Metcheck                    4.58c               Anomaly           -1.58c
Netweather                   5.06c               Anomaly           -1.25c
Peasedown St John       4.16c               Anomaly           -2.94c.

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Hadley

5.0c to the 3rd

0.6c below the 61 to 90 average
0.1c below the 81 to 10 average

Interestingly, if this March is colder than average, it will be third time in the last decade that an exceptionally warm March (CET at 8°C or above) was followed by a cold one.

2012: 8.3 (8.3 legacy) - 2013: 2.8 (2.7 legacy)

2017: 8.8 (8.7 legacy) - 2018: 5.0 (4.9 legacy)

2022: 8.0 - 2023: ?

Only a very short sample of course. If you go back further this isn't the case, just an interesting pattern of the last few years.

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  Metcheck                     4.38c             Anomaly             -1.78c
  Netweather                  4.99c             Anomaly             -1.32c
Peasedown St John        3.78c             Anomaly             -3.22c. 

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Hadley

4.9c to the 4th

0.8c below the 61 to 90 average
0.1c below the 81 to 10 average

March 2013 really was exceptional. Amazing that we haven't even managed a colder winter month since with only Feb 2018 coming close to toppling it 

  Metcheck                     4.21c            Anomaly            -1.95c
Netweather                    4.1c              Anomaly            -1.6c
Peasedown St John        4.31c            Anomaly            -2.8c.
  IMANSF22                4.4c

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Hadley

4.7c to the 5th

1.0c below the 61 to 90 average
0.2c below the 81 to 10 average

Charts for this month:-



Link to larger guess chart 



Link to larger rolling 30 year chart 
 

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Metcheck                    4.17c               Anomaly             -1.99c
Netweather                 4.75c               Anomaly             -1.56c
Peasedown St John.     4.07c               Anomaly             -3.03c
 

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Hadley

4.6c to the 6th

1.1c below the 61 to 90 average
0.6c below the 81 to 10 average

Metcheck                    3.8c                Anomaly          -2.36c
Netweather                 4.43c              Anomaly          -1.88c
Peasedown St John      3.72c              Anomaly          -3.38c.
Imansf22                      3.3c.

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Early days but there's the potential for March to be quite noticeably below average judging by some of the current output. Starting to wish I'd pushed the boat out and gone a degree or so lower!

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Early days but there's the potential for March to be quite noticeably below average judging by some of the current output. Starting to wish I'd pushed the boat out and gone a degree or so lower!

Yes it's looking annoyingly cold now . But probably still the wrong side of marginal for us Southerners.  
 

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Hadley

4.3c to the 7th

1.4c below the 61 to 90 average
0.9c below the 81 to 10 average

Early days but there's the potential for March to be quite noticeably below average judging by some of the current output. Starting to wish I'd pushed the boat out and gone a degree or so lower!

Not necessarily. It's a very hard month to call. It's still early days and it would only need a mild spell in the second half to bring it back up to average, if not push it above. You also have to factor in that March is a rapidly warming month anyway, so a CET in the 4s at this stage is actually fairly common.

I honestly wouldn't confidently rule out any guesses up to about 7°C yet.

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  Metcheck                   3.43c                   Anomaly             -2.73c
  Netweather                4.01c                   Anomaly             -2.3c
Peasedown St John         3.72c                  Anomaly              -3.38c
IMANSF22                 3.3c.  

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Hadley

3.8c to the 8th

1.9c below the 61 to 90 average
1.7c below the 81 to 10 average

Metcheck                      3.25c                Anomaly           -2.91c
Netweather                   3.94c                Anomaly           -2.37c
Peasedown St John       4.02c                Anomaly           -3.08c.
 

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Metcheck                    3.01c                Anomaly               -3.15c
Netweather                 3.83c                Anomaly               -2.48c
Peasedown St John      3.16c                Anomaly               -3.94c.
Imansf22      2.6c.   

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