nsrobins
29 January 2019 11:05:59
New warnings out for Thursday/Friday which at the moment poses a greater risk than this evening and over a wider area.
Neil

Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)

Stormchaser, Member TORRO

tallyho_83
29 January 2019 11:33:39

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

New warnings out for Thursday/Friday which at the moment poses a greater risk than this evening and over a wider area.

Whilst today is such a downgrade and turning out to be a right damb squib and damp it is!!

Plus no snow showers behind the front - that were previously forecast for tonight!!


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)

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Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com



tallyho_83
29 January 2019 11:55:26
A BIG DOWNGRADE FOR Today as predicted it's mostly rain band heading SE but an upgrade for Thursday's snow? But the fact today has been such a downgrade and turning out to be a damp squib what's to stop Thursday's snow event from being downgraded?

Bare in mind yesterday there was a potential for 1-3cms and up to 5cms of snow accumulating - now there is not talk of any snow falling in the south and south east let alone accumulating!


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)

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Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com



Arcus
29 January 2019 12:09:25
Sunday 3 Feb - Tuesday 12 Feb

A cold, bright and frosty start to Sunday, but cloud will probably start to edge in from the west, bringing rain, with risk of sleet and hill snow. This will tend to ease before it reaches northern and eastern areas, so here it may remain brighter. Thereafter, the weather is likely to remain changeable with further spells of rain, sleet and snow, interspersed by sunshine and showers. Winds will be brisk at times with gales around the coasts. After a cold start to February, temperatures may temporarily return closer to normal, particularly across the south, whilst northern parts are likely to remain cold. Overnight frosts are still likely to be widespread and towards the end of this period there is a greater chance of it becoming even colder.

Updated: 

 

 

Wednesday 13 Feb - Wednesday 27 Feb

Cold or very cold conditions are often likely to dominate the weather throughout this period, with a greater than average chance of easterly or northeasterly winds becoming established. This would bring an enhanced risk of snow, as well as widespread and occasionally severe frosts, although the exact details remain very uncertain. In this setup, the driest and brightest weather is likely in the north and northwest. Despite the prevalence of cold weather, occasional milder interludes remain possible, most likely in the south, but this poses the risk of significant snow should very cold conditions become established.

Updated: 


Ben,

Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire

30m asl

She stayed with me until she moved to Notting Hill, She said it was the place she needs to be

Where the cocaine is fair trade, and frequently displayed, is the Buena Vista Social Club CD

Arcus
29 January 2019 12:11:39

"temperatures may temporarily return closer to normal, particularly across the south, whilst northern parts are likely to remain cold" is the "big" change.


Ben,

Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire

30m asl

She stayed with me until she moved to Notting Hill, She said it was the place she needs to be

Where the cocaine is fair trade, and frequently displayed, is the Buena Vista Social Club CD

warrenb
29 January 2019 12:23:03
Yes and still only in the short term outlook, the longer remains for cold or very cold
Rob K
29 January 2019 12:36:39
So we have gone from "a low chance" to "a greater chance" of easterlies? I'm even more confused now.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

marco 79
29 January 2019 13:00:32
It's like the East Midlands train service ..always later than the timetable....but it does eventually turn up!....
Home : Mid Leicestershire ...135m ASL
Maunder Minimum
29 January 2019 13:02:23

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

So we have gone from "a low chance" to "a greater chance" of easterlies? I'm even more confused now.

Yes, I had to check and rub my eyes, but the Met Office is not backing down on the extended risk of cold from an easterly quarter.

And the GFS Parallel does give us a proper HLB in deepest FI. But we have been chasing deepest FI since December.


New world order coming.
tallyho_83
29 January 2019 13:06:35
Watch the Met office with Adian McGiven Live:


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)

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Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com



Gooner
29 January 2019 13:17:49

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

So we have gone from "a low chance" to "a greater chance" of easterlies? I'm even more confused now.

Not removed then Rob 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus

Banbury

North Oxfordshire

378 feet A S L



kmoorman
29 January 2019 13:25:20

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

Watch the Met office with Adian McGiven Live:

https://youtu.be/ThuIt2EvrO0

 

Very interesting.  Thank you


Home: Durrington, Worthing, West Sussex. (16 ASL)

Work: Canary Wharf, London

Follow me on Twitter @kmoorman1968

tallyho_83
29 January 2019 13:25:24

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

Watch the Met office with Adian McGiven Live:

https://youtu.be/ThuIt2EvrO0


 

Did anyone just pick up on what the Met office meteorologist  guest Jenny said? re the longer range weather as we head further into Feb?


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com



stophe
29 January 2019 13:30:28

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

 

 

Did anyone just pick up on what the Met office meteorologist  guest Jenny said? re the longer range weather as we head further into Feb?

https://youtu.be/ThuIt2EvrO0?t=1346

 

Solar Cycles
29 January 2019 13:33:31

Originally Posted by: Arcus 

Sunday 3 Feb - Tuesday 12 Feb

A cold, bright and frosty start to Sunday, but cloud will probably start to edge in from the west, bringing rain, with risk of sleet and hill snow. This will tend to ease before it reaches northern and eastern areas, so here it may remain brighter. Thereafter, the weather is likely to remain changeable with further spells of rain, sleet and snow, interspersed by sunshine and showers. Winds will be brisk at times with gales around the coasts. After a cold start to February, temperatures may temporarily return closer to normal, particularly across the south, whilst northern parts are likely to remain cold. Overnight frosts are still likely to be widespread and towards the end of this period there is a greater chance of it becoming even colder.

