The trough in S England, shown as a minor feature over the last couple of days, now appears to be much more active for areas as far north as Oxford.
WX temp summary - not much to add to yesterday the battle between cooler air from the NE and warmer air on Atlantic coasts continues, though neither much below or above norm respectively. By comparison with yesterday, the cooler air succeeds in advancing to E France & the shores of the Med in week 2, S Britain and W France hanging on to the last of the warmth. though I not a small patch of very warm quite local to S Biscay week 1 - see 'unusual world weather' thread - and the colder air also down to Turkey in week 2 (but with the Black Sea an 'island' of contrasting warmth with the land around it.
Rain in a ring around Poland in week 1 as yesterday though a bit further east so Britain is outside the ring and dry-ish; week 2 is forecast differently with the ring breaking up and wet weather moving in from the Atlantic en masse.
GFS Op consistent with yesterday; Danielle and Earl filling to the S of UK (perhaps more slowly than shown yesterday), then HP appearing to the W of Ireland with N-lies from Thu 15th moving E-wards to cover Britain Tue 20th translating into a SW-NE ridge before Atlantic W-lies take over from Sat 24th; quite a deep LP 970mb Faeroes to start with but soon settling down to the usual LP near Iceland, HP from SW England S-wards.
ECM similar but HP further W of Ireland to start with so N-lies while not strong are more extensive; then the Lp Sat 24th is not so deep so W-lies less strong.
GEFS in the S currently warm with some rain, while the N is near norm and dry; all areas cool and dry-ish from Thu 15th for a week after which temps near norm (though quite a lot of variation between ens members sets in) and small amounts of rain then expected.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl