2010 then
Anecdotally I remember 2013 seeming colder as the very cold and snowy weather stuck around longer and was more severe , but I think there were mild spells which cancelled out, which this month has lacked by and large

Yes, January 2013 is one of those months where the CET doesn't say a lot about the month. It was very cold for the middle two-week period, but it was bookended by a very mild first and final week. I remember the mild spells getting widely well into double figures, so it really skewed the CET, despite the wintry spell in the middle.

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Yes, January 2013 is one of those months where the CET doesn't say a lot about the month. It was very cold for the middle two-week period, but it was bookended by a very mild first and final week. I remember the mild spells getting widely well into double figures, so it really skewed the CET, despite the wintry spell in the middle.

 

The Jan 13 snowfalls here didn't last long on the ground (nor did the March ones). It was more a case of 3 or 4 days rather than a few weeks, as a milder blip always seemed to move in. I remember thinking at the time how we'd conveniently keep getting snow for the weekend (think we had 3 falls on a Friday night, although one might have been on a Saturday night).

 

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If I end up only 0.6c out, then more than happy

At the moment I have no idea about February, but will have to make a guess in next 3 days

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Met Office Hadley       3.1c       Anomaly      -0.7c Provisional to 27th.

Metcheck                    2.92c     Anoamly      -1.34c

Netweather                 3.43c     Anomaly     -0.78c

Peasedown St John   4.0c      Anomaly     -0.9.     

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I remember mid Jan 2013's extreme cold very clearly as it coincided with me moving out from my always overheated parents home to a cool flat with poor insulation and myself paying for all the heating!
The subsequent chilly February and amazingly cold March made it feel like a long and harsh winter even though statistically the 3 month winter period doesn't stand out in the records compared to 09/10

 The next 3 updates should show a nudge upwards, then slight downwards. Before adjustments, I'd expect 3.2c-3.3c

Do we ever get upwards adjustments? Asking for a friend...

  Tell you friend, not enough adjustment to reach his prediction!

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Met Office Hadley        3.3c      Anomaly      -0.5c provisional to 28th.

Metcheck                     3.12c    Anomaly      -1.03c

Netweather                  3.57c    Anomaly      -0.4c

Peasedown St John   4.2c     Anomaly     -0.7c. 

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Met Office Hadley        3.4c      Anomaly     -0.4c provisional to 29th

Metcheck                     3.22c    Anomaly     -0.94c

Netweather                  3.73c    Anomaly     -0.48c

Peasedown St John    4.4c      Anomaly     -0.5c.

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Met Office Hadley         3.4c       Anomaly        -0.4c. Provisional to 30th.

Metcheck                      3.15c     Anomaly        -1.01c

Netweather                   3.79c     Anomaly        -0.48c

Peasedown St John     4.2c       Anomaly    - 0.7c.

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Given my earlier requirements for feeling like it didn't turn out so bad in the end, it's bound to come in at 3.01°C .

Joking aside, Jan 2021 would be in my top 3 most disappointing winter months on record were it not for the few days of bright, cheerful weather followed by some snow last Sunday.

Aside from that it's been cloudy, variably very chilly to mild, increasingly wet. Poisons the soul. The polar boundary often being just 100 miles or so too far north hasn't helped with the mood - both in terms of local weather and the CET outcome.

Here's hoping February is brighter and less rainy down south - I could really do with it!

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Given my earlier requirements for feeling like it didn't turn out so bad in the end, it's bound to come in at 3.01°C .

Joking aside, Jan 2021 would be in my top 3 most disappointing winter months on record were it not for the few days of bright, cheerful weather followed by some snow last Sunday.

Aside from that it's been cloudy, variably very chilly to mild, increasingly wet. Poisons the soul. The polar boundary often being just 100 miles or so too far north hasn't helped with the mood - both in terms of local weather and the CET outcome.

Here's hoping February is brighter and less rainy down south - I could really do with it!

I'll second that James. Been a miserable month here. Cold and wet and not cold enough to have anything impressive or nice to loook at.

 

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https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2021 

I'm always happy to be too high with my guess in a winter month, but January has certainly had its climatic frustrations down here!

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2021 

I'm always happy to be too high with my guess in a winter month, but January has certainly had its climatic frustrations down here!

I'm always happy to get an error margin of less than 0.5. Especially in a winter month. I'm pleased therefore with my 0.34 error this month. 

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https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2021 

I'm always happy to be too high with my guess in a winter month, but January has certainly had its climatic frustrations down here!

Excellent, only 0.11c out 

Congrats to Frank H who is the closest.

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Excellent, only 0.11c out 

Congrats to Frank H who is the closest.

 

I've surged into a familiar position of mid-table mediocrity 

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Here's one peculiar quirk, the last notably above average January for an odd number year was in 2007 with 7.0C

2009: 3.0C

2011: 3.7C

2013: 3.2C

2015: 4.4C

2017: 4.0C

2019: 4.0C

2021: 3.1C

The even year Januarys  since 2010

2012: 5.4C

2014: 5.7C

2016: 5.4C

2018: 5.3C

2020: 6.4C

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So it's been the coldest January since 2009, which I suppose says more about the lack of really cold Januaries in recent years than anything else. It would be nice if this January could be followed by a notable cold spell in February like 2009's was.

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So it's been the coldest January since 2009, which I suppose says more about the lack of really cold Januaries in recent years than anything else. It would be nice if this January could be followed by a notable cold spell in February like 2009's was.

Actually, it’s the coldest since 2010... which had a CET of 1.4c i remember correctly.  2010 just didn’t fit the odd-cold and even-mild split.

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Actually, it’s the coldest since 2010... which had a CET of 1.4c i remember correctly.  2010 just didn’t fit the odd-cold and even-mild split.

Ah yes, of course. I'd actually noticed that and then somehow managed to forget it again by the time I made my comment.

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