FAX - Current HP disappearing SE-wards, LP tomorrow (Sun) 991mb Ireland moving NE-wards, Atlantic LP (Tue 17th) extending trough eastwards  with centres 960mb Atlantic, 962mb W Ireland, 975mb S England, fronts through the Channel moving north; reducing to single centre 977mb S Ireland W but fronts still across England

GFS Op 0z - places Trough on Tue further north (S Scotland), keeps LP off S Ireland in place from Wed, filling, until it moves across N England 1000mb Sun 22nd.  Brief ridge of HP then broad trough extending down from Iceland to SW England Thu 26th, part breaking off and over France Sun 29th with easterlies for Britain.

ECM - like GFS rather than FAX

AIFS - London, becoming milder (13c) Tue 17th then maxima decline to 3C Thu 26th before recovering a little; rain Sun 15th Tue 17th Sun 22nd and FRi 27th, less than shown on MetO charts. Edinburgh, maxima 5-8C with dips to 3C Mon 16th and Sun 22nd, rain Sun 15th Tue 17th and FRi 27th

GEFS - mean temp with good ens support near norm to Mon 30th (though up and down for a day or two at first), rain from Sun 15th onwards, heavy Tue 17th and also quite a lot from Wed 25th, drier interlude for Scotland around Sat 21st. Snow row figures in low teens for Sun 15th in the north, not much elsewhere at other dates

https://wetterzentrale.de/en/topkarten.php?map=1&model=ecm&var=1&run=0&time=360&lid=OP&h=0&mv=0&tr=24#mapref 

The ECM op does the same.

its on the 06z as well, but its just another mirage.  Nearer the time it will get blasted away as it always does

Yes there is a bit of a trend for some form of northern blocking and easterly component to the outlook. Worth watching.

Anothing thing that we had no northern blocking this year especially in summer months so maybe we get better chance for northern blocking to occur right in winter months than in other seasons?   This Autumn are similar to 1995 which lasted 4 weeks this time only 2 weeks and now we are in winter temp profiles and continuing with low maxes from the 00z esembles.