Still 3 weeks to go but as I wake up to a blanket of snow outside this morning I have to say I think I've blown my chances of retaining the title.
Will wait for the charts for Xmas period to firm up but it's going to take some serious blowtorch Atlantic stuff to get us to 4.2C now.
JMM now firm favourite 

We’ve had no snow at all here but frost every morning that’s never really thawed for the past week. It’s currently -7c, the lowest so far and we may get another ice day!  Totally blown my chances of going up a bit!  🙄

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Mean monthly temperature here is 3.9c at the mid month stage.

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Metcheck                1.49c           Anomaly      -3.51c
Netweather             1.62c          Anomaly       -3.51c
Peasedown St John 1.17c         Anomaly       -5.86c.    

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Hadley

1.1c to the 14th

3.4c below the 61 to 90 average
3.8c below the 81 to 10 average

By my records, if December finished below 1.7°C, it will be the biggest ever drop from November to December.

Current record is 1981, with a November mean of 7.6°C dropping to 0.1°C in December.

We should easily be in the mid-0s by Sunday, followed by a sharp increase by Tuesday. I suspect those two days might add a whole degree to it.

Beyond it's anyone's guess, but I'd guess the month will most likely to finish in the 2s as of now.

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Monthly mean CET now down to 0.8C after yesterday's mean of -4.4C and an anomaly of -3.8C (61-90)

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/cet_mean_2022.txt 


makes yesterday the lowest daily mean CET for 12 years - since Christmas day 2010
 

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Metcheck                 1.18c          Anomaly         -3.81c
Netweather              1.26c         Anomaly          -.85c
Peasedown At John  0.3c         Anomaly          -6.0c.   

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Hadley

0.8c to the 15th

3.8c below the 61 to 90 average
4.1c below the 81 to 10 average

Remarkably December up to this point has made a gameful effort at stopping us hitting warmest year on record. 

The target at end of November was -3.5C below average for the rest of the year and that looked utterly unattainable. After half the month the target is now -2.3C. Like facing a RRR of 15 an over from the last 10 and blasting a few boundaries to get it down to 10 an over with 5 to go. 

It’s about to disappear out of reach again though. By Tuesday or Wednesday the run rate should become unattainable and the record will be nailed on. 

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I've done some quick calculations on what would be needed for me to win the comp again and conceded it's essentially impossible..we would.more or less need every day from Monday to be close to the all time December record for daily CET!!
My disappointment is tempered with the joy of experiencing a rare well below average winter month. Who knows when we'll get another ?? It has certainly been an unrivalled spell in both intensity and duration of absolute cold since the famous Dec 2010. Mar 2013 and end of Feb/start of Mar 2018 are the only periods I can think of which are arguably comparable in relative terms 

Hadley

0.5c to the 16th

4.0c below the 61 to 90 average
4.4c below the 81 to 10 average

Metcheck                1.12c            Anomaly         -3.88c
Netwether                1.04c          Anomaly         -4.07c
Peasedown St John   0.5c           Anomaly           -6.35c  

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Metcheck               1.8c             Anomaly            -3.9c
Netweather            1.06c           Anomaly            -4.05c
Peasedown St John    0.4c         Anomaly            -6.33c.   

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Hadley

0.4c to the 17th

4.1c below the 61 to 90 average
4.4c below the 81 to 10 average

Hadley

0.4c to the 17th

4.1c below the 61 to 90 average
4.4c below the 81 to 10 average

This being the low point one suspects.

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Bang on 0.0 here as of now that's -4.4C
Going to creep up but will be well below normal I think

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Metcheck                   1.40c         Anomaly        -3.50c
Netweather                1.19c         Anomaly        -3.92c
Peasedown St John   -1.35c        Anomaly        -5.48c.  

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Hadley

0.6c to the 18th

4.0c below the 61 to 90 average
4.2c below the 81 to 10 average

Hadley

0.6c to the 18th

4.0c below the 61 to 90 average
4.2c below the 81 to 10 average

Was going to post earlier today that I'm expecting the final December CET to start with 2 but based on the GFS 6z that might be too high! 

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