Updated: 

 

 

Wednesday 13 Feb - Wednesday 27 Feb

Cold or very cold conditions are often likely to dominate the weather throughout this period, with a greater than average chance of easterly or northeasterly winds becoming established. This would bring an enhanced risk of snow, as well as widespread and occasionally severe frosts, although the exact details remain very uncertain. In this setup, the driest and brightest weather is likely in the north and northwest. Despite the prevalence of cold weather, occasional milder interludes remain possible, most likely in the south, but this poses the risk of significant snow should very cold conditions become established.

Updated: 

Geez they don’t know when to give up. 😂😂

tallyho_83
29 January 2019 14:07:19

Originally Posted by: stophe 

 

https://youtu.be/ThuIt2EvrO0?t=1346

 

 

Well spotted at 22:25 in the video!?

 

Also the fact she never even mentioned the possibility of it turning milder! Given - (No pun intended to Aidan.) but Given the fact the shorter range output suggest a return to less cold or milder conditions - she /the Met as seen in their text forecast are STILL bullish about it potentially turning colder as we head further into Feb. 

 

 


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)

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Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com



tallyho_83
29 January 2019 14:38:32

Originally Posted by: Arcus 

Sunday 3 Feb - Tuesday 12 Feb

A cold, bright and frosty start to Sunday, but cloud will probably start to edge in from the west, bringing rain, with risk of sleet and hill snow. This will tend to ease before it reaches northern and eastern areas, so here it may remain brighter. Thereafter, the weather is likely to remain changeable with further spells of rain, sleet and snow, interspersed by sunshine and showers. Winds will be brisk at times with gales around the coasts. After a cold start to February, temperatures may temporarily return closer to normal, particularly across the south, whilst northern parts are likely to remain cold. Overnight frosts are still likely to be widespread and towards the end of this period there is a greater chance of it becoming even colder.

Updated: 

 

 

Wednesday 13 Feb - Wednesday 27 Feb

Cold or very cold conditions are often likely to dominate the weather throughout this period, with a greater than average chance of easterly or northeasterly winds becoming established. This would bring an enhanced risk of snow, as well as widespread and occasionally severe frosts, although the exact details remain very uncertain. In this setup, the driest and brightest weather is likely in the north and northwest. Despite the prevalence of cold weather, occasional milder interludes remain possible, most likely in the south, but this poses the risk of significant snow should very cold conditions become established.

Updated: 

Met O's Updated text forecast: - A slight change/downgrade...? - It was inevitable anyway.

UK Outlook for Sunday 3 Feb 2019 to Tuesday 12 Feb 2019:

A cold, bright and frosty start to Sunday, but cloud, outbreaks of rain and hill snow may spread in later. Despite this, some areas may remain fine and mainly dry throughout. Thereafter, the weather is often likely to remain changeable with further spells of rain, sleet and snow, interspersed by sunshine and showers. Winds will be brisk at times with gales around exposed coasts and hills. After a cold start to February, temperatures may temporarily return closer to normal, particularly across the south, whilst northern parts are likely to remain cold. Overnight frosts are still likely to be widespread and towards the end of this period there is a greater chance of it becoming even colder.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 13 Feb 2019 to Wednesday 27 Feb 2019:

Generally cold conditions are often likely to dominate the weather through mid to late February with the potential for some periods where winds are coming from the east. In the setup the weather is likely to be mixed with spells of showery rain, sleet and some snow most likely across the south and east, with northern and western parts perhaps more likely to be drier. Despite the prevalence of mainly cold weather, occasional milder interludes remain possible.

Updated: 14:24 on Tue 29 Jan 2019 GMT


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)

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Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com



tallyho_83
29 January 2019 14:46:43
Met Office afternoon forecast by Alex Burkill: - Notice the met Office also show more wintry/snow showers widespread for tonight into tomorrow over the SW compared with the BBC foreacast?


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)

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Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com



tallyho_83
29 January 2019 14:48:39

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

 

Met O's Updated text forecast: - A slight change/downgrade...? - It was inevitable anyway.

UK Outlook for Sunday 3 Feb 2019 to Tuesday 12 Feb 2019:

A cold, bright and frosty start to Sunday, but cloud, outbreaks of rain and hill snow may spread in later. Despite this, some areas may remain fine and mainly dry throughout. Thereafter, the weather is often likely to remain changeable with further spells of rain, sleet and snow, interspersed by sunshine and showers. Winds will be brisk at times with gales around exposed coasts and hills. After a cold start to February, temperatures may temporarily return closer to normal, particularly across the south, whilst northern parts are likely to remain cold. Overnight frosts are still likely to be widespread and towards the end of this period there is a greater chance of it becoming even colder.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 13 Feb 2019 to Wednesday 27 Feb 2019:

Generally cold conditions are often likely to dominate the weather through mid to late February with the potential for some periods where winds are coming from the east. In the setup the weather is likely to be mixed with spells of showery rain, sleet and some snow most likely across the south and east, with northern and western parts perhaps more likely to be drier. Despite the prevalence of mainly cold weather, occasional milder interludes remain possible.

Updated: 14:24 on Tue 29 Jan 2019 GMT

"Generally cold conditions are often likely to dominate the weather through mid to late February" - They are still confident of cold and also no mention of it turning milder in the shorter range  just a " temps temporary return to closer to normal". 


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com



David M Porter
29 January 2019 15:08:16

Originally Posted by: Solar Cycles 

Geez they don’t know when to give up. 😂😂

If they are not seeing clear & consistent signals that make them change their outlook, why should they change anything?


"Let us not take ourselves too seriously. None of us has a monopoly on wisdom, and we must always be ready to listen and respect other points of view."- Queen Elizabeth II 1926-2022
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