We seem to be a some kind of pattern change, if that's the correct term. The forecast heavy rain for later today is gone from the latest BBC update. It was there earlier this morning. The precipitation that shows on the current radar is nothing more than nuisance rain on the ground.
I have no idea if this trend will continue but based on how these changes occur with weakening fronts as one sign, I think it likely that a dry spell (a long one?) beckons. Warmer/calmer/sunnier would be great even if we are already enjoying above average temp wise. It doesn't really feel it though with this cloud cover.
Here in Edinburgh, those changes to a drier pattern tend to start with weather fronts delivering no more than perhaps a small fraction of 1 mm of rain in total, or sometimes even nothing at all in the way of actual recorded rainfall (sometimes when that is happening, it can still get a bit damp, but without that amounting to anything which is officially recorded as anything more than just a 'trace' and in some cases, it has even stayed completely dry in these circumstances).
Usually, Edinburgh will be the first place to dry out with that process already being underway whilst the rest of the UK is still very wet. That doesn't appear to be the case this time though and instead, it would appear that we were just the final part of the UK in this instance to end up getting into that really wet pattern (as shown by the fact that our first wetter than average month of this year didn't actually happen until March).
However, it may well be that perhaps with the exception of the west of Scotland (which has actually been drier than average throughout most of this period), we might well all be coming into that change of pattern together.
Even with Storm Pierrick, there was no more than 1 mm of rain from that after 09:00 UTC yesterday morning even though the weather still took a while to clear up after that and although this morning's rainfall has now "technically" arrived, it really isn't amounting to anything at all, and has only just made things a little bit damp and no more. Adding those two things today, this might suggest that we're now drying out here overall which usually always happens anyway as Edinburgh never gets long sequences of consecutive wetter than average months.
Edited by user
10 April 2024 11:42:05
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Reason: Not specified
The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.