5.3C please

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If the cold gets in it will stick, if not it will be very mild. Hedging that we'll be slightly on the cool side, but probably end up around everage due to the warmer start.

4.15C

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Just wondering, when was the last winter where each month had a CET somewhere in the 4's?

I'll go for a little below average at 4.1c please

3.5c please

 

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Difficult one due to the huge uncertainties around the second half of the month. The cold has failed to materialise so far this winter and I would not be surprised if it happened again. Very warm first half with the cool down to average or potentially below average later on. Overall I still expect the month to finish well above average.

5.5C

4.62'C

5.7C please!

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Hi. 4.4c for me please. Thanks. Happy New Year everyone.

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Hard one to call.

I'll say 4.5

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Just wondering, when was the last winter where each month had a CET somewhere in the 4's?

1970 /71

Dec 4.3C, Jan 4.5C, Feb 4.5C

No problem if I'm too late guys, but I'll punt 4.9 anyway.

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So first month and I miss my entry already  I would of gone for 5.1 just for the record

Good luck all

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Lol im very late, I would go 2.9 though

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Damn, a penalty in the very first month! Forgot all about it with Christmas!

 

My guess is 3.9C.

CET 7,4,

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

I wonder if we can get to 8c before the drop begins from mid week? Should be entertaining watching it slide, anyway.

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A month of two halves, so on that score I'll go for 3.4 c due to me expecting some bitter cold at the latter end of the month.

Here is a first look at the January CET. It has been remarkably mild so far. My CET estimate up to yesterday stands at 7.76C.

A little cooler today perhaps but then the CET should rise again peaking on Tuesday. My current estimate for the CET up to Tuesday is 7.91C. If that verifies it would be the 3rd warmest first 8 days of January on record which is quite something.

Here are the warmest first 8 days of January since 1772:

1992: 8.83C
1916: 8.74C
2013: 7.91C (est)
2007: 7.88C

From Thursday onwards the CET is, on current output, expected to be below average each day with means between 1C and 3C. This represents a huge change from what we have seen so far this month. However, because of the very warm start to the month we will still be above average by the 19th. Current CET estimate to the 19th is 4.61C.

Thanks GW.

Its going to be fun watching it collapse.

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January 1950 is a good example of an exceptionally mild first half followed by a very cold second half


January 1950 CET: 4.2
First half: 7.9
Second half 0.8
First half mean max: 10.4
Second half mean max: 2.9
First half mean min: 5.3
Second half mean min: -1.4
CET Trackometer
1. 6.0
2. 6.3
3. 7.4
4. 7.8
5. 7.9
6. 7.6
7. 7.7
8. 7.8
9. 7.8
10. 7.9
11. 8.1
12. 8.0
13. 7.9
14. 7.9
15. 7.9
16. 7.7
17. 7.6
18. 7.3
19. 6.9
20. 6.6
21. 6.3
22. 6.1
23. 5.9
24. 5.6
25. 5.4
26. 5.1
27. 4.9
28. 4.7
29. 4.4
30. 4.3
31. 4.2

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