Yes you do feel like you're clutching at straws sometimes when any potential, however feeble, frustratingly remains in the 'day ten and beyond' timeframe. I note the highlighting of this weekend's low pressure which is modelled to be deeper on the GFS 06z compared to the ECM which has the centre(s) further north). Either way it looks like a wet and windy weekend for many but nothing too untoward.
FI takes us to mid-month and in terms of potential it still looks like of the 'weak polar maritime' type meaning much of any wintriness tends to be restricted to the favoured 'northern hills', not withstanding any sharper feature that could bring something more transient to a wider area of course.
Still not seeing much in the way of Scandinavian high pressure though. What has been modelled seems too weak to provide any meaningful cold to the UK with heights sinking south and east into eastern Europe as the jet remains strong and based over or to the south of the UK.
Taking that into account, the outlook remains unsettled with the mildest (and I suppose driest) weather the further south and east you are and the colder and wetter (and occasionally wintry) weather further north and west. Standard UK winter weather fare?
A SSW could shake things up in the longer term but again I'm not seeing anything of significance there yet. In any case such impacts would take some time to affect us - beneficially or otherwise - and we'd likely be at the end of January or even into February by then.
Jacee, Hucknall (Notts) š½ x